LiverpoolChelsea

Liverpool v Chelsea result

Full-time · Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea

League Cup · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liverpool · Chelsea · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea — this League Cup match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.52 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Liverpool and Chelsea drew 1–1 at Anfield in the League Cup on Wednesday 28 October. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Chelsea: Morgan Rogers (40’ pen, 94’ pen), Pedro Neto (92’ pen), Roméo Lavia (95’ pen), Jordan Henderson (99’ pen) and Levi Colwill (101’ pen); Liverpool: Cody Gakpo (43’ pen, 94’ pen), Alexis Mac Allister (91’ pen), Alexander Isak (93’ pen), Florian Wirtz (96’ pen), Bradley Barcola (100’ pen) and Joseph Gomez (103’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Liverpool 2.19, Chelsea 1.88, from 10 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. England showed four yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Liverpool: Lewis Koumas (11’) and James McConnell (21’); Chelsea: Joshua Kofi Acheampong (50’) and Roméo Lavia (73’).

What it changes

Liverpool have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) 8.7, Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) 6.3 and Treymaurice Nyoni (Liverpool) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Chelsea are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Liverpool.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea · League Cup
  • Venue: Anfield · Liverpool
  • Referee: D. England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 3 · draws 1 · Chelsea 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 4W 0D 1L · Chelsea 2W 1D 2L

Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.5 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineChelsea for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
2.5 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
16.63 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.75 against n 8

Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker1190990 min232.1 /9090.8 /9000 /90
G. Mamardashvili19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
1.84/2
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.78/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet1280956 min252.4 /90191.8 /90100.9 /90565.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
V. van Dijk1184928 min90.9 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90454.4 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
R. Araújo1170769 min91.1 /9060.7 /9050.6 /90424.9 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90
M. Kerkez1083832 min202.2 /9080.9 /9040.4 /90454.9 /90161.7 /9030.3 /90
Jeremie Frimpong758404 min92 /9051.1 /9000 /90163.6 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
0.75/0
0.42/1
—
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
—
V. van Dijk n 882.3
0.84/2
0.52/2
M. Lacroix
F. Wirtz n 875.9
1.66/2
1.24/3
—
A. Mac Allister n 879.9
1.34/3
14/3
—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
2.47/5
V. van Dijk n 882.3
0.53/1
F. Wirtz n 875.9
2.27/5
A. Mac Allister n 879.9
1.47/3
R. Araújo n 871.1
1.14/2
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Isak976683 min60.8 /9010.1 /90192.5 /9091.2 /9081.1 /9060.8 /90
L. Koumas479317 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
F. Wirtz1177849 min10.1 /9030.3 /90171.8 /9070.7 /90303.2 /90121.3 /90
A. Mac Allister1175827 min40.4 /9010.1 /90192.1 /9070.8 /90161.7 /9070.8 /90
B. Barcola1059592 min30.5 /9020.3 /90152.3 /9071.1 /9081.2 /90142.1 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
V. van Dijk n 882.3
0.43/0
00/0
F. Wirtz n 875.9
2.15/3
0.62/2
A. Mac Allister n 879.9
2.46/4
0.85/1
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
00/0
00/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
V. van Dijk n 882.3
00/0
00/0
F. Wirtz n 875.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Mac Allister n 879.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez688525 min254.3 /90111.9 /9000 /90
M. Penders471285 min82.5 /9020.6 /9000 /90
Robert Sánchez19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 687.5
4.36/6
M. Penders n 471.3
2.52/2
Robert Sánchez n 887
3.16/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Lacroix990810 min151.7 /9091 /9050.6 /90384.2 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong975671 min233.1 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90385.1 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
Levi Colwill886688 min81 /9040.5 /9040.5 /90324.2 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
Pep Chavarría860478 min81.5 /9081.5 /9000 /90173.2 /9050.9 /9000 /90
J. Hato762437 min122.5 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90234.7 /9040.8 /9000 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Palmer n 882.9
1.46/4
1.56/3
—
M. Rogers n 883.3
1.46/4
1.56/4
—
M. Lacroix n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
V. van Dijk
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 872.6
0.85/0
0.32/0
—
Pedro Neto n 878.4
1.46/3
0.64/0
—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 882.9
1.25/3
M. Rogers n 883.3
1.56/3
M. Lacroix n 890
1.38/2
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 872.6
2.87/5
Pedro Neto n 878.4
27/4
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Rogers1082816 min40.4 /9040.4 /90121.3 /9060.7 /90202.2 /90171.9 /90
João Pedro777538 min50.8 /9030.5 /90142.3 /9091.5 /9071.2 /9071.2 /90
D. Welbeck378234 min31.2 /9000 /9062.3 /9041.5 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
Estêvão348143 min00 /9000 /9031.9 /9000 /9063.8 /9053.1 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens14545 min00 /9000 /9024 /9024 /9012 /9012 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 882.9
2.46/5
15/2
M. Rogers n 883.3
1.46/3
0.74/1
M. Lacroix n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 872.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Neto n 878.4
1.78/3
1.67/3
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 882.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
M. Rogers n 883.3
0.43/0
0.52/1
M. Lacroix n 890
00/0
00/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 872.6
00/0
00/0
Pedro Neto n 878.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiverpoolChelsea
52%Possession48%
2.19Expected goals (xG)1.88
10Shots11
4Shots on target4
1Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box8
7Corners5
1Offsides3
12Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
441Passes422

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Araújo9000310006.6
G. Mamardashvili9000000006.4
K. Tsimikas9000002006.2
R. Gravenberch9000000206.2
J. Gomez9000001205.7
C. Gakpo9010221107.2
Rio Ngumoha8200000106.1
T. Nyoni8100100206.6
V. van Dijk7200100006.8
J. McConnell59000002Y6
L. Koumas59000000Y6.1
F. Wirtz3100100005.9
B. Barcola3100210106.5
Jérémy Jacquet1800000006.3
A. Mac Allister900000106.3
A. Isak800000006.4

Chelsea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Rogers9010621007.6
Pedro Neto9000112006.5
R. Lavia90000002Y6.5
J. Henderson9000002106.3
W. Fofana9000000306.8
Joshua Kofi Acheampong90001003Y5.9
M. Penders9000000006
D. Welbeck6800000006.2
M. Gusto6800000006.2
M. Caicedo6800102306.6
Levi Colwill4600100006.4
M. Lacroix4400000006.7
V. Barco2200000206.3
E. Emegha2200000006.4
M. Palestra2200110106.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
ChelseaDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Liverpool 3 · 1 draw · Chelsea 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
  • 2025-10-04 Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool
  • 2025-05-04 Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-10-20 Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea
  • 2024-02-25 Chelsea 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-01-31 Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea
Goals per game
Liverpool scored2.8
Chelsea scored1.8
Liverpool conceded2
Chelsea conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liverpool v Chelsea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Chelsea was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Chelsea?
In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Chelsea won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Chelsea?
Recent form — Liverpool 4W 0D 1L; Chelsea 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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