Bolton v Lincoln result

Full-time · Bolton 1–1 Lincoln

League One · · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bolton · Lincoln · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bolton 1–1 Lincoln — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bolton and Lincoln drew 1–1 at Toughsheet Community Stadium in League One on Saturday 23 August. Bolton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Lincoln are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lincoln led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Lincoln: Frederick Draper (1’, assisted by R. Hackett) and an own goal by Thomas Hamer (90’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bolton 0.00, Lincoln 0.00, from 18 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Miles showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bolton: Ethan Erhahon (22’) and Max Conway (76’); Lincoln: Ryley Towler (60’) and Conor McGrandles (82’).

What it changes

Bolton stay 15th after this result (five league matches played).

Lincoln move down from fourth to fifth (five league matches played).

Bolton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thomas Hamer (Lincoln) 8.8, Frederick Draper (Lincoln) 7.4 and R. Hackett (Lincoln) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bolton or Lincoln (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Bolton next host Middlesbrough on 23 October 2026.

Lincoln next host Burnley on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bolton: Bolton v Middlesbrough, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Burnley, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Bolton 1–1 Lincoln · League One
  • Venue: Toughsheet Community Stadium · Bolton
  • Referee: J. Miles
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bolton 4 · draws 1 · Lincoln 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bolton 1W 3D 1L · Lincoln 4W 0D 1L

Bolton 1–1 Lincoln (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4
Corners
against 3.38 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.63 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 3 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.57
Cards
against 3 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBolton for / againstLineLincoln for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6 against n 7
Shots
15.63 for · 7.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.71 for · 13.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.63 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
3.57 for · 4 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
13.14 for · 9.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: J. Miles.

Bolton
Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Osei-Tutu n 857
2.47/4
4.17/6
—
A. Cozier-Duberry n 859.4
1.95/4
1.15/1
F. Draper
J. McAtee n 848.3
1.95/2
0.52/0
—
Mason Paul James Burstow n 846.3
1.96/1
1.55/1
—
G. Thomason n 886.1
1.88/5
1.37/2
—
Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cozier-Duberry n 859.4
3.27/5
1.55/2
T. Gale n 847.4
2.66/4
1.24/1
J. McAtee n 848.3
1.95/3
0.73/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 846.3
1.74/3
0.73/0
S. Schön n 850.4
1.65/1
0.72/1
Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Cozier-Duberry n 859.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
J. Dacres-Cogley n 864.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
T. Gale n 847.4
0.52/0
00/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 846.3
0.52/0
00/0
J. Matete n 857
0.21/0
0.21/0
Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Osei-Tutu n 857
3.96/4
M. Conway n 881.4
3.68/5
A. Murphy n 878.5
2.47/6
J. Matete n 857
2.45/4
Sam Inwood n 369
2.21/1
Lincoln
Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Draper n 837.8
4.87/4
1.85/1
A. Cozier-Duberry
B. House n 858.4
2.96/4
1.74/3
—
Z. Okoro n 516.2
2.22/0
4.44/0
—
R. Street n 876.9
1.96/4
1.54/3
—
A. Jackson n 881.6
1.77/4
0.63/1
—
Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Moylan n 842.4
2.46/2
0.83/0
Z. Okoro n 516.2
2.22/0
1.11/0
J. Collins n 872.3
1.95/3
1.13/2
E. Ring n 841.6
1.94/2
0.52/0
F. Draper n 837.8
1.84/1
0.92/1
Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Collins n 872.3
0.62/2
0.21/0
R. Street n 876.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
B. House n 858.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
F. Draper n 837.8
0.62/0
00/0
E. Ring n 841.6
0.52/0
00/0
Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Z. Okoro n 516.2
4.43/1
B. House n 858.4
48/5
S. Roughan n 874.1
2.97/6
C. McGrandles n 852.8
2.87/2
R. Hackett n 878.6
2.67/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BoltonLincoln
74%Possession26%
18Shots5
6Shots on target3
5Shots off target1
7Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box5
13Corners2
2Offsides5
11Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves6
622Passes226
89%Pass accuracy69%

Bolton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Sharman-Lowe9000000006.6
J. Dacres-Cogley9000100206.3
E. Toal9000000206.9
G. Johnston9000000007.2
A. Cozier-Duberry9000112006.7
Mason Paul James Burstow9000211006.2
M. Conway88000034Y7.7
J. Randall7400221106.7
I. Cissoko5900002006.6
X. Simons4500100106.6
E. Erhahon45000002Y6.5
J. Sheehan sub4500221207.2
A. Morley sub4500102006.9
T. Gale sub3200100006.3
S. Dalby sub1700000006.2
R. Taylor sub1000000006.9

Lincoln player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Wickens9000000008.3
T. Hamer9000110507.2
A. Jackson9000000206.9
S. Bradley9000000006.6
R. Towler90000002Y7.2
T. Darikwa9000000206.7
C. McGrandles90000004Y7.2
B. House9000000206.7
R. Hackett6201212206.6
T. Bayliss6200000006.9
F. Draper6110110307.7
J. Collins sub3000000006.6
E. Hamilton sub2900000006.5
R. Street sub2900000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bolton v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BoltonLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LincolnWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bolton 4 · 1 draw · Lincoln 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-04-21 Lincoln 4–2 Bolton
  • 2024-12-29 Bolton 3–0 Lincoln
  • 2023-12-26 Lincoln 0–1 Bolton
  • 2023-08-05 Bolton 3–0 Lincoln
  • 2022-12-30 Lincoln 1–1 Bolton
  • 2022-10-01 Bolton 2–0 Lincoln
League standing · 2025/26
Bolton#5 pos75 pts46 pl+18 GD
Lincoln#1 pos103 pts46 pl+48 GD
Goals per game
Bolton scored1.52
Lincoln scored1.93
Bolton conceded1.13
Lincoln conceded0.89

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bolton v Lincoln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bolton v Lincoln was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bolton and Lincoln?
In their last 6 meetings, Bolton won 4, Lincoln won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bolton and Lincoln?
Recent form — Bolton 1W 3D 1L; Lincoln 4W 0D 1L.

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