BarnsleyStevenage

Barnsley v Stevenage result

Full-time · Barnsley 1–5 Stevenage

League One · · Oakwell

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Barnsley 1–5 Stevenage — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.85 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.7% of 140 landed (95% range 47.4–63.7%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage won 5–1 at Oakwell in League One on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Barnsley: Cameron McGeehan (17’ pen); Stevenage: Oliver Sanderson (43’), Daniel Kemp (52’; 66’, assisted by Jordan Roberts), Terence Vancooten (57’, assisted by Daniel Kemp) and Michael Mellon (90’, assisted by S. Earley).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Kemp’s goal on 52 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Barnsley 1.83, Stevenage 1.93, from 17 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Hair showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Barnsley: Patrick Kelly (85’); Stevenage: Carl Piergianni (16’) and S. Earley (86’).

What it changes

Barnsley move down from fourth to eighth (five league matches played). Barnsley have scored six goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Barnsley have conceded eight goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stevenage move up from 20th to 10th (five league matches played). Stevenage have scored nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Stevenage have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stevenage are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Kemp (Stevenage) 13.7, Jordan Roberts (Stevenage) 7.7 and Cameron McGeehan (Barnsley) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Barnsley next travel to Wigan on 14 November 2026.

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barnsley: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barnsley 1–5 Stevenage · League One
  • Venue: Oakwell · Barnsley, South Yorkshire
  • Referee: N. Hair
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barnsley 2 · draws 0 · Stevenage 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barnsley 3W 1D 1L · Stevenage 0W 3D 2L

Barnsley 1–5 Stevenage (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
9.29 / 4.38
Corners
against 5.29 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.43 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.71 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.8 yellows
Referee · N. Hair
26.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBarnsley for / againstLineStevenage for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
9.29 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
17.71 for · 13.29 against n 7
19.5standard
10.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.43 for · 4.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.29 against n 7
21.5standard
12.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: N. Hair — 3.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Barnsley

Barnsley Goalkeeper

Barnsley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rogan Ravenhill590450 min153 /9051 /9000 /90
Barnsley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rogan Ravenhill n 590
34/2

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Gale590450 min91.8 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90244.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
A. Kay590449 min214.2 /90153 /9010.2 /90469.2 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
T. Noslin587436 min102.1 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90224.5 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
Noah Philip Town32060 min11.5 /9000 /9000 /9023 /9023 /9000 /90
C. O'Riordan290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9094.5 /9021 /9000 /90
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Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Gale n 590
0.42/0
0.82/1
—
Rogan Ravenhill n 590
00/0
0.63/0
—
A. Kay n 589.8
1.44/3
1.23/1
—
Patrick Kelly n 887.8
0.95/1
0.64/1
—
C. McGeehan n 874.3
1.76/4
0.94/2
—
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Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Gale n 590
1.85/2
A. Kay n 589.8
4.25/5
Patrick Kelly n 887.8
0.63/2
C. McGeehan n 874.3
1.56/2
T. Noslin n 587.2
2.14/2
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Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Kirk554271 min10.3 /9000 /90113.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Amani Richards446184 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9021 /9021 /9073.4 /90
Clayton Taylor12323 min00 /9000 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Patrick Kelly590449 min00 /9010.2 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90173.4 /9081.6 /90
C. McGeehan588440 min20.4 /9000 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90
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Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Gale n 590
0.21/0
00/0
Rogan Ravenhill n 590
00/0
00/0
A. Kay n 589.8
0.82/1
0.21/0
Patrick Kelly n 887.8
0.84/2
0.32/0
C. McGeehan n 874.3
1.87/4
0.64/0
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Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Gale n 590
00/0
00/0
Rogan Ravenhill n 590
00/0
00/0
Patrick Kelly n 887.8
00/0
0.32/0
A. Kay n 589.8
00/0
00/0
C. McGeehan n 874.3
0.53/0
00/0
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Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Marschall590450 min102 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Marschall n 890
2.15/2

