SV Wehen v Bayern München result

Full-time · SV Wehen 2–3 Bayern München

DFB Pokal · Wed, 27 Aug 2025 19:45 BST · BRITA-Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SV Wehen 2–3 Bayern München — Bayern München won this DFB Pokal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1436 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bayern München won 3–2 at BRITA-Arena in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday 27 August. SV Wehen are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Bayern München have won their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Harry Kane (16’ pen; 90’, assisted by Josip Stanišić) and Michael Olise (51’); SV Wehen: Fatih Kaya (64’, assisted by Niklas May; 69’, assisted by Moritz Flotho).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Kane’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: SV Wehen 0.00, Bayern München 0.00, from 6 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Siebert showed two yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — SV Wehen: Niklas May (53’); Bayern München: Aleksandar Pavlović (49’).

What it changes

SV Wehen have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 12.7, Florian Stritzel (SV Wehen) 9.1 and Fatih Kaya (SV Wehen) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Bayern München, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (984 of 1436).

Next up

Bayern München next host Borussia Dortmund on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: SV Wehen 2–3 Bayern München · DFB Pokal
Venue: BRITA-Arena · Wiesbaden
Referee: D. Siebert
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: SV Wehen 0W 1D 4L · Bayern München 3W 0D 2L

SV Wehen 2–3 Bayern München (DFB Pokal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 3.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.8 / 5.25

Corners

against 4 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4.8 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 4.6 / 3 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.2 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.2 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	SV Wehen for / against	Line	Bayern München for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.8 for · 4 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.6 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.8 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.2 for · 9.4 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	12.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.2 for · 2.2 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Siebert.

Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Neuer	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	71 /90	00 /90

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	90	2.1 5/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Stanišić	7	81566 min	40.6 /90	61 /90	00 /90	193 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
J. Tah	7	79550 min	61 /90	71.1 /90	40.7 /90	172.8 /90	122 /90	20.3 /90
D. Upamecano	7	66460 min	193.7 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	295.7 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90
K. Laimer	6	73438 min	142.9 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90	214.3 /90	122.5 /90	30.6 /90
S. Boey	5	49246 min	103.7 /90	62.2 /90	00 /90	197 /90	62.2 /90	00 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Neuer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. Kimmich n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	1.2 7/1	—
J. Stanišić n 8	82	0.7 5/0	0.7 4/1	—
H. Kane n 8	72.5	1.4 5/3	2.3 6/4	—
J. Tah n 7	78.6	2 4/4	0.7 4/0	—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Kimmich n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1
J. Stanišić n 8	82	0.7 5/0
H. Kane n 8	72.5	0.6 4/0
J. Tah n 7	78.6	1 4/1
M. Olise n 8	78.6	1 6/1
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Kane	7	79551 min	71.1 /90	10.2 /90	142.3 /90	101.6 /90	122 /90	61 /90
J. Kimmich	7	84585 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90	203.1 /90	40.6 /90
M. Olise	7	77539 min	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	183 /90	111.8 /90	111.8 /90	193.2 /90
S. Gnabry	7	59413 min	00 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	102.2 /90	71.5 /90
A. Pavlović	6	58347 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Neuer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Kimmich n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
J. Stanišić n 8	82	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
H. Kane n 8	72.5	2.5 7/5	1.7 6/3
J. Tah n 7	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Neuer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Kimmich n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Stanišić n 8	82	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Kane n 8	72.5	1.2 5/2	0.3 2/0
J. Tah n 7	78.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SV Wehen		Bayern München
21%	Possession	79%
6	Shots	22
2	Shots on target	15
1	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	2
4	Shots inside the box	19
0	Corners	7
1	Offsides	5
12	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
10	Saves	0
244	Passes	905
76%	Pass accuracy	94%

SV Wehen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Florian Stritzel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5
Jordy Gillekens	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Justin Janitzek	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Niklas May	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	Y	6.2
Lukas Schleimer	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Tarık Gözüşirin	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7
Fatih Kaya	78	2	0	2	2	0	0	0	9.3
Sascha Mockenhaupt	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Donny Bogičević	71	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
R. Johansson	59	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	5.9
Nikolas Agrafiotis	59	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Milad Nejad sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.2
Moritz Flotho sub	31	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Fabian Greilinger sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
O. Wohlers sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Jakob Lewald sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Bayern München Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Urbig	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Tah	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Kim Min-Jae	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
J. Kimmich	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.2
M. Olise	90	1	0	3	2	1	0	0	7.3
L. Díaz	90	0	0	7	4	2	0	0	6.7
H. Kane	90	2	0	7	6	2	1	0	8.3
Raphaël Guerreiro	78	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	5.9
S. Boey	77	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.2
A. Pavlović	67	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.6
L. Karl	67	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
L. Goretzka sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Gnabry sub	23	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
K. Laimer sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Stanišić sub	12	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	7.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SV Wehen v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SV WehenLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

Bayern MünchenLWLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Goals per game

SV Wehen scored1

Bayern München scored2.4

SV Wehen conceded2

Bayern München conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SV Wehen v Bayern München?: TACTIX’s free model pick for SV Wehen v Bayern München was Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of SV Wehen and Bayern München?: Recent form — SV Wehen 0W 1D 4L; Bayern München 3W 0D 2L.

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