St. TruidenOH Leuven

St. Truiden v OH Leuven result

Full-time · St. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven

Jupiler Pro League · · Daio Wasabi Stayen

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St. Truiden · OH Leuven · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

St. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven — OH Leuven won this Jupiler Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.25 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

OH Leuven won 2–1 at Daio Wasabi Stayen in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 1 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: St. Truiden out-shot OH Leuven 26 to 21 and created the better chances, 3.82 xG to 1.59 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — St. Truiden: Nathanaël Mbuku (46’, assisted by Frederic Soelle Soelle); OH Leuven: Robin Mirisola (53’, assisted by Siebe Schrijvers) and Davis Opoku (81’, assisted by Wouter George).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Robin Mirisola’s goal on 54 minutes.

Discipline

M. Allaerts showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — St. Truiden: Kaito Matsuzawa (84’); OH Leuven: J. Lawrence (55’), Davis Opoku (88’) and Roggerio Nyakossi (90+3’).

What it changes

St. Truiden move down from 13th to 15th (10 league matches played). St. Truiden have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). St. Truiden have conceded 21 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

OH Leuven move up from 15th to 13th (shared) (10 league matches played). OH Leuven have scored 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). OH Leuven have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs.

OH Leuven are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. St. Truiden have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. OH Leuven have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. van den Heuvel (OH Leuven) 12.8, Robin Mirisola (OH Leuven) 10.9 and Siebe Schrijvers (OH Leuven) 9.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, St. Truiden or OH Leuven (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

St. Truiden next host Zulte Waregem on 8 November 2026.

OH Leuven next host KV Mechelen on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for St. Truiden: St. Truiden v Zulte Waregem, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for OH Leuven: OH Leuven v KV Mechelen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: St. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
  • Venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen · Sint-Truiden
  • Referee: M. Allaerts
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): St. Truiden 3 · draws 1 · OH Leuven 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: St. Truiden 3W 0D 2L · OH Leuven 2W 3D 0L

St. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.43 / 4
Corners
against 3 / 7.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 3.14
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 3.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 2.43
Cards
against 1.14 / 2 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.45 yellows
Referee · M. Allaerts
23.45 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSt. Truiden for / againstLineOH Leuven for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.43 for · 3 against n 7
9.5standard
4 for · 7.14 against n 7
Shots
16.29 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14.29 for · 12 against n 7
Shots on target
4.57 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.14 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 9.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.71 for · 12.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: M. Allaerts — 3.45 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 23.45 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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St. Truiden

St. Truiden Goalkeeper

St. Truiden — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Kokubo1190990 min353.2 /90161.5 /9000 /90
St. Truiden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Kokubo n 890
2.65/5

St. Truiden Defensive

St. Truiden — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Vanwesemael1182897 min181.8 /90101 /9020.2 /90313.1 /9050.5 /9040.4 /90
V. Musliu990810 min141.6 /90161.8 /9080.9 /90535.9 /9091 /9010.1 /90
T. Hata980723 min141.7 /9030.4 /9020.2 /90273.4 /9050.6 /9000 /90
J. Pupe962559 min132.1 /9081.3 /9000 /90406.4 /9071.1 /9010.2 /90
S. Taniguchi683495 min50.9 /90112 /9030.5 /90173.1 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
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St. Truiden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Kokubo n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
1.46/4
1.87/4
—
A. Sissako n 888.1
15/2
0.43/0
—
R. Vanwesemael n 878.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
R. Merlen n 869.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
—
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St. Truiden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
1.98/5
A. Sissako n 888.1
1.97/5
R. Vanwesemael n 878.4
2.47/3
R. Merlen n 869.1
14/1
Nelson Ishiwatari n 849.6
4.38/5
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St. Truiden Attacking

St. Truiden — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Samed Baždar961553 min50.8 /9010.2 /90203.3 /9081.3 /90132.1 /9050.8 /90
K. Matsuzawa942380 min10.2 /9010.2 /9071.7 /9040.9 /9081.9 /9071.7 /90
Frederic Soelle Soelle557285 min20.6 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9030.9 /9041.3 /9020.6 /90
Oumar Diouf439154 min00 /9000 /9042.3 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /90
I. Sebaoui1189978 min40.4 /9030.3 /90322.9 /9090.8 /90191.7 /90151.4 /90
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St. Truiden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Kokubo n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
2.58/7
0.85/1
A. Sissako n 888.1
0.84/2
00/0
R. Vanwesemael n 878.4
13/3
0.73/2
R. Merlen n 869.1
0.84/1
0.32/0
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St. Truiden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Truiden before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Kokubo n 890
00/0
00/0
I. Sebaoui n 888.5
0.43/0
00/0
A. Sissako n 888.1
00/0
0.31/1
R. Vanwesemael n 878.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Merlen n 869.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
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OH Leuven

