Elche v Celta Vigo result

Full-time · Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo

La Liga · · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Elche 0.73, Celta Vigo 0.43 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Elche and Celta Vigo drew 0–0 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Sunday 11 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

J. Alberola showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Marc Aguado (90+1’); Celta Vigo: Yoel Lago (37’), Javi Rueda (59’) and Aleix Febas (81’).

What it changes

Elche stay 17th after this result (eight league matches played).

Celta Vigo move up from 11th to ninth (eight league matches played).

It was the only goalless draw of round 8, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Víctor Chust (Elche) 4.8, Ionuț Radu (Celta Vigo) 4.5 and Javi Galán (Celta Vigo) 4.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Elche or Celta Vigo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Elche next travel to Rayo Vallecano on 24 October 2026.

Celta Vigo next host Alaves on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Elche: Rayo Vallecano v Elche, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo v Alaves, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
  • Referee: J. Alberola
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 2 · draws 0 · Celta Vigo 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Elche 1W 1D 3L · Celta Vigo 1W 3D 1L

Elche 0–0 Celta Vigo (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1
Goals
against 2.25 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.13
Corners
against 4 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.07 yellows
Referee · J. Alberola
2.07 home / 2 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameElche for / againstLineCelta Vigo for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: J. Alberola — 4.07 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 28.07 fouls over 15 matches (2.07 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Elche
Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tete Morente n 861
37/4
1.35/2
—
F. Buonanotte n 838.1
2.45/2
0.62/0
—
L. Cepeda n 829.1
2.35/1
2.32/1
—
John Nwankwo n 846.5
2.25/2
0.52/0
—
T. Lemar n 835.9
2.25/2
00/0
Aleix Febas
Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Á. Rodríguez n 839
2.95/2
0.62/0
A. Osorio n 847
2.66/3
1.46/0
F. Buonanotte n 838.1
2.14/3
1.24/0
L. Cepeda n 829.1
1.94/1
1.53/1
Fer Niño n 869.9
1.65/3
1.45/3
Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fer Niño n 869.9
0.84/1
00/0
L. Cepeda n 829.1
00/0
0.82/0
Tete Morente n 861
00/0
0.63/0
Roy Revivo n 877.4
00/0
0.31/1
Á. Rodríguez n 839
0.31/0
00/0
Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Lemar n 835.9
57/5
F. Redondo n 851.9
3.96/4
John Nwankwo n 846.5
3.96/3
J. Morcillo n 853.5
2.56/4
Aleix Febas n 875.8
2.46/5
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
38/4
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Swedberg n 840.8
2.25/2
2.84/3
—
J. El Abdellaoui n 841.1
1.95/2
0.52/0
—
C. Driouech n 840.6
1.95/2
0.81/1
—
Aleix Febas n 875.8
1.85/3
3.77/6
T. Lemar
H. Burcio n 849.8
1.84/2
1.85/1
—
Celta Vigo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Driouech n 840.6
2.55/4
0.82/1
Hugo González n 846.9
2.45/3
13/1
Pablo Durán n 845.6
25/2
1.54/1
Borja Iglesias n 833
1.73/2
0.72/0
Andrés Antañón n 650.8
1.54/1
1.23/1
Celta Vigo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Driouech n 840.6
0.31/0
0.62/0
Hugo González n 846.9
0.21/0
0.52/0
Pablo Durán n 845.6
0.51/1
00/0
Hugo Álvarez n 842.3
00/0
0.51/1
Miguel Román n 883.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
Celta Vigo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Driouech n 840.6
2.56/2
Aleix Febas n 875.8
2.46/5
Andrés Antañón n 650.8
2.43/2
I. Moriba n 872.8
2.26/4
H. Burcio n 849.8
27/2
Celta Vigo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Radu n 890
3.16/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ElcheCelta Vigo
67%Possession33%
0.78Expected goals (xG)0.47
13Shots7
2Shots on target0
7Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box2
5Corners2
0Offsides3
19Fouls21
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves2
653Passes320
91%Pass accuracy88%

Elche player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro9000000007.2
Rubén Sánchez9000201107.2
Víctor Chust9000001308.2
J. Morcillo9000000106.9
Roy Revivo9000001007.2
Marc Aguado90001011Y7.2
Germán Valera9000001006.9
T. Lemar8700201107.2
Gonzalo Villar7100110006.3
Fer Niño7100100206.3
Tete Morente5900101106.2
A. Osorio sub3100000006.7
L. Cepeda sub1900000206.9
Martim Neto sub1900111006.9
F. Buonanotte sub30000000–

Celta Vigo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Radu9000000107.5
Álvaro Núñez9000100207.3
Yoel Lago90000004Y7.3
Marcos Alonso9000000207.2
Javi Rueda90000001Y6.9
I. Moriba9000001306.9
Aleix Febas83000001Y6.9
Javi Galán7100000107.2
Ferran Jutglà7100200106
Hugo Álvarez7100001006.6
Pablo Durán6000000006.2
Borja Iglesias sub3000000006.7
Sergio Carreira sub1900000206.6
C. Driouech sub1900200006.5
W. Swedberg sub1900001006.6
H. Burcio sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Elche v Celta Vigo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ElcheLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Celta VigoDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Elche 2 · 0 draws · Celta Vigo 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche
  • 2025-09-28 Elche 2–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2023-04-26 Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • 2023-01-06 Elche 0–1 Celta Vigo
  • 2022-05-15 Celta Vigo 1–0 Elche
  • 2021-10-03 Elche 1–0 Celta Vigo
League standing · 2026/27
Elche#18 pos7 pts9 pl-6 GD
Celta Vigo#11 pos8 pts8 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Elche scored1.22
Celta Vigo scored1
Elche conceded1.89
Celta Vigo conceded0.75

Shot map and expected goals

Elche 0.73 xG from 13 shots, Celta Vigo 0.43 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Couhaib Driouech 88' · 0.27 xGFernando Niño 48' · 0.11 xGMartim Neto 90' · 0.10 xGGonzalo Villar 6' · 0.08 xGMarc Aguado 64' · 0.08 xGRoy Revivo 37' · 0.07 xGThomas Lemar 9' · 0.06 xGMarc Aguado 64' · 0.05 xGRubén Sánchez 9' · 0.05 xGVictor Chust 10' · 0.04 xGTete Morente 14' · 0.04 xGJavier Rueda 31' · 0.04 xGFerrán Jutglà 27' · 0.04 xGFerrán Jutglà 44' · 0.03 xGLucas Cepeda 84' · 0.03 xGThomas Lemar 55' · 0.02 xGÁlvaro Núñez 32' · 0.02 xGCouhaib Driouech 74' · 0.02 xGÁlvaro Núñez 32' · 0.01 xGRubén Sánchez 87' · 0.01 xG
Elche (attacking right)Celta Vigo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Elche1300.73
Celta Vigo700.43

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Elche v Celta Vigo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Celta Vigo was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Celta Vigo?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 2, Celta Vigo won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Elche and Celta Vigo?
Recent form — Elche 1W 1D 3L; Celta Vigo 1W 3D 1L.

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