Sheffield WednesdayBolton

Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton result

Full-time · Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton

League Cup · · Hillsborough

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton — Sheffield Wednesday won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sheffield Wednesday beat Bolton 1–0 at Hillsborough in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bolton, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sheffield Wednesday: Jamal Lowe (70’, assisted by Barry Bannan). Xavier Simons (56’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jamal Lowe’s goal on 70 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sheffield Wednesday 0.00, Bolton 0.00, from 13 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Bell showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bolton: Akinlolu Famewo (37’) and Luca Stephenson (83’).

What it changes

Sheffield Wednesday sit 15th on three points from one game with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).

Bolton sit 32nd on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordi Liongola (Sheffield Wednesday) 9.2, Sil Swinkels (Sheffield Wednesday) 5.9 and Joshua Sheehan (Bolton) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Bolton, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Sheffield Wednesday next travel to Oldham on 8 November 2026.

Bolton next host Portsmouth on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sheffield Wednesday: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bolton: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton · League Cup
  • Venue: Hillsborough · Sheffield
  • Referee: E. Bell
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sheffield Wednesday 3 · draws 3 · Bolton 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L · Bolton 3W 1D 1L

Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 6 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSheffield Wednesday for / againstLineBolton for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
9.38 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: E. Bell.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sheffield WednesdayBolton
45%Possession55%
13Shots11
3Shots on target1
5Shots off target7
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box9
6Corners5
4Offsides0
17Fouls8
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
1Saves2
369Passes450
78%Pass accuracy84%

Sheffield Wednesday Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Lumley9700000006.6
S. Swinkels9700110208.2
G. Otegbayo9700000106.7
M. Lowe9700101207.2
Jordi Liongola9700101807.3
C. Slattery9700300306.9
Y. Valery8500000307.3
B. Bannan7901001107.7
H. Gray7900112006.3
Jarvis Thornton6300000106.6
Mason Paul James Burstow6300001006.2
L. Barry sub3400000006.9
J. Lowe sub3410110107.2
S. Fusire sub1800000206.9
W. Grainger sub1800002006.3
L. Palmer sub1200000006.7

Bolton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bonham9700000007.3
A. Famewo97000002Y6.3
J. Sheehan9700000207.2
Luca Stephenson97001012Y6.9
S. Dalby9700100006.3
C. Forino-Joseph7600200207.9
B. Davies7600000006.9
T. Gale7200003007.2
Ruben Rodrigues7200413006.9
Gaizka Larrazabal6200001006.3
X. Simons56000001R6.5
M. Conway sub3500000005.9
J. McAtee sub2500001106.9
K. Dong sub2500001106.3
E. Toal sub2100000006.9
D. Watson sub2100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sheffield WednesdayDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BoltonDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sheffield Wednesday 3 · 3 draws · Bolton 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-13 Bolton 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2023-03-17 Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Bolton
  • 2022-08-20 Bolton 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2022-04-09 Bolton 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2021-10-09 Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton
  • 2019-03-12 Bolton 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday
Goals per game
Sheffield Wednesday scored0.8
Bolton scored1.8
Sheffield Wednesday conceded1.4
Bolton conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield Wednesday and Bolton?
In their last 6 meetings, Sheffield Wednesday won 3, Bolton won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sheffield Wednesday and Bolton?
Recent form — Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L; Bolton 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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