OH Leuven Goalkeeper

OH Leuven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. van den Heuvel890720 min232.9 /90151.9 /9000 /90
K. Vroman19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
OH Leuven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. van den Heuvel n 890
2.96/3

OH Leuven Defensive

OH Leuven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Dussenne887692 min152 /90141.8 /9070.9 /90405.2 /90111.4 /9000 /90
Roggerio Nyakossi787610 min71 /90243.5 /90142.1 /90274 /9040.6 /9010.1 /90
Ewoud Pletinckx690540 min111.8 /90101.7 /9050.8 /90254.2 /9050.8 /9000 /90
J. Lawrence690540 min91.5 /90122 /9030.5 /90345.7 /90132.2 /9020.3 /90
Wouter George984756 min202.4 /9091.1 /9010.1 /90313.7 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
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OH Leuven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Wouter George n 885.8
1.26/2
0.53/1
—
William Balikwisha n 863.3
1.27/0
1.25/2
—
Davis Opoku n 865.5
0.94/1
1.55/3
—
D. van den Heuvel n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Siebe Schrijvers n 886.9
0.95/1
1.67/3
—
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OH Leuven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wouter George n 885.8
2.48/6
William Balikwisha n 863.3
3.47/6
Davis Opoku n 865.5
2.66/4
Siebe Schrijvers n 886.9
2.68/7
N. Dussenne n 886.5
27/5
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OH Leuven Attacking

OH Leuven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
William Balikwisha965582 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.2 /9030.5 /9091.4 /90162.5 /90
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi659354 min00 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
Abdoul Karim Traoré649293 min00 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9051.5 /9030.9 /90
Robin Mirisola570349 min10.3 /9000 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9041 /9030.8 /90
Łukasz Łakomy543216 min00 /9000 /9041.7 /9000 /9041.7 /9000 /90
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OH Leuven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Wouter George n 885.8
1.25/4
0.42/1
William Balikwisha n 863.3
1.46/1
0.53/0
Davis Opoku n 865.5
0.95/0
0.32/0
D. van den Heuvel n 890
00/0
00/0
Siebe Schrijvers n 886.9
1.66/5
0.32/0
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OH Leuven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for OH Leuven before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Wouter George n 885.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
William Balikwisha n 863.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Davis Opoku n 865.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
D. van den Heuvel n 890
00/0
00/0
Siebe Schrijvers n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
St. TruidenOH Leuven
65%Possession35%
3.82Expected goals (xG)1.59
26Shots21
7Shots on target4
8Shots off target9
11Blocked shots8
21Shots inside the box11
15Corners9
0Offsides2
12Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves6
565Passes307
87%Pass accuracy79%

St. Truiden Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Kokubo9000000006.3
T. Hata9000000005.9
V. Musliu9000101107
Nelson Ishiwatari9000211608
A. Sissako9000101207.2
N. Mbuku9010543008.3
J. Pupe8400003307.5
Frederic Soelle Soelle7201111007
R. Merlen6700002306.9
I. Sebaoui6700212006.9
K. Takai4500001106.7
S. Taniguchi sub4500000306.3
S. Shinkawa sub2300000106.2
K. Matsuzawa sub23002010Y6.3
Samed Baždar sub1800100006.7
A. Muja sub1200000006.3

OH Leuven Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. van den Heuvel9000000009.9
J. Lawrence90000023Y6.9
Ewoud Pletinckx9000001007.7
Roggerio Nyakossi90000001Y6.7
Davis Opoku90101123Y9.5
Siebe Schrijvers9001104307.9
Robin Mirisola9010410108.9
William Balikwisha9000211106
Wouter George8901002206.7
Takuya Ogiwara7300201406.9
E. Addai6700214107.5
Kyan Vaesen sub2300100106.6
Thibault Vlietinck sub1700000006.9
Łukasz Łakomy sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind St. Truiden v OH Leuven — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
St. TruidenLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
OH LeuvenDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
St. Truiden 3 · 1 draw · OH Leuven 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-18 St. Truiden 1–0 OH Leuven
  • 2025-11-23 OH Leuven 1–2 St. Truiden
  • 2025-03-16 OH Leuven 3–2 St. Truiden
  • 2024-09-15 St. Truiden 2–1 OH Leuven
  • 2024-05-17 St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven
  • 2024-04-20 OH Leuven 1–0 St. Truiden
League standing · 2026/27
St. Truiden#15 pos8 pts10 pl-3 GD
OH Leuven#14 pos9 pts10 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
St. Truiden scored1.8
OH Leuven scored1
St. Truiden conceded2.1
OH Leuven conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for St. Truiden v OH Leuven?
TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Truiden v OH Leuven was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between St. Truiden and OH Leuven?
In their last 6 meetings, St. Truiden won 3, OH Leuven won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and OH Leuven?
Recent form — St. Truiden 3W 0D 2L; OH Leuven 2W 3D 0L.

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