Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus result

Full-time · Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus

J1 League · · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kashiwa Reysol · Nagoya Grampus · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus — Nagoya Grampus won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nagoya Grampus won 3–1 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Nagoya Grampus have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.

The goals

Nagoya Grampus led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Nagoya Grampus: Takuya Uchida (6’, assisted by Yudai Kimura), Yudai Kimura (36’, assisted by Kensuke Nagai) and Yuya Yamagishi (79’, assisted by Hidemasa Koda); Kashiwa Reysol: K. Endo (23’, assisted by Shota Fujio).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yudai Kimura’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Kashiwa Reysol 0.95, Nagoya Grampus 1.07, from 14 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Kashiwa Reysol: Yoshio Koizumi (16’) and Daiki Sugioka (52’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yudai Kimura (Nagoya Grampus) 9.2, Takuya Uchida (Nagoya Grampus) 6.1 and K. Endo (Kashiwa Reysol) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3334 of 4315).

Next up

Kashiwa Reysol next travel to FC Tokyo on 21 October 2026.

Nagoya Grampus next host Cerezo Osaka on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Kashiwa Reysol: FC Tokyo v Kashiwa Reysol, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Nagoya Grampus: Nagoya Grampus v Cerezo Osaka, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus · J1 League
  • Venue: Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium · Kashiwa
  • Referee: Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Kashiwa Reysol 2 · draws 1 · Nagoya Grampus 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Kashiwa Reysol 3W 0D 2L · Nagoya Grampus 1W 1D 3L

Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 0.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameKashiwa Reysol for / againstLineNagoya Grampus for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.63 for · 7.75 against n 8
21.5standard
7.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yusuke Segawa n 832.8
3.46/2
12/1
—
Hinata Yamauchi n 840.3
2.85/4
1.43/2
Yudai Kimura
Koki Kumasaka n 864.3
1.64/4
0.53/0
—
Yuki Kakita n 860.8
1.55/3
1.34/2
—
Yosei Yamauchi n 852.8
1.55/2
1.35/1
—
Kashiwa Reysol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mao Hosoya n 831
2.97/1
1.54/0
Hinata Yamauchi n 840.3
2.25/2
25/2
Yusuke Segawa n 832.8
1.74/1
1.43/1
Tojiro Kubo n 875.6
1.65/3
0.73/2
Yuki Kakita n 860.8
1.56/1
0.63/0
Kashiwa Reysol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mao Hosoya n 831
0.72/0
0.41/0
Yuki Kakita n 860.8
0.63/0
0.42/0
Y. Komi n 852.4
0.93/1
00/0
Yoshio Koizumi n 881.1
0.32/0
0.42/1
Seiya Baba n 837.5
00/0
0.62/0
Kashiwa Reysol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Koki Kumasaka n 864.3
3.58/6
Tojiro Kubo n 875.6
2.16/4
Seiya Baba n 837.5
2.13/2
Wataru Harada n 883.9
1.96/5
Yudai Konishi n 864.9
1.95/3
Kashiwa Reysol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kengo Nagai n 590
2.84/2
Ryosuke Kojima n 890
2.36/3
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yudai Kimura n 879.3
2.16/4
1.46/4
Hinata Yamauchi
Ryosuke Yamanaka n 828.8
1.64/0
0.82/0
—
Takuya Uchida n 846
1.56/0
1.53/2
—
Tomoki Takamine n 890.4
1.16/2
1.16/2
—
Yuki Nogami n 866
16/0
0.94/1
—
Nagoya Grampus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuya Yamagishi n 867.5
2.57/4
1.23/2
Kensuke Nagai n 835.4
1.94/1
1.33/1
Yudai Kimura n 879.3
1.87/3
1.46/3
Hidemasa Koda n 827.3
1.73/1
0.41/0
Yuya Asano n 885
1.66/4
0.85/1
Nagoya Grampus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kensuke Nagai n 835.4
12/1
00/0
Yuya Yamagishi n 867.5
0.83/1
00/0
Shungo Sugiura n 831.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
Hidemasa Koda n 827.3
00/0
0.82/0
Tsukasa Morishima n 876.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Nagoya Grampus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryosuke Yamanaka n 828.8
3.15/3
Takuya Uchida n 846
2.75/5
Soichiro Mori n 824.9
2.32/2
Katsuhiro Nakayama n 885.1
2.28/5
Hidemasa Koda n 827.3
2.14/1
Nagoya Grampus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alexandre Pisano n 890
3.97/6
Daniel Schmidt n 893.8
35/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
58%Possession42%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.07
14Shots9
2Shots on target4
6Shots off target5
6Blocked shots0
7Shots inside the box6
7Corners2
1Offsides1
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves2
602Passes421

Kashiwa Reysol player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Yoshio Koizumi90000020Y5.3
Nobuteru Nakagawa9000303006.8
Tojiro Kubo9000211106.1
Daiki Sugioka90000000Y5.8
Taiyo Koga9000000006.5
Kengo Nagai7700000005.7
Shota Fujio7301301206.5
K. Endo6810310107.3
Yudai Konishi6800100006.3
S. Toshima4600000106.1
Hinata Yamauchi4600102006.1
Yusuke Segawa4400000105.7
Wataru Harada4400001105.6
K. Yuba2200000205.8
Riki Harakawa2200100106
Mao Hosoya1700001006.4
T. Wakahara1300000004.8

Nagoya Grampus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Takuya Uchida9010110107.1
Sho Inagaki9000000106.4
Haruya Fujii9000000307.1
Teruki Hara9000000206.2
Daniel Schmidt9000000007
Tomoki Takamine8600100006.4
Ryuji Izumi7700000106
Tsukasa Morishima7700000306.1
Yuki Nogami7700000105.9
Yudai Kimura6311312208.3
Kensuke Nagai5701003107.7
Hidemasa Koda3301211106.8
Yuya Yamagishi2710210007.4
Tomoya Koyamatsu1300001006.4
Masahito Ono1300000106.2
Shuhei Tokumoto1300000006.7
Yota Sato400000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kashiwa ReysolWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Nagoya GrampusLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Kashiwa Reysol 2 · 1 draw · Nagoya Grampus 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-08 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Nagoya Grampus
  • 2025-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol
  • 2024-07-14 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol
  • 2024-03-16 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Nagoya Grampus
  • 2023-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol
  • 2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus
League standing · 2027
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Kashiwa Reysol#1 pos21 pts9 pl+7 GD
Nagoya Grampus#15 pos9 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Kashiwa Reysol scored2.33
Nagoya Grampus scored1
Kashiwa Reysol conceded1.56
Nagoya Grampus conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus?
In their last 6 meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 2, Nagoya Grampus won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus?
Recent form — Kashiwa Reysol 3W 0D 2L; Nagoya Grampus 1W 1D 3L.

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