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Freestone689533 min152.5 /9020.3 /9030.5 /90305.1 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
C. Piergianni683495 min71.3 /9081.5 /9061.1 /90488.7 /9091.6 /9020.4 /90
T. Vancooten680480 min112.1 /9061.1 /9040.8 /90275.1 /9030.6 /9000 /90
L. James-Wildin490360 min82 /9041 /9000 /90225.5 /9082 /9020.5 /90
Jack Taylor19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Freestone n 889.1
0.84/1
0.32/0
—
D. Phillips n 876.4
1.26/2
0.94/2
—
C. Piergianni n 884.4
1.66/3
0.94/3
—
T. Vancooten n 882.5
0.73/2
0.53/1
—
D. Kemp n 879
1.36/3
2.36/4
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Freestone n 889.1
2.87/5
D. Phillips n 876.4
2.76/4
C. Piergianni n 884.4
1.25/2
T. Vancooten n 882.5
1.98/3
D. Kemp n 879
0.43/0
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Kemp675452 min10.2 /9000 /9091.8 /9020.4 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
J. Magennis648289 min20.6 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9061.9 /9010.3 /90
J. Roberts561305 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
O. Sanderson443170 min10.5 /9000 /9042.1 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
J. Reid380239 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Freestone n 889.1
0.31/1
0.11/0
D. Phillips n 876.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Piergianni n 884.4
1.57/3
0.11/0
T. Vancooten n 882.5
0.32/0
00/0
D. Kemp n 879
1.65/2
0.31/1
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Freestone n 889.1
00/0
00/0
D. Phillips n 876.4
00/0
00/0
C. Piergianni n 884.4
00/0
00/0
T. Vancooten n 882.5
00/0
00/0
D. Kemp n 879
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarnsleyStevenage
56%Possession44%
1.83Expected goals (xG)1.93
17Shots10
4Shots on target5
4Shots off target3
9Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box8
7Corners3
2Offsides5
18Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves2
396Passes314
73%Pass accuracy61%

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Noslin9000712105.4
S. Gale9000000105.6
A. Kay9000000204.8
Patrick Kelly90002031Y5.7
C. O'Riordan9000100005.6
Rogan Ravenhill9000000005.4
C. McGeehan7510110306.9
Jonathan Bland6000211205.7
R. Cleary6000101006
M. Kirk4500100006.3
Ziyad Mallah4500001205.5
Leo Farrell4500000006
Amani Richards4500001006.3
L. Connell3000210105.9
Luke William Alker3000000006.2
Clayton Taylor1500001006.5

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Freestone9000000306
L. James-Wildin9000000206.3
D. Kemp9021223209.5
C. Piergianni90000013Y6.2
Tommy Setford9000000006
T. Vancooten9010110107.5
D. Phillips8500000706.1
J. Roberts8501101306.4
J. Magennis7200101006.4
O. Sanderson7210410107.4
L. Thompson6700000306.5
T. Taylor2300000106.3
B. Broggio1800000006.5
M. Mellon1810110007.4
S. Earley5010011Y6.6
J. Houghton500000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barnsley v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarnsleyLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
StevenageDLLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barnsley 2 · 0 draws · Stevenage 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-21 Stevenage 1–0 Barnsley
  • 2026-01-31 Barnsley 3–1 Stevenage
  • 2025-01-25 Barnsley 0–1 Stevenage
  • 2024-09-14 Stevenage 3–0 Barnsley
  • 2024-04-09 Stevenage 2–1 Barnsley
  • 2023-12-23 Barnsley 2–1 Stevenage
League standing · 2026/27
Barnsley#23 pos9 pts12 pl-10 GD
Stevenage#16 pos16 pts12 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Barnsley scored1
Stevenage scored1.42
Barnsley conceded1.83
Stevenage conceded1.08

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barnsley v Stevenage?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnsley v Stevenage was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.85 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Barnsley and Stevenage?
In their last 6 meetings, Barnsley won 2, Stevenage won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barnsley and Stevenage?
Recent form — Barnsley 3W 1D 1L; Stevenage 0W 3D 2L.

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