West HamLeeds

West Ham v Leeds result

Full-time · West Ham 2–2 Leeds

FA Cup · · London Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

West Ham 2–2 Leeds — this FA Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

West Ham and Leeds drew 2–2 at London Stadium in the FA Cup on Sunday 5 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: West Ham out-shot Leeds 22 to 21 and created the better chances, 3.85 xG to 3.09 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Leeds led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Leeds: Ao Tanaka (26’, assisted by Noah Okafor) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (75’ pen); West Ham: Mateus Fernandes (90’) and A. Disasi (90’, assisted by Adama Traoré).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Disasi’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

C. Pawson showed five yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — West Ham: Maximilian Kilman (74’) and Kyle Walker-Peters (105+2’); Leeds: Lukas Nmecha (40’), Ethan Ampadu (47’) and Jayden Bogle (90+1’).

What it changes

West Ham have scored seven goals, the 263rd-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). West Ham have conceded five goals, the 220th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Leeds have scored nine goals, the 254th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Leeds have conceded five goals, the 64th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

West Ham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Leeds are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adama Traoré (West Ham) 11.1, Mateus Fernandes (West Ham) 9.6 and Ao Tanaka (Leeds) 8.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, West Ham or Leeds (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: West Ham 2–2 Leeds · FA Cup
  • Venue: London Stadium · London
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Ham 3 · draws 1 · Leeds 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Ham 1W 2D 2L · Leeds 1W 2D 2L

West Ham 2–2 Leeds (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.17 / 4.86
Corners
against 7.5 / 3.71 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 2.43
Cards
against 1.33 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWest Ham for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 7.5 against n 6
9.5standard
4.86 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
9.5 for · 16.17 against n 6
19.5standard
12.71 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
2.5 for · 5.5 against n 6
8.5standard
3.57 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.67 for · 8.17 against n 6
21.5standard
12.57 for · 11.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.83 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: C. Pawson.

West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Areola21901897 min803.8 /90401.9 /9000 /90
M. Hermansen1190990 min373.4 /90201.8 /9000 /90
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Areola n 890
3.97/7
M. Hermansen n 890
3.88/5

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Diouf26842194 min321.3 /90301.2 /90120.5 /901054.3 /90220.9 /9040.2 /90
K. Mavropanos23861983 min301.4 /90411.9 /90221 /90994.5 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
A. Wan-Bissaka22871906 min301.4 /90371.7 /9060.3 /90763.6 /90211 /9040.2 /90
J. Todibo21851786 min392 /90170.9 /90150.8 /90703.5 /9080.4 /9040.2 /90
M. Kilman19831581 min160.9 /9090.5 /90241.4 /90724.1 /90160.9 /9040.2 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bowen n 888.5
0.64/1
1.15/3
—
Mateus Fernandes n 889.9
2.38/6
1.68/3
—
E. Diouf n 886.1
0.95/2
0.53/1
J. Rodon
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.31/1
0.32/0
—
C. Summerville n 889.6
1.46/4
2.38/6
—
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bowen n 888.5
1.45/3
Mateus Fernandes n 889.9
2.98/6
E. Diouf n 886.1
1.47/3
K. Mavropanos n 890
1.86/5
C. Summerville n 889.6
1.58/3
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Wilson21481011 min40.4 /9010.1 /90222 /90111 /9070.6 /90111 /90
V. Castellanos1179866 min20.2 /9000 /90171.8 /9080.8 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
N. Füllkrug757396 min00 /9000 /9071.6 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9000 /90
Pablo666396 min00 /9000 /9040.9 /9000 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90
Luis Guilherme33296 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9021.9 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bowen n 888.5
0.95/2
0.31/1
Mateus Fernandes n 889.9
0.65/0
0.32/0
E. Diouf n 886.1
00/0
00/0
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
C. Summerville n 889.6
1.58/4
1.18/1
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 888.5
0.11/0
0.54/0
Mateus Fernandes n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
E. Diouf n 886.1
00/0
0.32/0
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. Summerville n 889.6
0.65/0
00/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Perri17901530 min412.4 /90291.7 /9000 /90
K. Darlow16901440 min372.3 /90201.3 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Perri n 890
2.56/4
K. Darlow n 890
2.56/4

