ElcheValencia

Elche v Valencia result

Full-time · Elche 1–0 Valencia

La Liga · · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Elche · Valencia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Elche 1–0 Valencia — Elche won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Valencia: 2.78 to 1.03 in expected goals, from 22 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 15th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Elche beat Valencia 1–0 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Saturday 11 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Elche: L. Cepeda (73’, assisted by Aleix Febas).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Cepeda’s goal on 73 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maeso showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Buba Sangaré (59’); Valencia: Guido Rodríguez (63’).

What it changes

Elche have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Elche have conceded 57 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Valencia have scored 46 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Valencia have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aleix Febas (Elche) 10.6, Largie Ramazani (Valencia) 6.0 and M. Dituro (Elche) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Valencia are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Elche, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Elche or Valencia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Elche 1–0 Valencia · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
  • Referee: F. Maeso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 0 · draws 2 · Valencia 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Elche 1W 1D 3L · Valencia 3W 0D 2L

Elche 1–0 Valencia (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · F. Maeso
27.44 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameElche for / againstLineValencia for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 15.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 3.25 against n 8

Referee: F. Maeso — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 27.44 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Iñaki Peña16901440 min553.4 /90281.8 /9000 /90
M. Dituro16901440 min442.8 /90211.3 /9010.1 /90
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Iñaki Peña n 890
3.86/5
M. Dituro n 890
36/4

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Affengruber29812355 min612.3 /90411.6 /90190.7 /901445.5 /90281.1 /9060.2 /90
Víctor Chust23811873 min562.7 /90201 /90160.8 /90954.6 /90331.6 /9080.4 /90
Bigas22731610 min281.6 /90251.4 /90160.9 /90794.4 /90201.1 /9050.3 /90
L. Pétrot22681491 min422.5 /90150.9 /90140.8 /90855.1 /90150.9 /9010.1 /90
Álvaro Núñez19871652 min241.3 /90160.9 /9060.3 /90643.5 /90120.7 /9020.1 /90
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Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix Febas n 885.6
0.86/0
3.38/6
Luis Rioja
Germán Valera n 887
0.95/2
1.96/3
Luis Rioja
D. Affengruber n 876.6
1.36/2
1.36/3
José Gayà
Marc Aguado n 868.1
1.24/2
1.24/2
—
Á. Rodríguez n 875.4
0.94/1
0.95/1
—
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Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
26/4
Germán Valera n 887
16/1
D. Affengruber n 876.6
2.86/5
Marc Aguado n 868.1
1.86/4
Á. Rodríguez n 875.4
1.25/2
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Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Á. Rodríguez26691793 min40.2 /9040.2 /90492.5 /90170.9 /90271.4 /90311.6 /90
Rafa Mir24691647 min80.4 /9000 /90583.2 /90341.9 /9090.5 /9050.3 /90
André Silva19671276 min60.4 /9000 /90271.9 /90171.2 /90181.3 /90141 /90
Adam Boayar543213 min20.8 /9000 /9073 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9031.3 /90
M. El Ghezouani22550 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /90
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Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Germán Valera n 887
0.64/1
0.11/0
D. Affengruber n 876.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Marc Aguado n 868.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Á. Rodríguez n 875.4
2.26/3
0.64/0
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Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix Febas n 885.6
00/0
00/0
Germán Valera n 887
00/0
0.11/0
D. Affengruber n 876.6
00/0
00/0
Marc Aguado n 868.1
0.21/0
00/0
Á. Rodríguez n 875.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Julen Agirrezabala19901710 min573 /90301.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Dimitrievski14901260 min322.3 /90171.2 /9010.1 /90
Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Julen Agirrezabala n 890
2.14/3
S. Dimitrievski n 890
2.56/4

