Newport County v Walsall prediction

FA Cup · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Rodney Parade

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 08:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newport County · Walsall · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Newport County v Walsall, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newport County host Walsall in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Newport County or Walsall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Walsall have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Newport County have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86.

Six of Walsall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Walsall’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Walsall have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Walsall the stronger side, 144 rating points above Newport County (Walsall 1872, Newport County 1728, after at least 24 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Walsall are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Newport County. The most recent meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Walsall 2–1 Newport County.

Team news

Predicted Newport County XI (4-2-3-1): J. Wright, L. Jenkins, K. Cameron, C. Norman, J. Thomas, C. Brennan, H. Biggins, M. Adu-Poku, M. Dibley-Dias, M. Smith, K. Etete — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ciaran Brennan (4.2 per match over 15 appearances, one assist) and Harrison Biggins (4.2 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Newport County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newport County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ciaran Brennan averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1348 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Harrison Biggins averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1349 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Walsall XI (4-2-3-1): J. Ward, J. Connolly, D. Skura, M. Hancock, E. Ahui, I. Moore, R. Smith, S. Sprangler, C. Clarke, L. Simper, A. Pressley — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aaron Pressley (4.9 per match over 13 appearances, nine goals) and Jed Ward (4.6 per match over 14 appearances, one assist) have been Walsall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Walsall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aaron Pressley averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1096 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jed Ward averages 4.6 saves per 90 over 1265 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · FA Cup · Rodney Parade
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Newport County 1 · draws 2 · Walsall 3 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Newport County 2W 2D 1L · Walsall 1W 3D 1L

Newport County v Walsall (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.75 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 6.5

Corners

against 2.63 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 2.88 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Newport County for / against	Line	Walsall for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Wright	14	901260 min	322.3 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90

Newport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Wright n 8	90	2 4/4

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Cameron	14	901260 min	191.4 /90	80.6 /90	70.5 /90	624.4 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90
L. Jenkins	14	901260 min	211.5 /90	130.9 /90	80.6 /90	987 /90	141 /90	10.1 /90
C. Norman	14	891241 min	251.8 /90	90.7 /90	50.4 /90	1027.4 /90	231.7 /90	30.2 /90
M. Jacob	7	80557 min	101.6 /90	61 /90	00 /90	396.3 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
Joe Thomas	7	69480 min	112.1 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	285.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Jenkins n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.3 6/3	—
K. Cameron n 8	90	0.6 3/2	1 6/2	—
J. Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	0.6 4/1	1.8 6/5	—
C. Brennan n 8	90	1.5 7/4	1 4/2	—
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Cameron n 8	90	1.3 5/3
L. Jenkins n 8	90	0.9 5/1
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0
C. Brennan n 8	90	2.6 8/7
C. Norman n 8	87.6	1.7 7/2
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Doidge	7	77541 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	111.8 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
K. Etete	4	46183 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90
G. Garner	3	47140 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
T. Nyakuhwa	3	40120 min	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	43 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
H. Biggins	14	891249 min	40.3 /90	40.3 /90	271.9 /90	100.7 /90	322.3 /90	110.8 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 8	90	1.5 5/4	0.1 1/0
K. Cameron n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
J. Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	2.5 8/6	1 6/2
C. Brennan n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Cameron n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wright n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Biggins n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
C. Brennan n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Walsall

Walsall Goalkeeper

Walsall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Ward	13	901175 min	594.5 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90

Walsall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Ward n 8	90	4.4 6/6

Walsall Defensive

Walsall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Hancock	13	831082 min	201.7 /90	171.4 /90	00 /90	766.3 /90	110.9 /90	00 /90
J. Connolly	12	881053 min	110.9 /90	90.8 /90	40.3 /90	706 /90	80.7 /90	30.3 /90
D. Skura	12	861031 min	191.7 /90	161.4 /90	50.4 /90	605.2 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
E. Ahui	11	70773 min	172 /90	60.7 /90	60.7 /90	657.6 /90	131.5 /90	40.5 /90
R. Leak	6	55330 min	30.8 /90	61.6 /90	30.8 /90	236.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Walsall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Hancock n 8	80.4	1 5/2	0.4 2/1	—
R. Smith n 8	80.9	1.1 4/3	0.8 3/3	—
Isaac Moore n 8	79.8	2.3 8/5	2 6/4	—
A. Pressley n 8	87.3	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
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Walsall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Hancock n 8	80.4	1.4 6/3
R. Smith n 8	80.9	1.5 6/4
Isaac Moore n 8	79.8	3.1 5/5
A. Pressley n 8	87.3	0.4 3/0
J. Connolly n 8	90	0.9 4/2
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Walsall Attacking

Walsall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Pressley	12	891063 min	90.8 /90	00 /90	332.8 /90	181.5 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
R. Smith	13	77997 min	20.2 /90	30.3 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90	232.1 /90	242.2 /90
Isaac Moore	13	71924 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	80.8 /90	30.3 /90	121.2 /90	70.7 /90
S. Sprangler	12	78933 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	80.8 /90
L. Simper	11	61667 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90	141.9 /90	40.5 /90
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Walsall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hancock n 8	80.4	1 4/3	0.7 3/2
R. Smith n 8	80.9	1.3 6/3	0.3 2/0
Isaac Moore n 8	79.8	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Pressley n 8	87.3	3 7/5	1.4 5/4
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Walsall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Walsall before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Hancock n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. Smith n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Isaac Moore n 8	79.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Pressley n 8	87.3	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newport County v Walsall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Newport CountyWDDLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

WalsallDDDWL

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Newport County 1 · 2 draws · Walsall 3 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-03-21 Walsall 2–1 Newport County
2025-11-08 Newport County 2–4 Walsall
2025-04-21 Newport County 0–0 Walsall
2024-12-29 Walsall 2–0 Newport County
2024-02-10 Walsall 0–3 Newport County
2023-10-20 Newport County 3–3 Walsall

Goals per game

Newport County scored1.6

Walsall scored1.6

Newport County conceded1

Walsall conceded1.4

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Newport County v Walsall?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v Walsall is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Walsall?: In their last 6 meetings, Newport County won 1, Walsall won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Walsall?: Recent form — Newport County 2W 2D 1L; Walsall 1W 3D 1L.

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