Cardiff v Swindon Town result
Team pages: Cardiff · Swindon Town
The model’s pre-match pick
Cardiff 3–2 Swindon Town — Cardiff won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Cardiff beat Swindon Town 3–2 at Cardiff City Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Cardiff have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Cardiff led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Cardiff: an own goal by Gabriel Osho (9’), Yousef Salech (28’ pen; 43’, assisted by Cian Ashford) and Jack Moylan (77’, assisted by Yousef Salech); Swindon Town: Paul Glatzel (62’, assisted by Joseph Hungbo). James Debayo (90’) was sent off.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 0.00, Swindon Town 0.00, from 15 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
G. Ward showed three yellow cards and one red — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cardiff: Joel Colwill (82’); Swindon Town: James Debayo (84’) and James Debayo (90’).
What it changes
Cardiff sit fifth on three points from one game with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).
Swindon Town sit 18th on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).
Swindon Town are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yousef Salech (Cardiff) 13.0, Billy Kirkman (Swindon Town) 7.1 and Cian Ashford (Cardiff) 6.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).
Next up
Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.
Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cardiff 3–2 Swindon Town · League Cup
- Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Cardiff
- Referee: G. Ward
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Cardiff 1 · draws 0 · Swindon Town 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Cardiff 3W 1D 1L · Swindon Town 1W 1D 3L
Cardiff 3–2 Swindon Town (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cardiff for / against | Line | Swindon Town for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 8.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 20.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 8.63 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.63 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: G. Ward.
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Cardiff | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Possession | 39% |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 547 | Passes | 334 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 71% |
Cardiff Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Kpakio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| P. Ng | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Osho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Joel Bagan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Robertson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Cian Ashford | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Salech | 90 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.9 |
| O. Tanner | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Turnbull | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Davies | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Willock sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Colwill sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| J. Moylan sub | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
Swindon Town Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Negru | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Kirkman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Middlemas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Drinan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Glatzel | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Clark | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Virtue-Thick | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Nichols | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Millard | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Sam Inwood | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Tafazolli sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Debayo sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | RY | 5.9 |
| J. Hungbo sub | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Palmer sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Lucas Griffiths-Brown sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cardiff v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-12 Cardiff 2–1 Swindon Town
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Swindon Town?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Swindon Town was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.53 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Swindon Town?
- In their last 1 meetings, Cardiff won 1, Swindon Town won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cardiff and Swindon Town?
- Recent form — Cardiff 3W 1D 1L; Swindon Town 1W 1D 3L.
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