VfL Osnabrück v Bayern München result

Full-time · VfL Osnabrück 1–4 Bayern München

DFB Pokal · Wed, 02 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Bremer Brücke

Updated 16 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfL Osnabrück · Bayern München

The model’s pre-match pick

VfL Osnabrück 1–4 Bayern München — Bayern München won this DFB Pokal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.14 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bayern München won 4–1 at Bremer Brücke in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday 2 September. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — VfL Osnabrück: R. Meissner (5’); Bayern München: Harry Kane (18’, 86’ pen), Tom Bischof (24’) and Michael Olise (73’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Kane’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: VfL Osnabrück 0.00, Bayern München 0.00, from 5 shots to 22 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Hempel showed no yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Bayern München are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 11.9, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 8.8 and Tom Bischof (Bayern München) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

VfL Osnabrück next travel to VfL Wolfsburg on 31 October 2026.

Bayern München next host Borussia Dortmund on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfL Osnabrück: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: VfL Osnabrück 1–4 Bayern München · DFB Pokal
Venue: Bremer Brücke · Osnabrück
Referee: R. Hempel
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: VfL Osnabrück 2W 0D 3L · Bayern München 5W 0D 0L

VfL Osnabrück 1–4 Bayern München (DFB Pokal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 3

Goals

against 2.5 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 5.75

over 8 matches

4 / 5.25

Corners

against 5.5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.33 / 7.25

Shots on target

against 5.17 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.67 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.83 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	VfL Osnabrück for / against	Line	Bayern München for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	5.75our book	3 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.5 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.17 for · 18.5 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	16.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.33 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	7.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.83 for · 12.17 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	7.5 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.67 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Hempel.

VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück Goalkeeper

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Krumrey	3	92277 min	61.9 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90

VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 3	92.3	1.9 2/1

VfL Osnabrück Defensive

VfL Osnabrück — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Muller	3	92277 min	82.6 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90	165.2 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
N. Wiemann	3	92277 min	92.9 /90	41.3 /90	51.6 /90	144.5 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
R. Fabinski	3	92277 min	144.5 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90	216.8 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
K. Faber	3	46139 min	42.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	63.9 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90
J. Abu Hanna	1	2525 min	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90	27.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Wiemann n 7	84.6	0.9 4/1	0.6 4/0	—
J. Muller n 3	92.3	0.6 2/0	1 1/1	—
R. Fabinski n 3	92.3	0.6 2/0	0.3 1/0	—
J. Krumrey n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
R. Meissner n 3	88.7	0 0/0	0.7 1/1	—
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VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Fabinski n 3	92.3	4.5 3/3
J. Muller n 3	92.3	2.6 2/2
N. Wiemann n 7	84.6	2.1 5/4
R. Meissner n 3	88.7	1.7 3/1
B. Jacobsen n 3	88.3	2 2/2
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VfL Osnabrück Attacking

