OH Leuven v KV Mechelen prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:15 GMT · Den Dreef

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: OH Leuven · KV Mechelen · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for OH Leuven v KV Mechelen, Jupiler Pro League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.42 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

OH Leuven host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:15 UK); the model’s free pick is OH Leuven or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

OH Leuven are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. KV Mechelen are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. OH Leuven have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of OH Leuven’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of OH Leuven’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, OH Leuven have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.25. OH Leuven have scored 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). OH Leuven have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

10 of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of KV Mechelen’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, KV Mechelen have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. KV Mechelen have scored 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). KV Mechelen have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

OH Leuven (14th) and KV Mechelen (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have KV Mechelen the stronger side, 37 rating points above OH Leuven (KV Mechelen 1556, OH Leuven 1519, after at least 231 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

KV Mechelen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with OH Leuven. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2026, finished OH Leuven 2–2 KV Mechelen.

Team news

Predicted OH Leuven XI (3-4-3): D. van den Heuvel, J. Lawrence, R. Nyakossi, E. Pletinckx, W. George, D. Opoku, S. Schrijvers, T. Ogiwara, R. Mirisola, W. Balikwisha, E. Addai — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Siebe Schrijvers (5.6 per match over nine appearances, two assists) and Óscar Gil (4.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been OH Leuven’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for OH Leuven (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Siebe Schrijvers averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 785 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. Óscar Gil averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 675 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted KV Mechelen XI (3-4-1-2): O. De Wolf, J. Marsà, M. Eerdhuijzen, K. Corbanie, T. Koudou, F. Hammar, S. Michez, M. Decherf, D. Praet, M. van Brederode, B. Raman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. van Brederode (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, four goals) and S. Michez (4.8 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been KV Mechelen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for KV Mechelen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. van Brederode averages 0.8 shots per 90 over 900 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. S. Michez averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 423 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last six appearances.

The referee

L. Visser takes charge; across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition) the referee has shown 4.5 yellow cards a game and 0.10 reds.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:15 GMT · Jupiler Pro League · Den Dreef
Referee: L. Visser
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): OH Leuven 1 · draws 3 · KV Mechelen 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: OH Leuven 3W 2D 0L · KV Mechelen 4W 1D 0L

OH Leuven v KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.43 / 5.14

Corners

against 8.86 / 5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.29 / 4.29

Shots on target

against 3.71 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.57 / 2.29

Cards

against 1.86 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.48 yellows

Referee · L. Visser

23.29 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 21 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	OH Leuven for / against	Line	KV Mechelen for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.43 for · 8.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.14 for · 15 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 15 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.29 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.29 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.71 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.71 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.57 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: L. Visser — 4.48 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 23.29 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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OH Leuven

OH Leuven Goalkeeper

OH Leuven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. van den Heuvel	9	90810 min	293.2 /90	161.8 /90	20.2 /90
K. Vroman	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90

OH Leuven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. van den Heuvel n 8	90	2.9 6/3

OH Leuven Defensive

OH Leuven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Roggerio Nyakossi	8	88700 min	81 /90	283.6 /90	151.9 /90	293.7 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90
N. Dussenne	8	87692 min	152 /90	141.8 /90	70.9 /90	405.2 /90	111.4 /90	00 /90
Ewoud Pletinckx	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	101.4 /90	91.3 /90	263.7 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
J. Lawrence	7	90630 min	121.7 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90	405.7 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90
Wouter George	10	85845 min	222.3 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90	363.8 /90	131.4 /90	20.2 /90
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OH Leuven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Wouter George n 8	85.6	1.4 6/3	0.7 4/1	—
William Balikwisha n 8	63.3	1.2 7/0	1.1 4/2	—
Davis Opoku n 8	67.6	0.8 4/1	1.7 6/3	—
D. van den Heuvel n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Siebe Schrijvers n 8	86.9	0.5 4/0	1.9 8/4	—
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OH Leuven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Wouter George n 8	85.6	2.4 8/6
William Balikwisha n 8	63.3	3.2 7/5
Davis Opoku n 8	67.6	2.2 6/4
Siebe Schrijvers n 8	86.9	2.7 8/7
Roggerio Nyakossi n 8	87.5	1 5/1
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OH Leuven Attacking

