MiddlesbroughWrexham

Middlesbrough v Wrexham result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham

League Cup · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Middlesbrough · Wrexham

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham — Middlesbrough won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough beat Wrexham 1–0 at Riverside Stadium in the League Cup on Friday 7 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (61’, assisted by Sebastian Berhalter).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Lankshear’s goal on 61 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Middlesbrough 0.00, Wrexham 0.00, from 13 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Finnie showed five yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (69’); Wrexham: L. O'Brien (43’), Samuel Smith (56’), Dominic Hyam (85’) and Callum Doyle (90+1’).

What it changes

Wrexham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sebastian Berhalter (Middlesbrough) 6.8, Maximilian Arfsten (Middlesbrough) 5.0 and Nathan Broadhead (Wrexham) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

Wrexham next host Wolves on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Wrexham: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham · League Cup
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: W. Finnie
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Middlesbrough 0 · draws 2 · Wrexham 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 1W 2D 2L · Wrexham 2W 1D 2L

Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
7 / 4.25
Corners
against 2.86 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.71 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 2.86 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineWrexham for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 2.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
16.86 for · 10.71 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.71 for · 2.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.71 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.75 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: W. Finnie.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughWrexham
49%Possession51%
13Shots11
3Shots on target2
8Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box7
7Corners3
0Offsides3
10Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves2
472Passes512
84%Pass accuracy85%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brynn9000000007.2
C. Brittain9000001007.2
L. Ayling9000001107.2
Neto Borges9000000107.2
A. Malanda9000110007
Sebastian Berhalter9001104207.3
Leo Castledine9000001206.3
M. Whittaker8900200007
W. Lankshear80105210Y7.5
Maximilian Arfsten6700000507.2
J. Sarmiento6700101106.7
G. Edmundson sub2300100006.6
K. Joseph sub2300001006.9
F. Cartwright sub1000000106.7
C. Ibeh sub10000000–

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Ward9000000007.2
Z. Vyner9000001207.7
D. Hyam90000002Y7.5
C. Doyle90001132Y7.3
L. O'Brien90000004Y6.6
G. Thomason9000100006.7
N. Broadhead7600201207.2
O. Rathbone7200201106.3
M. James7200000206.7
S. Smith72002100Y6.3
Daniel Edward Peter Imray6500100106.3
R. Longman sub2500000006.3
B. Whiteman sub1800000006.7
B. Cadamarteri sub1800000006.3
K. Moore sub1800000106.5
D. Keillor-Dunn sub1400000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Wrexham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
WrexhamLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Middlesbrough 0 · 2 draws · Wrexham 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-10-25 Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored1.6
Wrexham scored1.2
Middlesbrough conceded1.2
Wrexham conceded1.4

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Wrexham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Wrexham was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Wrexham?
In their last 2 meetings, Middlesbrough won 0, Wrexham won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Wrexham?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 1W 2D 2L; Wrexham 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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