Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

J1 League · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:00 GMT · Machida GION Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Machida Zelvia · Sanfrecce Hiroshima

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J1 League on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.31 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Machida Zelvia host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 05:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Machida Zelvia have scored 30 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Machida Zelvia are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Machida Zelvia’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Machida Zelvia have six wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.25. Machida Zelvia have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Nine of Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in five of Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.88. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored 32 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2027 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Sanfrecce Hiroshima have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Machida Zelvia (fourth) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (second) are two points apart, 2027 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Machida Zelvia the stronger side, 103 rating points above Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Machida Zelvia 1758, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1655, after at least 100 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Machida Zelvia, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 4 October 2025, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Machida Zelvia.

Team news

Predicted Machida Zelvia XI (3-4-2-1): K. Tani, G. Shoji, K. Min-Tae, T. Ouwejan, R. Shirasaki, H. Mae, T. Akimoto, H. Nakamura, H. Shimoda, H. Mochizuki, K. Ogawa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Takahiro Akimoto (6.2 per match over four appearances, two assists) and Kosei Tani (5.0 per match over four appearances) have been Machida Zelvia’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Machida Zelvia (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), Takahiro Akimoto averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 360 minutes. Kosei Tani averages 4.5 saves per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted Sanfrecce Hiroshima XI (3-4-2-1): K. Osako, S. Nakano, H. Araki, K. Ju-Sung, H. Kawabe, N. Arai, T. Matsumoto, S. Higashi, Y. Nakajima, D. Suga, A. Suzuki — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Suzuki (6.1 per match over five appearances, three goals and two assists) and Shuto Nakano (5.1 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Sanfrecce Hiroshima’s most influential players 2027, all competitions. In numbers for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2027, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Suzuki averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 412 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances. Shuto Nakano averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:00 GMT · J1 League · Machida GION Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Machida Zelvia 0 · draws 0 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 · 2.75 goals/game
Recent form: Machida Zelvia 3W 2D 0L · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4W 0D 1L

Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.38

Goals

against 0.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.71 / 6.75

Corners

against 4.71 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.43 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 4.14 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.14 / 0.75

Cards

against 1.14 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Machida Zelvia for / against	Line	Sanfrecce Hiroshima for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.71 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.71 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.43 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.14 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia Goalkeeper

Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Kosei Tani	4	90360 min	184.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Machida Zelvia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Kosei Tani n 8	90.8	4.5 7/6

Machida Zelvia Defensive

Machida Zelvia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Ouwejan	4	89354 min	61.5 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	153.8 /90	41 /90	00 /90
Gen Shoji	4	87346 min	71.8 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	184.7 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
Daihachi Okamura	3	74221 min	41.6 /90	72.9 /90	31.2 /90	72.9 /90	72.9 /90	10.4 /90
Kim Min-Tae	2	68135 min	32 /90	32 /90	00 /90	138.7 /90	32 /90	10.7 /90
Hotaka Nakamura	2	2549 min	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	47.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Machida Zelvia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Takahiro Akimoto n 7	66.4	1.2 5/1	1.4 5/1	—
Kosei Tani n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
T. Ouwejan n 5	74.4	1 4/0	0.5 2/0	—
Hiroyuki Mae n 8	79.6	1.7 6/3	1 4/2	—
Koki Ogawa n 7	61.3	0.8 4/0	2.5 5/5	—
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Machida Zelvia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Takahiro Akimoto n 7	66.4	1.9 4/3
T. Ouwejan n 5	74.4	1.5 3/3
Hiroyuki Mae n 8	79.6	2.7 7/5
Koki Ogawa n 7	61.3	1 3/2
Gen Shoji n 8	86.3	1.6 7/3
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Machida Zelvia Attacking

Machida Zelvia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Koki Ogawa	4	87347 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	184.7 /90	82.1 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Mitchell Duke	2	1937 min	00 /90	00 /90	37.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Tete Yengi	1	6565 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	22.8 /90	22.8 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90
Takahiro Akimoto	4	90360 min	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	82 /90	71.8 /90
Hiroyuki Mae	4	87349 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90
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Machida Zelvia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Takahiro Akimoto n 7	66.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Kosei Tani n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Ouwejan n 5	74.4	1.2 3/1	0.5 2/0
Hiroyuki Mae n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Koki Ogawa n 7	61.3	4.8 7/6	2.1 6/3
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Machida Zelvia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Machida Zelvia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Takahiro Akimoto n 7	66.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
Kosei Tani n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Ouwejan n 5	74.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hiroyuki Mae n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Koki Ogawa n 7	61.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goalkeeper

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Osako	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sanfrecce Hiroshima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Osako n 8	90	1.9 5/2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Defensive

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Shuto Nakano	5	90450 min	112.2 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	244.8 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
H. Araki	5	89446 min	102 /90	71.4 /90	10.2 /90	489.7 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
Kim Ju-Sung	5	59296 min	92.7 /90	92.7 /90	10.3 /90	288.5 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90
H. Kawabe	5	87433 min	153.1 /90	71.5 /90	00 /90	234.8 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90
N. Arai	5	84418 min	91.9 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	235 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sanfrecce Hiroshima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Shuto Nakano n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.9 4/2	—
K. Osako n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
H. Araki n 8	86.1	0.8 5/1	1.8 6/6	—
H. Kawabe n 8	86.8	1.2 6/2	0.6 4/1	—
N. Arai n 8	83.4	0.5 4/0	1.5 7/4	—
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sanfrecce Hiroshima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Shuto Nakano n 8	90	1.8 7/6
H. Araki n 8	86.1	1.8 6/5
H. Kawabe n 8	86.8	2.7 7/5
N. Arai n 8	83.4	2 8/4
A. Suzuki n 8	79.8	1 4/2
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima Attacking

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Suzuki	5	82412 min	30.7 /90	20.4 /90	122.6 /90	61.3 /90	92 /90	20.4 /90
S. Ayukawa	5	64319 min	00 /90	00 /90	82.3 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
M. Kato	4	41162 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90
Mutsuki Kato	4	41162 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
T. Asano	4	33132 min	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	42.7 /90	10.7 /90	32 /90	21.4 /90
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sanfrecce Hiroshima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Shuto Nakano n 8	90	1 6/1	0.5 3/1
K. Osako n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Araki n 8	86.1	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
H. Kawabe n 8	86.8	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
N. Arai n 8	83.4	2.7 6/5	0.7 4/1
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sanfrecce Hiroshima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Shuto Nakano n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
K. Osako n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Araki n 8	86.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Kawabe n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
N. Arai n 8	83.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Machida ZelviaWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Machida Zelvia 0 · 0 draws · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 · 2.75 goals/game

2025-10-04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Machida Zelvia
2025-02-16 Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Machida Zelvia
2024-04-03 Machida Zelvia 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

League standing · 2027

Machida Zelvia#4 pos27 pts12 pl+20 GD

Sanfrecce Hiroshima#2 pos29 pts13 pl+22 GD

Goals per game

Machida Zelvia scored2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored2.46

Machida Zelvia conceded0.83

Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded0.77

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: In their last 4 meetings, Machida Zelvia won 0, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima?: Recent form — Machida Zelvia 3W 2D 0L; Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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