Heracles v NEC Nijmegen result

Full-time · Heracles 1–4 NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 19:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Heracles · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Heracles 1–4 NEC Nijmegen — NEC Nijmegen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

NEC Nijmegen won 4–1 at Heracles in the Eredivisie on Saturday 16 August. Heracles have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Heracles: Jizz Hornkamp (3’, assisted by S. Scheperman); NEC Nijmegen: Bryan Linssen (39’, assisted by Philippe Sandler), Philippe Sandler (68’, assisted by Tjaronn Chery) and K. Shiogai (83’; 87’, assisted by Y. El Kachati). Jizz Hornkamp (13’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Philippe Sandler’s goal on 68 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Heracles 1.33, NEC Nijmegen 3.05, from 13 shots to 24 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Bos showed four yellow cards and one red — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Heracles: Jan Žambůrek (32’) and S. Scheperman (68’); NEC Nijmegen: Bryan Linssen (28’) and Dirk Proper (90’).

What it changes

Heracles move down from 16th to 18th (two league matches played). Heracles have scored 35 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Heracles have conceded 85 goals, the second-most of the 23 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen stay first after this result (two league matches played). NEC Nijmegen have scored 77 goals, the third-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 53 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 2, across nine matches. NEC Nijmegen have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Philippe Sandler (NEC Nijmegen) 11.0, K. Shiogai (NEC Nijmegen) 7.8 and B. Limbombe (Heracles) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Heracles 1–4 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
Referee: A. Bos
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Heracles 3 · draws 1 · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Heracles 0W 0D 5L · NEC Nijmegen 4W 0D 1L

Heracles 1–4 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.13

Goals

against 2.38 / 0.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 3.71

Corners

against 4.75 / 5.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.25 / 4.86

Shots on target

against 6.25 / 4.14 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 2.43

Cards

against 0.88 / 0.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

2.5 yellows

Referee · A. Bos

21.3 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Heracles for / against	Line	NEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.71 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	9.5 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.71 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.86 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.71 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.43 for · 0.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: A. Bos — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Heracles

Heracles Defensive

Heracles — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hornkamp n 8	77.1	2.5 8/6	0.6 2/1	—
S. Scheperman n 8	89.8	2.1 8/6	0.4 3/0	K. Sano
B. Limbombe n 8	45.1	1.7 4/2	1.7 4/2	—
J. Wieckhoff n 8	66.9	1.5 5/2	0.5 3/0	C. Verdonk
I. Mesík n 8	90	1.1 6/3	1 6/2	B. Pereira
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Heracles — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Scheperman n 8	89.8	4 8/8
J. Wieckhoff n 8	66.9	4 7/4
D. Mirani n 8	90	1.4 7/4
B. Limbombe n 8	45.1	1 2/1
I. Mesík n 8	90	0.8 4/1
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Heracles Attacking

Heracles — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hornkamp n 8	77.1	1.8 8/3	1 6/1
B. Limbombe n 8	45.1	1 4/0	0.5 2/0
I. Mesík n 8	90	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
D. Mirani n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
S. Scheperman n 8	89.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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Heracles — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heracles before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hornkamp n 8	77.1	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
S. Scheperman n 8	89.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
I. Mesík n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Mirani n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. de Keijzer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Ouaissa n 8	68	2 6/4	1.8 6/4	—
D. Proper n 8	87.8	1.7 6/5	0.9 5/2	—
B. Pereira n 8	80.1	1.3 5/2	1.4 6/3	I. Mesík
K. Sano n 8	78.4	0.9 5/1	1.6 7/3	S. Scheperman
C. Verdonk n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	J. Wieckhoff
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Verdonk n 8	90	4.6 8/8
K. Sano n 8	78.4	2.9 7/5
B. Pereira n 8	80.1	2 7/4
D. Proper n 8	87.8	1.9 7/6
S. Ouaissa n 8	68	1.5 6/2
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Ouaissa n 8	68	1.5 7/1	0.7 4/0
K. Sano n 8	78.4	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
B. Pereira n 8	80.1	0.6 4/0	0.6 4/0
C. Verdonk n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
D. Proper n 8	87.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Pereira n 8	80.1	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
K. Sano n 8	78.4	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
S. Ouaissa n 8	68	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
D. Proper n 8	87.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Verdonk n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Heracles		NEC Nijmegen
19%	Possession	81%
1.33	Expected goals (xG)	3.05
13	Shots	24
6	Shots on target	11
6	Shots off target	5
1	Blocked shots	8
7	Shots inside the box	17
3	Corners	7
1	Offsides	4
9	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
7	Saves	5
140	Passes	649
59%	Pass accuracy	90%

Heracles Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. de Keijzer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
I. Mesík	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
D. van der Kust	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
S. Scheperman	90	0	1	1	0	1	1	Y	7.7
B. Limbombe	90	0	0	2	2	5	0	0	7.5
D. Mirani	81	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.7
J. Žambůrek	62	0	0	1	0	3	4	Y	7
T. van Gilst	62	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Wieckhoff	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
T. Bruns	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Hornkamp	13	1	0	2	2	0	0	R	5
M. Benita sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
L. Kulenović sub	45	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	7.5
M. te Wierik sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Y. Borges Sanches sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
A. Hrustić sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Crettaz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
C. Verdonk	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7.3
S. Ouaissa	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
K. Sano	90	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	7.5
D. Proper	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.2
T. Chery	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
P. Sandler	89	1	1	2	2	3	0	0	8.6
B. Önal	69	0	0	1	1	4	2	0	7.3
Koki Ogawa	69	0	0	3	2	1	0	0	6.3
B. Linssen	69	1	0	5	3	2	0	Y	7
B. Pereira	29	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Y. El Kachati sub	61	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
V. van Crooij sub	21	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
K. Shiogai sub	21	2	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.6
V. Misidjan sub	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Yousri Sbai sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heracles v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

HeraclesLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 3.6 conceded per game

NEC NijmegenWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Heracles 3 · 1 draw · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-05-18 Heracles 1–2 NEC Nijmegen
2024-12-18 Heracles 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
2024-09-21 NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Heracles
2024-02-03 NEC Nijmegen 3–1 Heracles
2023-08-18 Heracles 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
2022-01-15 NEC Nijmegen 0–0 Heracles

League standing · 2025/26

Heracles#18 pos19 pts34 pl-50 GD

NEC Nijmegen#3 pos59 pts34 pl+24 GD

Goals per game

Heracles scored1.03

NEC Nijmegen scored2.26

Heracles conceded2.5

NEC Nijmegen conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Heracles v NEC Nijmegen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Heracles v NEC Nijmegen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Heracles and NEC Nijmegen?: In their last 6 meetings, Heracles won 3, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heracles and NEC Nijmegen?: Recent form — Heracles 0W 0D 5L; NEC Nijmegen 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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