OH Leuven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
William Balikwisha	10	67672 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90	101.3 /90	172.3 /90
Robin Mirisola	6	73439 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90	112.3 /90
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	6	59354 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Abdoul Karim Traoré	6	49293 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90	51.5 /90	30.9 /90
Łukasz Łakomy	5	43216 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90
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OH Leuven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Wouter George n 8	85.6	0.9 4/3	0.4 2/1
William Balikwisha n 8	63.3	1.6 6/2	0.5 3/0
Davis Opoku n 8	67.6	1 6/0	0.5 3/0
D. van den Heuvel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Siebe Schrijvers n 8	86.9	1.4 6/4	0.3 2/0
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OH Leuven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Wouter George n 8	85.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
William Balikwisha n 8	63.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Davis Opoku n 8	67.6	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
D. van den Heuvel n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Siebe Schrijvers n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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KV Mechelen

KV Mechelen Goalkeeper

KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Nacho Mirás	8	90720 min	232.9 /90	172.1 /90	00 /90
O. De Wolf	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

KV Mechelen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nacho Mirás n 8	90	2.9 6/4
O. De Wolf n 8	84.4	2.4 5/3

KV Mechelen Defensive

KV Mechelen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
José Marsà	10	87874 min	161.6 /90	151.5 /90	20.2 /90	383.9 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Luc Marijnissen	7	86602 min	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	60.9 /90	456.7 /90	81.2 /90	00 /90
M. Eerdhuijzen	6	86513 min	91.6 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	315.4 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
K. Corbanie	4	83332 min	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	123.3 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
M. Decoene	4	72286 min	51.6 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90	154.7 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90
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KV Mechelen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. van Brederode n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1.4 4/4	—
José Marsà n 8	88.5	0.6 5/0	0.8 4/2	—
F. Hammar n 8	84	2.7 8/5	1.2 6/1	—
T. Koudou n 8	88.9	1.1 7/2	1.4 7/3	—
Dennis Praet n 8	69.9	1.1 5/2	1.9 5/3	—
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KV Mechelen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. van Brederode n 8	90	1.3 7/3
José Marsà n 8	88.5	1.7 6/4
F. Hammar n 8	84	5.2 8/8
T. Koudou n 8	88.9	1 6/2
Dennis Praet n 8	69.9	2.4 6/5
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KV Mechelen Attacking

KV Mechelen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. van Brederode	10	90900 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	252.5 /90	141.4 /90
B. Raman	8	51408 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.3 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	20.4 /90
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne	7	52364 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	61.5 /90	92.2 /90
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi	6	65391 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Bouke Boersma	4	78310 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90
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KV Mechelen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. van Brederode n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.6 4/1
José Marsà n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
F. Hammar n 8	84	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Koudou n 8	88.9	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
Dennis Praet n 8	69.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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KV Mechelen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for KV Mechelen before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. van Brederode n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
José Marsà n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Hammar n 8	84	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Koudou n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dennis Praet n 8	69.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind OH Leuven v KV Mechelen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

OH LeuvenWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

KV MechelenDWWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

OH Leuven 1 · 3 draws · KV Mechelen 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-02-01 OH Leuven 2–2 KV Mechelen
2025-10-25 KV Mechelen 1–1 OH Leuven
2025-05-03 OH Leuven 1–2 KV Mechelen
2025-04-13 KV Mechelen 1–1 OH Leuven
2025-01-31 OH Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen
2024-10-05 KV Mechelen 5–0 OH Leuven

League standing · 2026/27

OH Leuven#14 pos9 pts10 pl-7 GD

KV Mechelen#10 pos12 pts10 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

OH Leuven scored1

KV Mechelen scored1.3

OH Leuven conceded1.7

KV Mechelen conceded1.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win OH Leuven v KV Mechelen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for OH Leuven v KV Mechelen is Home or Draw (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between OH Leuven and KV Mechelen?: In their last 6 meetings, OH Leuven won 1, KV Mechelen won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of OH Leuven and KV Mechelen?: Recent form — OH Leuven 3W 2D 0L; KV Mechelen 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 07:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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