Zaglebie Lubin v Jagiellonia result

Full-time · Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia

Ekstraklasa · · KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin · Jagiellonia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia — Zaglebie Lubin won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Zaglebie Lubin beat Jagiellonia 1–0 at KGHM Zaglebie Arena in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Zaglebie Lubin: S. Kerk (77’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Kerk’s goal on 77 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Zaglebie Lubin 1.96, Jagiellonia 1.46, from 12 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Zaglebie Lubin: M. Grzybek (15’) and J. Sypek (90+1’); Jagiellonia: Bernardo Vital (79’).

What it changes

Zaglebie Lubin move up from eighth to seventh (11 league matches played).

Jagiellonia move down from 10th to 12th (10 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Kerk (Zaglebie Lubin) 6.2, M. Reguła (Zaglebie Lubin) 4.8 and Taras Romanczuk (Jagiellonia) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Zaglebie Lubin next travel to Motor Lublin on 23 October 2026.

Jagiellonia next host Anderlecht on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Zaglebie Lubin: Motor Lublin v Zaglebie Lubin, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Jagiellonia: Jagiellonia v Anderlecht, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia · Ekstraklasa
  • Venue: KGHM Zaglebie Arena · Lubin
  • Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Zaglebie Lubin 1 · draws 1 · Jagiellonia 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Zaglebie Lubin 2W 1D 2L · Jagiellonia 1W 0D 4L

Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.75
Corners
against 5 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameZaglebie Lubin for / againstLineJagiellonia for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
2.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl.

Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Reguła n 873.3
2.95/5
2.97/5
K. Jozwiak
J. Sypek n 842.8
2.47/2
1.34/1
—
J. Kolan n 843.3
2.38/1
2.16/1
—
M. Kosidis n 833.6
2.35/2
2.36/1
—
J. Ćorluka n 868
27/3
0.53/0
—
Zaglebie Lubin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kosidis n 833.6
2.77/1
1.75/0
M. Reguła n 873.3
2.67/6
1.45/3
L. Szabó n 846.8
1.95/2
13/1
J. Sypek n 842.8
1.84/2
0.82/1
A. Ławniczak n 889
1.66/3
0.64/1
Zaglebie Lubin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Szabó n 846.8
0.52/0
0.21/0
J. Sypek n 842.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Ćorluka n 868
0.21/0
0.32/0
I. Orlikowski n 854.9
00/0
0.42/0
K. Nowogoński n 541
0.41/0
00/0
Zaglebie Lubin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Szymon Łyczko n 424.5
3.73/1
K. Nowogoński n 541
2.64/2
M. Reguła n 873.3
2.56/4
J. Ćorluka n 868
2.36/4
S. Kerk n 844.3
2.35/2
Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Alomerovic n 890
36/5
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Jozwiak n 826
5.25/1
34/2
M. Reguła
Jeremy Agbonifo n 825.8
4.85/4
3.55/3
—
Dimitris Rallis n 813.1
4.35/0
0.91/0
—
Eryk Kozlowski n 846.6
3.16/4
0.73/0
—
Bernardo Vital n 890.4
2.18/6
0.93/2
—
Jagiellonia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jesús Imaz n 868.4
2.66/5
1.35/3
Sergio Lozano n 837.6
2.46/2
0.31/0
A. Cirkovic n 850.4
1.85/1
0.42/0
O. Sow n 843.1
1.85/2
1.34/1
K. Jozwiak n 826
1.72/1
0.91/1
Jagiellonia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Sow n 843.1
0.83/0
00/0
Nik Prelec n 874.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
Jesús Imaz n 868.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
K. Jozwiak n 826
0.41/0
00/0
Y. Sylla n 825.8
0.41/0
00/0
Jagiellonia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Romanczuk n 883.1
3.98/7
Rodrigo Conceição n 873.4
3.17/5
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 884.8
2.78/6
N. Wojtuszek n 869.3
2.66/4
H. Finndell n 848.5
2.65/2
Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.4
3.67/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Zaglebie LubinJagiellonia
36%Possession64%
1.96Expected goals (xG)1.46
12Shots15
4Shots on target3
6Shots off target9
2Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box10
5Corners3
1Offsides0
11Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
270Passes512

Zaglebie Lubin player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Ćorluka9600101206.6
Z. Alomerovic9000000006.5
D. Dąbrowski9000003206.8
F. Kocaba9000000206.7
A. Ławniczak9000100107.3
M. Nalepa9000100006.8
M. Reguła9000421206.9
R. Yakuba9000100507.1
S. Kerk8310211006.6
Filip Szymczak6300210006.2
M. Grzybek45000010Y7
D. Colina4500001307
J. Sypek27000011Y6.7
M. Dziewiatowski700000206.9
D. Michalski100000000

Jagiellonia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ferslev Anders Klynge9000212206.4
Y. Kobayashi9000000207.1
T. Romanczuk9000101406.2
K. Szmyt9000202106.6
Jesús Imaz9000511005.8
Sławomir Abramowicz9000000006.7
Bernardo Vital88000023Y6.8
D. Stojinović6900101006
O. Sow6200110006.2
Rodrigo Conceição4500002106.6
K. Jozwiak4500000006.5
Bartłomiej Wdowik4500100107
C. Polak4500101107.2
Dimitris Rallis2800101006.6
Jeremy Agbonifo2100000106.3
A. Cirkovic200000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Zaglebie Lubin v Jagiellonia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Zaglebie LubinDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
JagielloniaLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Zaglebie Lubin 1 · 1 draw · Jagiellonia 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Jagiellonia 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin
  • 2025-11-30 Zaglebie Lubin 0–0 Jagiellonia
  • 2025-04-21 Jagiellonia 1–3 Zaglebie Lubin
  • 2024-10-19 Zaglebie Lubin 1–3 Jagiellonia
  • 2024-04-20 Zaglebie Lubin 1–2 Jagiellonia
  • 2023-10-20 Jagiellonia 3–0 Zaglebie Lubin
League standing · 2026/27
Zaglebie Lubin#7 pos18 pts11 pl0 GD
Jagiellonia#13 pos12 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Zaglebie Lubin scored1.18
Jagiellonia scored1.3
Zaglebie Lubin conceded1.18
Jagiellonia conceded1.7

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Zaglebie Lubin v Jagiellonia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Zaglebie Lubin v Jagiellonia was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia?
In their last 6 meetings, Zaglebie Lubin won 1, Jagiellonia won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Zaglebie Lubin and Jagiellonia?
Recent form — Zaglebie Lubin 2W 1D 2L; Jagiellonia 1W 0D 4L.

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