VfL Osnabrück — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Meissner	3	89266 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	62 /90	31 /90	41.4 /90	51.7 /90
Ismail Badjie	3	63190 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	62.8 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
D. Kopacz	2	63125 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	32.2 /90	32.2 /90
Bernd Riesselmann	2	3162 min	00 /90	00 /90	57.3 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
A. Beck	1	8989 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Muller n 3	92.3	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
N. Wiemann n 7	84.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
J. Krumrey n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 3	88.7	2 3/2	1 2/1
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VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Osnabrück before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Wiemann n 7	84.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Muller n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Krumrey n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Fabinski n 3	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Meissner n 3	88.7	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Neuer	2	86171 min	52.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	85.1	2.2 5/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Laimer	2	86171 min	31.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	84.2 /90	63.2 /90	00 /90
Kim Min-Jae	2	83165 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
J. Stanišić	2	4284 min	22.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	33.2 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
D. Upamecano	1	9090 min	33 /90	33 /90	11 /90	99 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Tah	1	8181 min	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	33.3 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Laimer n 8	71.9	2.3 6/4	0.6 3/1	—
L. Díaz n 8	75.8	1 4/2	2.1 7/5	—
M. Olise n 8	75.5	0.6 3/1	2.7 6/5	—
J. Kimmich n 8	83.3	0.3 2/0	1.1 6/2	—
M. Neuer n 8	85.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Laimer n 8	71.9	2.5 7/5
J. Kimmich n 8	83.3	0.9 5/2
L. Díaz n 8	75.8	0.9 4/1
M. Olise n 8	75.5	0.3 2/0
A. Pavlović n 8	74.5	1.7 5/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Kane	2	83165 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.2 /90	10.5 /90	42.2 /90	31.6 /90
J. Kimmich	2	86171 min	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
L. Díaz	2	86171 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.6 /90	31.6 /90	42.1 /90	52.6 /90
M. Olise	2	86171 min	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	84.2 /90	42.1 /90	52.6 /90	52.6 /90
A. Pavlović	2	83165 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	31.6 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 8	75.5	2.7 6/6	1.5 6/4
L. Díaz n 8	75.8	2.2 7/5	1.5 7/3
K. Laimer n 8	71.9	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
J. Kimmich n 8	83.3	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
M. Neuer n 8	85.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 28 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 8	75.5	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
J. Kimmich n 8	83.3	0 0/0	0.7 3/2
L. Díaz n 8	75.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
K. Laimer n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
M. Neuer n 8	85.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfL Osnabrück		Bayern München
33%	Possession	67%
5	Shots	22
2	Shots on target	9
1	Shots off target	7
2	Blocked shots	6
1	Shots inside the box	14
0	Corners	8
3	Offsides	3
6	Fouls	9
0	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	1
381	Passes	781
78%	Pass accuracy	91%

VfL Osnabrück Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
N. Wiemann	90	0	0	0	1	3	6
A. Beck	90	0	0	0	1	4	7.2
R. Fabinski	90	0	0	0	0	2	6.5
P. Kammerbauer	90	0	0	0	0	2	6.5
J. Muller	90	0	0	0	0	2	5.9
J. Krumrey	90	0	0	0	0	0	7
F. Wagner	89	0	0	0	1	2	6.6
R. Meissner	74	1	2	2	0	0	7.5
L. Munst	74	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
Ismail Badjie	62	0	1	0	0	1	6
B. Jacobsen	62	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
K. Faber sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
L. Raimund sub	28	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
D. Kyereh sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Opitz sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Bernd Riesselmann sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Bayern München Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
J. Tah	90	0	0	0	1	1	6.9
L. Díaz	90	0	2	1	1	0	6.3
J. Kimmich	90	0	1	0	2	0	7.2
Kim Min-Jae	90	0	0	0	0	5	7.3
J. Stanišić	90	0	0	0	2	2	7.7
J. Urbig	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
H. Kane	87	2	5	2	0	0	7.2
M. Olise	87	1	4	3	6	1	8.6
T. Bischof	80	1	1	1	1	3	7.9
N. Brown	62	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
I. Saibari	62	0	1	1	1	1	6.2
A. Davies sub	28	0	0	0	1	2	6.9
L. Karl sub	28	0	0	0	2	2	6.6
A. Pavlović sub	10	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
K. Laimer sub	3	0	1	1	0	0	–
Bara Ndiaye sub	3	0	1	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfL Osnabrück v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

VfL OsnabrückWLLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Bayern MünchenWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Goals per game

VfL Osnabrück scored1.2

Bayern München scored3.2

VfL Osnabrück conceded2.4

Bayern München conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfL Osnabrück v Bayern München?: TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Osnabrück v Bayern München was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.14 at Betano).
What is the recent form of VfL Osnabrück and Bayern München?: Recent form — VfL Osnabrück 2W 0D 3L; Bayern München 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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