West Ham v Leeds result
Team pages: West Ham · Leeds · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
West Ham 2–2 Leeds — this FA Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
West Ham and Leeds drew 2–2 at London Stadium in the FA Cup on Sunday 5 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: West Ham out-shot Leeds 22 to 21 and created the better chances, 3.85 xG to 3.09 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
Leeds led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Leeds: Ao Tanaka (26’, assisted by Noah Okafor) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin (75’ pen); West Ham: Mateus Fernandes (90’) and A. Disasi (90’, assisted by Adama Traoré).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Disasi’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
C. Pawson showed five yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — West Ham: Maximilian Kilman (74’) and Kyle Walker-Peters (105+2’); Leeds: Lukas Nmecha (40’), Ethan Ampadu (47’) and Jayden Bogle (90+1’).
What it changes
West Ham have scored seven goals, the 263rd-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). West Ham have conceded five goals, the 220th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.
Leeds have scored nine goals, the 254th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Leeds have conceded five goals, the 64th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.
West Ham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Leeds are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adama Traoré (West Ham) 11.1, Mateus Fernandes (West Ham) 9.6 and Ao Tanaka (Leeds) 8.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, West Ham or Leeds (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.
Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: West Ham 2–2 Leeds · FA Cup
- Venue: London Stadium · London
- Referee: C. Pawson
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): West Ham 3 · draws 1 · Leeds 2 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: West Ham 1W 2D 2L · Leeds 1W 2D 2L
West Ham 2–2 Leeds (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | West Ham for / against | Line | Leeds for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.17 for · 7.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.86 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.5 for · 16.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.71 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.5 for · 5.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.57 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.67 for · 8.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.57 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.83 for · 1.33 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.43 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: C. Pawson.
West Ham
West Ham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Areola | 21 | 901897 min | 803.8 /90 | 401.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Hermansen | 11 | 90990 min | 373.4 /90 | 201.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Areola n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
| M. Hermansen n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
West Ham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Diouf | 26 | 842194 min | 321.3 /90 | 301.2 /90 | 120.5 /90 | 1054.3 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| K. Mavropanos | 23 | 861983 min | 301.4 /90 | 411.9 /90 | 221 /90 | 994.5 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | 22 | 871906 min | 301.4 /90 | 371.7 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 763.6 /90 | 211 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| J. Todibo | 21 | 851786 min | 392 /90 | 170.9 /90 | 150.8 /90 | 703.5 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| M. Kilman | 19 | 831581 min | 160.9 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 241.4 /90 | 724.1 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowen n 8 | 88.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | — |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 89.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| E. Diouf n 8 | 86.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | J. Rodon |
| K. Mavropanos n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| C. Summerville n 8 | 89.6 | 1.4 | 2.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Bowen n 8 | 88.5 | 1.4 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 89.9 | 2.9 |
| E. Diouf n 8 | 86.1 | 1.4 |
| K. Mavropanos n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| C. Summerville n 8 | 89.6 | 1.5 |
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West Ham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wilson | 21 | 481011 min | 40.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 222 /90 | 111 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 111 /90 |
| V. Castellanos | 11 | 79866 min | 20.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 171.8 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| N. Füllkrug | 7 | 57396 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 61.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Pablo | 6 | 66396 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 30.7 /90 |
| Luis Guilherme | 3 | 3296 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 21.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowen n 8 | 88.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 89.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| E. Diouf n 8 | 86.1 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Mavropanos n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| C. Summerville n 8 | 89.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowen n 8 | 88.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Mateus Fernandes n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| E. Diouf n 8 | 86.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| K. Mavropanos n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. Summerville n 8 | 89.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
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Leeds
Leeds Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri | 17 | 901530 min | 412.4 /90 | 291.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Darlow | 16 | 901440 min | 372.3 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| K. Darlow n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Leeds Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gudmundsson | 30 | 822460 min | 642.3 /90 | 210.8 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 1696.2 /90 | 311.1 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| J. Rodon | 29 | 882547 min | 321.1 /90 | 271 /90 | 180.6 /90 | 1264.5 /90 | 120.4 /90 | 10 /90 |
| J. Bogle | 29 | 842423 min | 542 /90 | 271 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 1154.3 /90 | 331.2 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| P. Struijk | 28 | 872443 min | 321.2 /90 | 291.1 /90 | 150.6 /90 | 1465.4 /90 | 210.8 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| J. Bijol | 19 | 791499 min | 221.3 /90 | 251.5 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 955.7 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.9 | — |
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 78.3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 89.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | E. Diouf |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 73 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| B. Aaronson n 8 | 70.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 78.3 | 2.2 |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 89.6 | 1.3 |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 73 | 1.8 |
| B. Aaronson n 8 | 70.4 | 1.4 |
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Leeds Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Aaronson | 29 | 681986 min | 40.2 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 261.2 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 261.2 /90 | 221 /90 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 28 | 762119 min | 100.4 /90 | 10 /90 | 522.2 /90 | 261.1 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| N. Okafor | 22 | 621364 min | 40.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 211.4 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 161.1 /90 | 322.1 /90 |
| L. Nmecha | 21 | 491031 min | 40.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 221.9 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| W. Gnonto | 11 | 46507 min | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.4 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 91.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 78.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 89.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| B. Aaronson n 8 | 70.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ampadu n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Gudmundsson n 8 | 78.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Rodon n 8 | 89.6 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bogle n 8 | 73 | 0.2 | 0 |
| B. Aaronson n 8 | 70.4 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| West Ham | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 3.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.09 |
| 22 | Shots | 21 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 17 | Shots inside the box | 17 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Offsides | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 604 | Passes | 490 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
West Ham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Walker-Peters | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | Y | 7.5 |
| A. Disasi | 120 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. Kilman | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.5 |
| Mateus Fernandes | 120 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8.5 |
| J. Bowen | 120 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Areola | 119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Adama Traoré | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| E. Diouf | 105 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| V. Castellanos | 105 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.3 |
| S. Magassa | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| F. Potts | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Souček sub | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Pablo sub | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| O. Scarles sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Kanté sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| E. Mayers sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| F. Herrick sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Leeds Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Perri | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.9 |
| J. Bijol | 120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| P. Struijk | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Ampadu | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| J. Justin | 120 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bogle | 105 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| A. Tanaka | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8.3 |
| N. Okafor | 69 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Nmecha | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| J. Rodon | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Stach | 38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Aaronson sub | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| S. Bornauw sub | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| W. Gnonto sub | 51 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin sub | 51 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Ilia Gruev sub | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Piroe sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind West Ham v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-24 Leeds 2–1 West Ham
- 2023-05-21 West Ham 3–1 Leeds
- 2023-01-04 Leeds 2–2 West Ham
- 2022-01-16 West Ham 2–3 Leeds
- 2022-01-09 West Ham 2–0 Leeds
- 2021-09-25 Leeds 1–2 West Ham
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for West Ham v Leeds?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Leeds was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Leeds?
- In their last 6 meetings, West Ham won 3, Leeds won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of West Ham and Leeds?
- Recent form — West Ham 1W 2D 2L; Leeds 1W 2D 2L.
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