Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale result

Full-time · Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki Frontale

J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 07:00 BST · Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 09:58 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cerezo Osaka · Kawasaki Frontale · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki Frontale — Kawasaki Frontale won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Bet365

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Kawasaki Frontale won 4–2 at Yodoko Sakura Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Cerezo Osaka have scored in eight consecutive matches.

The goals

Kawasaki Frontale led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Kawasaki Frontale: Pedro Romano (10’, assisted by S. Miura), K. Tachibanada (45’, assisted by R. Yamahara), Y. Wakizaka (74’, assisted by Marcinho) and Y. Ozeki (89’, assisted by S. Kawahara); Cerezo Osaka: Lucas Fernandes (43’ pen) and Y. Komi (48’, assisted by Shunta Tanaka). Ayumu Ohata (19’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Y. Wakizaka’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cerezo Osaka out-shot Kawasaki Frontale 12 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.98 xG to 1.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Cerezo Osaka: J. Irvine (53’) and Pablo Sabbag (65’); Kawasaki Frontale: Pedro Romano (36’) and R. Yamahara (41’).

What it changes

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 10 so far, across eight matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Fernandes (Cerezo Osaka) 8.6, K. Tachibanada (Kawasaki Frontale) 8.4 and Shunta Tanaka (Cerezo Osaka) 7.0 led the match.

Next up

Cerezo Osaka next travel to Nagoya Grampus on 21 October 2026.

Kawasaki Frontale next host Vissel Kobe on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cerezo Osaka: Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Kawasaki Frontale: Kawasaki Frontale v Vissel Kobe, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki Frontale · J1 League
Venue: Yodoko Sakura Stadium · Osaka
Referee: Masuya Ueda
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Cerezo Osaka 3 · draws 2 · Kawasaki Frontale 1 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Cerezo Osaka 4W 1D 0L · Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L

Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.38 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.63

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 0.75

Cards

against 1.25 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Cerezo Osaka for / against	Line	Kawasaki Frontale for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.63 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nelson Ishiwatari n 8	51.9	3.3 6/5	1.7 5/2	—
Thiago Andrade n 8	52.8	2.8 7/4	0.6 3/0	—
Solomon Sakuragawa n 8	47.5	2.1 5/2	1.2 3/2	—
Hinata Kida n 8	61.9	2 5/2	0.7 3/1	—
K. Yoshino n 8	29.6	1.9 3/2	1.9 3/2	—

Cerezo Osaka — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Solomon Sakuragawa n 8	47.5	2.6 5/4	1.7 4/3
Satoki Uejo n 8	17.1	2 3/0	2 3/0
Motohiko Nakajima n 8	65.1	1.9 6/3	0.9 4/1
Yumeki Yokoyama n 8	59.6	1.7 5/3	1.1 3/3
Thiago Andrade n 8	52.8	1.7 4/3	1.5 4/2

Cerezo Osaka — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Solomon Sakuragawa n 8	47.5	0.9 2/2	0.2 1/0
Masaya Shibayama n 8	72	0.2 1/0	0.8 4/1
Shion Homma n 8	36.1	0.3 1/0	0.6 1/1
Yumeki Yokoyama n 8	59.6	0.8 2/2	0 0/0
Satoki Uejo n 8	17.1	0.7 1/0	0 0/0

Cerezo Osaka — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nelson Ishiwatari n 8	51.9	5.6 8/5
K. Yoshino n 8	29.6	3.8 6/4
Ayumu Ohata n 8	70.1	2.6 6/4
Dion Cools n 8	79.1	2.1 7/6
K. Noborizato n 8	46	2 5/1

Cerezo Osaka — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kosuke Nakamura n 8	90	3.5 8/6

Kawasaki Frontale

Kawasaki Frontale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Kanda n 8	14.3	2.4 2/1	2.4 3/0	—
A. Sasaki n 8	57.9	2.1 7/4	0.4 2/0	—
L. Romanic n 8	51.9	2 6/1	1.3 3/3	—
T. Ito n 8	70.6	1.8 5/4	1.1 6/1	—
Erison n 8	54.1	1.7 5/3	0.8 4/0	—

Kawasaki Frontale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kanda n 8	14.3	3.9 3/2	1.6 2/0
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 5	46.4	3.5 4/3	1.9 3/1
Erison n 8	54.1	2.5 7/3	0.6 3/0
Derik Lacerda n 8	86.4	2.1 7/4	0.8 3/2
T. Ito n 8	70.6	1.9 7/3	0.8 5/0

Kawasaki Frontale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kyosuke Mochiyama n 5	46.4	1.2 1/1	0 0/0
Derik Lacerda n 8	86.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Y. Wakizaka n 8	83.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
S. Kawahara n 8	39.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
T. Ito n 8	70.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Kawasaki Frontale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Sasaki n 8	57.9	2.7 7/4
S. Kawahara n 8	39.3	2.3 6/2
F. Uremović n 8	73.1	2.2 6/4
Pedro Romano n 4	86.5	2.1 4/2
Y. Matsunagane n 8	88.8	1.5 7/4

Kawasaki Frontale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Thebault-Yamaguchi n 8	88.9	3 7/4
S. Brodersen n 8	90	2.8 6/4

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cerezo Osaka		Kawasaki Frontale
41%	Possession	59%
1.98	Expected goals (xG)	1.43
12	Shots	9
3	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	1
8	Shots inside the box	6
3	Corners	2
0	Offsides	7
10	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	2
1	Red cards	0
1	Saves	1
411	Passes	588

Cerezo Osaka player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Dion Cools	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	5.7
T. Takahashi	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Rikito Inoue	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.4
Hayato Okuda	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
Shunta Tanaka	90	0	1	1	0	3	3	0	7.4
Kosuke Nakamura	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.5
J. Irvine	85	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	5.5
Lucas Fernandes	76	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	6.1
Y. Komi	76	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	7
Pablo Sabbag	66	0	0	2	0	0	0	Y	5.6
Solomon Sakuragawa	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Ayumu Ohata	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	R	5
Shinji Kagawa	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
Y. Yokoyama	14	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.4
K. Okazawa	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.8

Kawasaki Frontale player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Uremović	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
S. Miura	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7.4
Y. Yamamoto	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.2
T. Ito	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
Y. Wakizaka	90	1	0	3	2	0	1	0	7.8
S. Brodersen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
K. Tachibanada	87	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	8.2
Derik Lacerda	86	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Marcinho	75	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	6.5
R. Yamahara	59	0	1	0	0	1	0	Y	6.1
Pedro Romano	46	1	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.9
Y. Maruyama	44	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.8
A. Sasaki	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Y. Ozeki	15	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
Y. Kobayashi	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Kawahara	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Cerezo OsakaWWWDW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Kawasaki FrontaleDWLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Cerezo Osaka 3 · 2 draws · Kawasaki Frontale 1 · 1.67 goals/game

2025-10-25 Cerezo Osaka 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale
2025-05-18 Kawasaki Frontale 2–0 Cerezo Osaka
2024-07-14 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Cerezo Osaka
2024-04-13 Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale
2023-09-02 Cerezo Osaka 3–0 Kawasaki Frontale
2023-03-18 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Cerezo Osaka

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Cerezo Osaka#12 pos12 pts9 pl-5 GD

Kawasaki Frontale#8 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Cerezo Osaka scored0.78

Kawasaki Frontale scored1.89

Cerezo Osaka conceded1.33

Kawasaki Frontale conceded1.56

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale?: In their last 6 meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 3, Kawasaki Frontale won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale?: Recent form — Cerezo Osaka 4W 1D 0L; Kawasaki Frontale 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 09:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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