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Gudmundsson30822460 min642.3 /90210.8 /9060.2 /901696.2 /90311.1 /9060.2 /90
J. Rodon29882547 min321.1 /90271 /90180.6 /901264.5 /90120.4 /9010 /90
J. Bogle29842423 min542 /90271 /9040.1 /901154.3 /90331.2 /9060.2 /90
P. Struijk28872443 min321.2 /90291.1 /90150.6 /901465.4 /90210.8 /9040.1 /90
J. Bijol19791499 min221.3 /90251.5 /9060.4 /90955.7 /90191.1 /9030.2 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
1.37/3
0.95/1
—
G. Gudmundsson n 878.3
1.46/4
2.78/4
—
J. Rodon n 889.6
0.31/1
0.64/1
E. Diouf
J. Bogle n 873
1.58/2
0.63/1
—
B. Aaronson n 870.4
0.84/1
2.45/4
—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.67/6
G. Gudmundsson n 878.3
2.26/5
J. Rodon n 889.6
1.36/4
J. Bogle n 873
1.85/3
B. Aaronson n 870.4
1.46/2
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Aaronson29681986 min40.2 /9030.1 /90261.2 /90150.7 /90261.2 /90221 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin28762119 min100.4 /9010 /90522.2 /90261.1 /90170.7 /9060.3 /90
N. Okafor22621364 min40.3 /9000 /90211.4 /90110.7 /90161.1 /90322.1 /90
L. Nmecha21491031 min40.3 /9030.3 /90221.9 /90131.1 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90
W. Gnonto1146507 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9030.5 /9091.6 /9020.4 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Gudmundsson n 878.3
0.94/2
0.11/0
J. Rodon n 889.6
0.31/1
00/0
J. Bogle n 873
0.52/1
0.32/0
B. Aaronson n 870.4
0.63/1
0.21/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Gudmundsson n 878.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Rodon n 889.6
00/0
00/0
J. Bogle n 873
0.21/0
00/0
B. Aaronson n 870.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West HamLeeds
56%Possession44%
3.85Expected goals (xG)3.09
22Shots21
6Shots on target8
9Shots off target8
7Blocked shots5
17Shots inside the box17
4Corners5
8Offsides0
20Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves4
604Passes490
82%Pass accuracy77%

West Ham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Walker-Peters120001117Y7.5
A. Disasi12010110107.9
M. Kilman120000013Y6.5
Mateus Fernandes12010111508.5
J. Bowen12000313106.7
A. Areola11900000006.6
Adama Traoré11901106208
E. Diouf10500102207.2
V. Castellanos10500521105.3
S. Magassa4500000106.7
F. Potts4500001006.7
T. Souček sub7500000008
Pablo sub7500100005.2
O. Scarles sub1500000006.6
M. Kanté sub1500100106.6
E. Mayers sub10000000–
F. Herrick sub10000000–

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Perri12000000009.9
J. Bijol12000000107.5
P. Struijk12000103207.3
E. Ampadu120001102Y7
J. Justin12000210206.9
J. Bogle105001022Y6.5
A. Tanaka6910110408.3
N. Okafor6901112206.9
L. Nmecha69001000Y6.3
J. Rodon5200000006.6
A. Stach3800210106.5
B. Aaronson sub8200001307.3
S. Bornauw sub6800110106.5
W. Gnonto sub5100200207.7
Dominic Calvert-Lewin sub5110221006.9
Ilia Gruev sub5100102106.9
J. Piroe sub1500000005.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West HamLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
LeedsLLWDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Ham 3 · 1 draw · Leeds 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-24 Leeds 2–1 West Ham
  • 2023-05-21 West Ham 3–1 Leeds
  • 2023-01-04 Leeds 2–2 West Ham
  • 2022-01-16 West Ham 2–3 Leeds
  • 2022-01-09 West Ham 2–0 Leeds
  • 2021-09-25 Leeds 1–2 West Ham
Goals per game
West Ham scored1.2
Leeds scored0.6
West Ham conceded2
Leeds conceded0.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for West Ham v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Leeds was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, West Ham won 3, Leeds won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Leeds?
Recent form — West Ham 1W 2D 2L; Leeds 1W 2D 2L.

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