CoventryAston Villa

Coventry v Aston Villa result

Full-time · Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa

League Cup · · Coventry Building Society Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Coventry · Aston Villa

The model’s pre-match pick

Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa — Aston Villa won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.83 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aston Villa won 3–1 at Coventry Building Society Arena in the League Cup on Wednesday 16 September. Coventry have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Aston Villa led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Aston Villa: T. Abraham (7’, assisted by George Hemmings; 59’, assisted by Ross Barkley) and Ross Barkley (40’, assisted by Ibrahim Mbaye); Coventry: V. Torp (27’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ross Barkley’s goal on 40 minutes.

Discipline

R. Jones showed six yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Coventry: Stephen Mfuni (23’), Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi (46’) and F. Onyeka (87’); Aston Villa: Ross Barkley (26’), Aaron Wan-Bissaka (43’) and E. Buendía (90’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Abraham (Aston Villa) 9.9, V. Torp (Coventry) 9.5 and Ross Barkley (Aston Villa) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Coventry or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1327 of 1736).

Next up

Coventry next travel to Everton on 6 November 2026.

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Coventry: Everton v Coventry, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa · League Cup
  • Venue: Coventry Building Society Arena · Coventry
  • Referee: R. Jones
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Coventry 1W 0D 4L · Aston Villa 1W 1D 3L

Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 3.13 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCoventry for / againstLineAston Villa for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Jones.

Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Rushworth490360 min71.8 /90102.5 /9000 /90
D. Bentley19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 890
1.64/1

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Amenda581405 min10.2 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90204.4 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
B. Thomas579393 min20.5 /9051.1 /9040.9 /90255.7 /9040.9 /9000 /90
E. Pinnock290180 min31.5 /9021 /9021 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Bidwell19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Latibeaudiere19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9011 /90
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Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Amenda n 581
1.65/2
00/0
—
B. Thomas n 882.9
0.53/1
1.47/2
—
T. Awoniyi n 560.8
1.24/0
0.93/0
—
J. Rudoni n 866.5
0.83/2
25/4
—
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 549.4
2.24/2
1.53/1
—
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Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Amenda n 581
0.21/0
B. Thomas n 882.9
1.15/2
T. Awoniyi n 560.8
0.31/0
J. Rudoni n 866.5
1.47/1
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 549.4
00/0
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Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Awoniyi561304 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072.1 /9030.9 /9061.8 /9041.2 /90
B. Thomas-Asante532158 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9021.1 /9000 /9021.1 /90
E. Mason-Clark454217 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
E. Simms24589 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9011 /90
S. Cherif22550 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /90
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Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Amenda n 581
0.21/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 882.9
1.25/2
0.11/0
T. Awoniyi n 560.8
2.14/2
0.92/1
J. Rudoni n 866.5
2.27/4
0.85/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 549.4
00/0
00/0
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Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Amenda n 581
00/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
T. Awoniyi n 560.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Rudoni n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 549.4
00/0
0.41/0
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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Suzuki490360 min153.8 /9041 /9000 /90
M. Bizot293186 min73.4 /9062.9 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 490
3.83/3
M. Bizot n 879.6
4.17/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Lindelöf691546 min10.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9000 /90
I. Maatsen686516 min122.1 /90101.7 /9000 /90203.5 /9050.9 /9020.3 /90
Pau Torres572358 min41 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9082 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
M. Cash487349 min82.1 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90143.6 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
T. Mings447188 min31.4 /9010.5 /9021 /90136.2 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Lindelöf n 885.6
0.73/2
0.11/0
—
I. Maatsen n 885
0.93/1
0.31/1
—
J. McGinn n 877.6
1.96/4
2.87/7
—
B. Kamara n 884
1.36/3
1.66/4
—
E. Buendía n 881.1
1.16/1
2.48/6
—
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 885.6
0.43/0
I. Maatsen n 885
2.58/5
J. McGinn n 877.6
1.98/3
B. Kamara n 884
26/4
E. Buendía n 881.1
1.85/2
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alysson Edward525124 min10.7 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.5 /90
N. Jackson471282 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9041.3 /9072.2 /90
T. Abraham32988 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
Brian Madjo17272 min11.3 /9000 /9056.3 /9011.3 /9022.5 /9000 /90
I. Mbaye12727 min00 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9013.3 /9000 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 885.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
I. Maatsen n 885
0.85/1
0.11/0
J. McGinn n 877.6
1.47/2
0.74/1
B. Kamara n 884
0.42/1
0.32/0
E. Buendía n 881.1
2.27/6
0.73/2
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 885.6
00/0
00/0
I. Maatsen n 885
00/0
00/0
J. McGinn n 877.6
0.11/0
0.43/0
B. Kamara n 884
00/0
00/0
E. Buendía n 881.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CoventryAston Villa
42%Possession58%
15Shots18
5Shots on target9
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box14
2Corners9
2Offsides2
17Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
6Saves4
386Passes514

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Bentley9000000006.5
J. Latibeaudiere9000001106.1
B. Thomas9000000206.1
V. Torp9010521508
G. Hamer9000201006.4
Y. Gboho9000211305.6
E. Pinnock7800000306.5
S. Mfuni73000004Y5.5
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi73001020Y6.2
S. Cherif5800410006.6
T. Sakamoto5700001006
L. Tchaouna3300111106.7
E. Simms3200000106.3
F. Onyeka17000000Y5.6
J. Bidwell1700000006
A. Amenda1200000005.9

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Wan-Bissaka90000012Y6.2
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000110006.9
T. Mings9000000206.8
Matteo Ruggeri9000101007.2
L. Bogarde9000000306.8
R. Barkley90113222Y9
George Hemmings7901201207.3
T. Abraham6920320208.9
J. McGinn6400314207
I. Mbaye6401214007.7
Z. Suzuki4500000006.6
M. Bizot4500000006.7
E. Buendía26001011Y6.3
J. Manzambi2600111006.9
N. Jackson2100110006.7
Alysson Edward1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Coventry v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CoventryLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Aston VillaLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Coventry scored0.8
Aston Villa scored0.8
Coventry conceded2.4
Aston Villa conceded1.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Coventry v Aston Villa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Coventry v Aston Villa was Home or Draw (best price 1.83 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Coventry and Aston Villa?
Recent form — Coventry 1W 0D 4L; Aston Villa 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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