Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki result

Full-time · Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki

J1 League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 06:00 GMT · Best Denki Stadium

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:23 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Avispa Fukuoka · V-varen Nagasaki

The model’s pre-match pick

Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki — this J1 League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki drew 1–1 at Best Denki Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 7 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Avispa Fukuoka out-shot V-varen Nagasaki 13 to 6 and created the better chances, 0.68 xG to 0.24 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

V-varen Nagasaki led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — V-varen Nagasaki: K. Yasuda (11’, assisted by Yamasaki Ryogo); Avispa Fukuoka: Shosei Usui (72’, assisted by S. Sato).

Discipline

The bookings — Avispa Fukuoka: Teppei Oka (66’); V-varen Nagasaki: Yamasaki Ryogo (8’) and Motoki Hasegawa (37’).

What it changes

Avispa Fukuoka have scored three goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Avispa Fukuoka have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

V-varen Nagasaki have scored seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). V-varen Nagasaki have conceded seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Avispa Fukuoka are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. V-varen Nagasaki are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Yasuda (V-varen Nagasaki) 6.5, Tomoya Miki (Avispa Fukuoka) 5.0 and Onaga Hijiri (V-varen Nagasaki) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Avispa Fukuoka or V-varen Nagasaki (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki · J1 League
Venue: Best Denki Stadium · Fukuoka
Referee: Koji Takasaki
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Avispa Fukuoka 1 · draws 0 · V-varen Nagasaki 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Avispa Fukuoka 1W 0D 4L · V-varen Nagasaki 1W 1D 3L

Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1

Goals

against 2 / 0.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.14 / 2.88

Corners

against 4 / 6.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.57 / 2.75

Shots on target

against 4 / 4.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 1.25

Cards

against 0.86 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Avispa Fukuoka for / against	Line	V-varen Nagasaki for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.14 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	2.88 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.29 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.71 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Koji Takasaki.

Avispa Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka Goalkeeper

Avispa Fukuoka — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Obata	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90

Avispa Fukuoka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avispa Fukuoka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Obata n 8	90	2.6 5/4

Avispa Fukuoka Defensive

Avispa Fukuoka — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Teppei Oka	4	82327 min	102.8 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	205.5 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Yu Hashimoto	4	36143 min	31.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	53.1 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
Kamijima Takumi	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	94.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
Masaya Tashiro	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	84 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Yuma Tsujioka	2	90179 min	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	105 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Avispa Fukuoka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avispa Fukuoka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Tomoya Miki n 8	84.4	1.2 4/3	0.9 4/2	Motoki Hasegawa
Y. Obata n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Shu Morooka n 4	89	2 4/2	1.8 4/2	Matheus Jesus
Maejima Yota n 8	88.6	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0	—
Teppei Oka n 8	80.4	0.8 5/1	0.4 2/1	K. Doi
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Avispa Fukuoka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avispa Fukuoka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Tomoya Miki n 8	84.4	2.1 8/4
Shu Morooka n 4	89	1.3 4/1
Maejima Yota n 8	88.6	1.8 6/5
Teppei Oka n 8	80.4	2.4 7/4
Masato Shigemi n 8	71.8	1.3 5/2
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Avispa Fukuoka Attacking

Avispa Fukuoka — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Shu Morooka	4	89356 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90
Werik Popó	4	49195 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	83.7 /90
Tomoya Miki	4	90360 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Maejima Yota	4	87349 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Masato Shigemi	4	78311 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Avispa Fukuoka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avispa Fukuoka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Tomoya Miki n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
Y. Obata n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shu Morooka n 4	89	1.3 4/1	0.3 1/0
Maejima Yota n 8	88.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Teppei Oka n 8	80.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Avispa Fukuoka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Avispa Fukuoka before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Tomoya Miki n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Obata n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Shu Morooka n 4	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maejima Yota n 8	88.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Teppei Oka n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki Goalkeeper

V-varen Nagasaki — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Goto Masaaki	5	90450 min	142.8 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90

V-varen Nagasaki — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for V-varen Nagasaki before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Goto Masaaki n 8	90	3.8 7/6

