Sunderland v Brentford result

Full-time · Sunderland 3–2 Brentford

League Cup · · Stadium of Light

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sunderland · Brentford · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 3–2 Brentford — Sunderland won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.9% of 577 landed (95% range 63–70.6%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Sunderland beat Brentford 3–2 at Stadium of Light in the League Cup on Wednesday 28 October. Brentford have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Sunderland led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Sunderland: Chemsdine Talbi (26’), Timur Tuterov (29’, assisted by Jocelin Ta Bi) and Malick Fofana (39’, assisted by Jocelin Ta Bi); Brentford: Callum Wilson (42’, assisted by Vitaly Janelt) and Thiago (90’, assisted by Mathias Jensen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Chemsdine Talbi’s goal on 26 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Brentford out-shot Sunderland 16 to 7 and created the better chances, 2.77 xG to 2.41 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Ward showed four yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Sunderland: Christopher Rigg (89’); Brentford: Kevin Schade (74’), Vitaly Janelt (83’) and Jannik Schuster (85’).

What it changes

Sunderland are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Brentford are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jocelin Ta Bi (Sunderland) 9.1, Malick Fofana (Sunderland) 8.6 and Thiago (Brentford) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sunderland next host Dinamo Zagreb on 5 November 2026.

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb, Thursday 5 November — the preview. Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Sunderland 3–2 Brentford · League Cup
  • Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
  • Referee: G. Ward
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Sunderland 1 · draws 2 · Brentford 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sunderland 1W 2D 2L · Brentford 2W 2D 1L

Sunderland 3–2 Brentford (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSunderland for / againstLineBrentford for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: G. Ward.

Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs1190990 min222 /90141.3 /9000 /90
M. Ellborg19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
2.56/4
M. Ellborg n 590
2.23/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Mukiele1078776 min212.4 /90202.3 /9080.9 /90556.4 /90111.3 /9030.3 /90
T. Hume1071709 min202.5 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90455.7 /90101.3 /9020.3 /90
Reinildo982734 min121.5 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90485.9 /90101.2 /9030.4 /90
K. Danso779551 min40.7 /9061 /9061 /90142.3 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
Dan Ballard681488 min101.8 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90478.7 /90101.8 /9020.4 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Xhaka n 879.4
0.94/1
1.15/2
—
N. Sadiki n 879.4
0.75/0
1.15/3
—
E. Le Fée n 872.4
0.94/2
2.67/4
—
N. Mukiele n 874.5
1.54/3
0.85/0
—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Xhaka n 879.4
1.66/4
N. Sadiki n 879.4
26/6
E. Le Fée n 872.4
0.93/2
N. Mukiele n 874.5
2.37/4
T. Hume n 867.4
2.25/3
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Isidor844353 min10.3 /9000 /9092.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90
B. Brobbey770489 min30.6 /9000 /90101.8 /9071.3 /9050.9 /9030.6 /90
Timur Tuterov465259 min10.3 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
Jocelin Ta Bi254107 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /90
G. Xhaka1182905 min00 /9010.1 /9090.9 /9030.3 /90242.4 /9080.8 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Xhaka n 879.4
1.14/3
0.42/1
N. Sadiki n 879.4
0.73/1
0.11/0
E. Le Fée n 872.4
1.75/3
0.63/1
N. Mukiele n 874.5
1.86/3
0.53/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Xhaka n 879.4
00/0
0.11/0
N. Sadiki n 879.4
0.11/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Mukiele n 874.5
00/0
0.21/0
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Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Kelleher890720 min263.3 /9091.1 /9000 /90
E. Balcombe19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Valdimarsson19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 890
3.26/4
H. Valdimarsson n 890.8
2.24/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lewis-Potter1074740 min70.9 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90273.3 /90121.5 /9000 /90
Michael Kayode1068676 min101.3 /90141.9 /9040.5 /90445.9 /9091.2 /9010.1 /90
K. Ajer990810 min111.2 /90141.6 /9030.3 /90434.8 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
A. Hickey750353 min61.5 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90256.4 /9041 /9010.3 /90
Jannik Schuster670417 min40.9 /9000 /9081.7 /90255.4 /9091.9 /9010.2 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lewis-Potter n 878.9
1.46/2
1.16/2
—
Michael Kayode n 872.6
1.45/4
0.93/2
—
M. Sangaré n 858
1.96/3
0.63/0
—
K. Ajer n 890
0.54/0
0.63/2
—
Thiago n 882.3
1.96/4
0.53/1
—
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lewis-Potter n 878.9
0.95/1
Michael Kayode n 872.6
1.46/3
M. Sangaré n 858
4.78/5
K. Ajer n 890
1.15/3
Thiago n 882.3
1.26/2
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Thiago982741 min20.2 /9020.2 /90172.1 /9050.6 /9070.9 /9050.6 /90
C. Wilson270139 min21.3 /9000 /9042.6 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9031.9 /90
M. Sangaré1059585 min00 /9020.3 /9071.1 /9010.2 /9071.1 /90101.5 /90
K. Schade972652 min30.4 /9000 /90131.8 /9071 /9030.4 /9071 /90
J. Anthony961550 min10.2 /9040.7 /90101.6 /9040.7 /90132.1 /90101.6 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lewis-Potter n 878.9
1.15/3
0.43/0
Michael Kayode n 872.6
0.21/0
00/0
M. Sangaré n 858
13/2
00/0
K. Ajer n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Thiago n 882.3
2.18/3
0.74/1
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lewis-Potter n 878.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Michael Kayode n 872.6
00/0
00/0
M. Sangaré n 858
00/0
00/0
K. Ajer n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Thiago n 882.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SunderlandBrentford
33%Possession67%
2.41Expected goals (xG)2.77
7Shots16
4Shots on target7
2Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box13
0Corners5
0Offsides3
8Fouls19
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves0
303Passes588

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jules Ahoka9000101106.1
M. Ellborg9000000006.3
D. Methalie9000000305.9
M. Fofana9010110307.6
K. Danso9000000106.2
A. Browne9000000205.8
Jocelin Ta Bi8902113008.3
C. Talbi8010110007.6
O. Alderete6000001006.6
Timur Tuterov6010110007.7
C. Rigg45002002Y6
H. Diarra4500000006.4
L. O'Nien3000000106.1
T. Meunier3000000206.1
T. Proctor1000000005.9
F. Scott100000106.6

Brentford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thiago9010320107.4
Jannik Schuster90000000Y5.9
V. Janelt90013120Y7.7
E. Diouf9000102006.5
M. Damsgaard9000202206.6
H. Valdimarsson9000000005.5
N. Collins7100111006.4
J. Anthony7100001406.2
C. Wilson5910320007.4
M. Sangaré5900110006.7
Michael Kayode5900100106
A. Hickey3100000005.8
M. Jensen3101102006.3
D. Ouattara3100001106.4
K. Ajer1900000006.3
K. Schade19000020Y5.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SunderlandLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BrentfordWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Sunderland 1 · 2 draws · Brentford 2 · 3.2 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Brentford 1–1 Sunderland
  • 2026-01-07 Brentford 3–0 Sunderland
  • 2025-08-30 Sunderland 2–1 Brentford
  • 2018-02-17 Sunderland 0–2 Brentford
  • 2017-10-21 Brentford 3–3 Sunderland
Goals per game
Sunderland scored0.6
Brentford scored1.8
Sunderland conceded1.2
Brentford conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Brentford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Brentford was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Brentford?
In their last 5 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Brentford won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Brentford?
Recent form — Sunderland 1W 2D 2L; Brentford 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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