Wolves v Port Vale result

Full-time · Wolves 3–0 Port Vale

League Cup · Fri, 07 Aug 2026 19:45 BST · Molineux Stadium

Updated 21 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · Port Vale

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 3–0 Port Vale — Wolves won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.25 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Wolves beat Port Vale 3–0 at Molineux Stadium in the League Cup on Friday 7 August.

The goals

Wolves led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Wolves: Adam Armstrong (14’), André (34’, assisted by Y. Mosquera) and Fer López (43’, assisted by Rodrigo Gomes).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adam Armstrong’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Wolves 0.00, Port Vale 0.00, from 16 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Webb showed two yellow cards — against 2.2 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Wolves: Kieran Trippier (64’); Port Vale: Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (26’).

What it changes

Wolves are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Bentley (Wolves) 9.3, André (Wolves) 7.6 and Fer López (Wolves) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wolves to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Wolves next travel to Wrexham on 7 November 2026.

Port Vale next host Scunthorpe on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Scunthorpe, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Wolves 3–0 Port Vale · League Cup
Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton
Referee: D. Webb
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Wolves 0W 3D 2L · Port Vale 1W 1D 3L

Wolves 3–0 Port Vale (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.88

Goals

against 2 / 0.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.13

Corners

against 4.88 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 0.63

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Wolves for / against	Line	Port Vale for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. Webb.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Wolves		Port Vale
69%	Possession	31%
16	Shots	11
7	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	4
8	Shots inside the box	9
8	Corners	5
7	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	6
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	4
545	Passes	244
87%	Pass accuracy	80%

Wolves Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Bentley	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
K. Trippier	90	0	0	0	0	3	2	Y	7.2
Fer López	90	1	0	2	2	1	1	0	8
André	90	1	0	1	1	0	4	0	8.2
Hugo Bueno	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.3
A. Armstrong	90	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.7
Y. Mosquera	84	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.9
Rodrigo Gomes	84	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	7
Toti Gomes	71	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
M. Mane	71	0	0	3	0	2	0	0	6.3
M. Munetsi	66	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
T. Doyle sub	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
N. Djiga sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
R. Jiménez sub	19	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
L. Krejčí sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Tchatchoua sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Port Vale Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Smith	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. Montsma	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
C. Humphreys	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Gordon	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
R. Walters	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Dempsey	90	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
G. Byers	78	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
G. Hall	78	1	1	0	3	0	6.3
J. Lawrence-Gabriel	71	1	0	0	2	Y	5.2
M. Faal	71	2	1	1	0	0	7.3
J. Headley	60	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
O. Hernández sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. John sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
O. Lynch sub	19	2	1	0	0	0	6.6
R. Croasdale sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
B. Waine sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WolvesLDLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Port ValeDLLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Goals per game

Wolves scored0.6

Port Vale scored0.6

Wolves conceded1.4

Port Vale conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Port Vale?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Port Vale was Home win (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Wolves and Port Vale?: Recent form — Wolves 0W 3D 2L; Port Vale 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 21 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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