V-varen Nagasaki Defensive

V-varen Nagasaki — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Doi	5	85425 min	40.8 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	143 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
Arai Ikki	4	84337 min	00 /90	71.9 /90	20.5 /90	164.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Y. Egawa	4	68272 min	41.3 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	144.6 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Takuma Ominami	3	47142 min	31.9 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90	85.1 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90
R. Shindo	3	43129 min	85.6 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	149.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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V-varen Nagasaki — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for V-varen Nagasaki before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Matheus Jesus n 8	89.8	1.8 7/5	1.9 7/4	Shu Morooka
Motoki Hasegawa n 8	87.6	0.1 1/0	1.2 6/1	Tomoya Miki
Goto Masaaki n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
Yamaguchi Hotaru n 8	86.3	0.8 4/2	0.7 5/0	—
K. Doi n 5	85	0.8 3/1	1.1 3/1	Teppei Oka
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V-varen Nagasaki — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for V-varen Nagasaki before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Motoki Hasegawa n 8	87.6	0.9 4/2
Matheus Jesus n 8	89.8	0.8 3/2
Yamaguchi Hotaru n 8	86.3	0.8 5/1
K. Doi n 5	85	0.8 3/1
S. Yoneda n 5	80.4	1.8 5/2
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V-varen Nagasaki Attacking

V-varen Nagasaki — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Matheus Jesus	5	90450 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	122.4 /90	51 /90	112.2 /90	81.6 /90
Jonathan	5	57284 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90	51.6 /90
T. Matsumoto	2	61122 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	43 /90	10.7 /90
Thiago Santana	2	4998 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	65.5 /90	21.8 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90
T. Sawada	1	5353 min	00 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90
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V-varen Nagasaki — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for V-varen Nagasaki before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Jesus n 8	89.8	2.5 8/6	1.1 7/2
Motoki Hasegawa n 8	87.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Goto Masaaki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Yamaguchi Hotaru n 8	86.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
K. Doi n 5	85	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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V-varen Nagasaki — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for V-varen Nagasaki before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Matheus Jesus n 8	89.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1
Goto Masaaki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Motoki Hasegawa n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Yamaguchi Hotaru n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Doi n 5	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Avispa Fukuoka		V-varen Nagasaki
62%	Possession	38%
0.68	Expected goals (xG)	0.24
13	Shots	6
3	Shots on target	1
6	Shots off target	3
4	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	4
4	Corners	2
1	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	2
564	Passes	353

Avispa Fukuoka Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Teppei Oka	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6
Kamijima Takumi	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.8
Tomoya Miki	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.1
Shu Morooka	90	0	0	3	0	2	1	0	6.3
T. Nagaishi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Keiya Shiihashi	86	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Werik Popó	63	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
Yu Hashimoto	63	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.4
Shintaro Nago	63	0	0	3	1	1	2	0	6.6
M. Yuzawa	46	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Masato Shigemi	44	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
Kohei Okuno	27	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5.9
S. Sato	27	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	7
Shosei Usui	27	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8.1
H. Akino	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

V-varen Nagasaki Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Doi	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.1
Y. Egawa	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.6
Onaga Hijiri	90	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	6.4
Yamaguchi Hotaru	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
S. Yoneda	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
Goto Masaaki	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Matheus Jesus	81	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.1
Motoki Hasegawa	69	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
K. Yasuda	69	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.5
Yamasaki Ryogo	58	0	1	0	0	1	1	Y	6.7
Arai Ikki	46	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Shindo	44	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.8
T. Matsumoto	32	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.5
Diego Pituca	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Iwasaki Yuto	21	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Thiago Santana	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Avispa FukuokaWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

V-varen NagasakiDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Avispa Fukuoka 1 · 0 draws · V-varen Nagasaki 1 · 1 goals/game

2026-04-11 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki
2026-03-15 V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka

League standing · 2027

Avispa Fukuoka#20 pos7 pts13 pl-11 GD

V-varen Nagasaki#16 pos12 pts13 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Avispa Fukuoka scored1

V-varen Nagasaki scored1.23

Avispa Fukuoka conceded1.85

V-varen Nagasaki conceded1.62

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Avispa Fukuoka v V-varen Nagasaki was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki?: In their last 2 meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 1, V-varen Nagasaki won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki?: Recent form — Avispa Fukuoka 1W 0D 4L; V-varen Nagasaki 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:23 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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