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
César Tárrega25812021 min361.6 /90210.9 /90180.8 /90974.3 /90331.5 /9060.3 /90
José Gayà25791972 min522.4 /90150.7 /9050.2 /90934.2 /90231 /9060.3 /90
Copete24801916 min271.3 /90221 /90170.8 /90854 /90231.1 /9060.3 /90
Thierry Correia20631266 min282 /90161.1 /9000 /90725.1 /90231.6 /9050.4 /90
D. Foulquier15871309 min181.2 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90493.4 /90181.2 /9010.1 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luis Rioja n 873.6
0.52/1
0.83/2
Germán Valera
Hugo Duro n 853.8
0.42/0
2.57/3
—
A. Danjuma n 856.3
14/1
13/1
—
César Tárrega n 861.4
1.85/3
0.72/1
—
José Gayà n 876.1
0.95/1
0.74/1
D. Affengruber
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 873.6
0.84/1
Hugo Duro n 853.8
0.83/1
A. Danjuma n 856.3
0.84/0
César Tárrega n 861.4
1.66/1
José Gayà n 876.1
2.77/4
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Hugo Duro29581668 min90.5 /9000 /90241.3 /90120.6 /90140.8 /9030.2 /90
A. Danjuma27611639 min30.2 /9020.1 /90281.5 /90150.8 /90120.7 /90271.5 /90
L. Beltrán23551263 min20.1 /9020.1 /90211.5 /90100.7 /90120.9 /90171.2 /90
L. Ramazani1659940 min40.4 /9010.1 /90232.2 /90121.1 /90141.3 /90131.2 /90
U. Sadiq1348629 min30.4 /9020.3 /90142 /9060.9 /9060.9 /90101.4 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 873.6
0.52/1
00/0
Hugo Duro n 853.8
14/1
0.42/0
A. Danjuma n 856.3
14/1
0.63/0
César Tárrega n 861.4
0.41/1
00/0
José Gayà n 876.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 873.6
00/0
0.32/0
Hugo Duro n 853.8
0.42/0
00/0
A. Danjuma n 856.3
00/0
0.21/0
César Tárrega n 861.4
00/0
00/0
José Gayà n 876.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ElcheValencia
57%Possession43%
0.59Expected goals (xG)2.54
8Shots22
2Shots on target8
5Shots off target7
1Blocked shots7
6Shots inside the box16
5Corners9
4Offsides3
15Fouls18
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Saves2
441Passes313
85%Pass accuracy85%

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dituro9000000008.5
D. Affengruber9000001207.7
L. Pétrot9000100207.5
Tete Morente9000001106.9
Aleix Febas9001001808
Rafa Mir9000210106.9
Germán Valera8200101007
Gonzalo Villar7200000407.3
Martim Neto7200002206.9
Buba Sangaré64000001Y6.3
André Silva6400100106.5
Á. Rodríguez sub2600000106.9
John Nwankwo sub2600000006.6
L. Cepeda sub1810211108.2
Adrià Pedrosa sub1800000006.9
Víctor Chust sub800000006.3

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Dimitrievski9000000107
Thierry Correia9000001106.5
César Tárrega9000100106.9
F. Ugrinic9000102106.6
G. Rodríguez90000021Y6.7
L. Ramazani9000441206.9
L. Beltrán8100211106.5
E. Cömert7500101006.2
José Gayà7500110206.7
U. Sadiq6100101206.3
Luis Rioja6000002508.7
Diego López sub3000221006.7
Hugo Duro sub2900200006.3
Jesús Vázquez sub1500002106.9
Pepelu sub1500000006.9
A. Danjuma sub900002006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Elche v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ElcheDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
ValenciaWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Elche 0 · 2 draws · Valencia 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 Valencia 1–1 Elche
  • 2023-04-23 Elche 0–2 Valencia
  • 2022-10-15 Valencia 2–2 Elche
  • 2022-03-19 Elche 0–1 Valencia
  • 2021-12-11 Valencia 2–1 Elche
  • 2021-01-30 Valencia 1–0 Elche
League standing · 2025/26
Elche#15 pos43 pts38 pl-8 GD
Valencia#9 pos49 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Elche scored1.29
Valencia scored1.21
Elche conceded1.5
Valencia conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Elche 1.03 xG from 8 shots, Valencia 2.78 from 22. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lucas Beltrán 15' · 0.65 xGUmar Sadiq 48' · 0.62 xGHugo Duro 84' · 0.38 xGLargie Ramazani 75' · 0.33 xGRafa Mir 57' · 0.28 xGLucas Beltrán 68' · 0.27 xGLeo Petrot 76' · 0.12 xGFilip Ugrinic 35' · 0.08 xGGerman Valera 8' · 0.06 xGLargie Ramazani 62' · 0.05 xGRafa Mir 24' · 0.05 xGLucas Beltrán 14' · 0.04 xGLucas Beltrán 77' · 0.04 xGLargie Ramazani 68' · 0.04 xGLuis Rioja 37' · 0.04 xGHugo Duro 89' · 0.03 xGCésar Tárrega 85' · 0.03 xGLargie Ramazani 16' · 0.03 xGGuido Rodríguez 40' · 0.03 xGAndré Silva 35' · 0.03 xGJosé Gayá 26' · 0.03 xGJosé Gayá 61' · 0.03 xGDiego López 68' · 0.02 xGBuba Sangaré 58' · 0.02 xGDiego López 78' · 0.02 xGJesús Vázquez 83' · 0.02 xGLargie Ramazani 59' · 0.01 xGLucas Cepeda 94' · 0.01 xGEray Cömert 15' · 0.01 xGLucas Cepeda 72' · 0.47 xG · goal
Elche (attacking right)Valencia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Elche811.03
Valencia2202.78

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Valencia led on xG, 0.89 to 0.13. At full time, Valencia led on xG, 2.78 to 1.03. The widest gap was 1.76 xG to Valencia, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Elche 72 min
Elche 1.03 xGValencia 2.78 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Elche v Valencia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Valencia was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Valencia?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 0, Valencia won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Elche and Valencia?
Recent form — Elche 1W 1D 3L; Valencia 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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