CardiffBolton

Cardiff v Bolton result

Full-time · Cardiff 2–0 Bolton

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cardiff · Bolton

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 2–0 Bolton — Cardiff won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 5 of 7 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff beat Bolton 2–0 in League One on Saturday 11 April.

Cardiff have scored 90 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Omari Kellyman (50’, assisted by Joel Bagan) and Christopher Willock (52’, assisted by Alexander Robertson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Omari Kellyman’s goal on 50 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cardiff 1.89, Bolton 0.49, from 19 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Bell showed one yellow card — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: Joel Bagan (70’).

What it changes

Cardiff stay second after this result (41 league matches played). Cardiff have conceded 50 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

Bolton move down from third to fourth (42 league matches played). Bolton have scored 70 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bolton have conceded 52 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexander Robertson (Cardiff) 6.5, Omari Kellyman (Cardiff) 6.2 and Christopher Willock (Cardiff) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 5 of 7 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Bolton next host Portsmouth on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Bolton: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 2–0 Bolton · League One
  • Referee: E. Bell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Cardiff 1 · draws 0 · Bolton 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 1W 3D 1L · Bolton 1W 3D 1L

Cardiff 2–0 Bolton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
10.13 / 7.5
Corners
against 3.13 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.25 yellows
Referee · E. Bell
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineBolton for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
10.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
19.63 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: E. Bell — 2.25 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott41903690 min952.3 /90451.1 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
1.84/2

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan44823611 min731.8 /90270.7 /90150.4 /901794.5 /90310.8 /9080.2 /90
P. Ng33792605 min602.1 /90250.9 /90110.4 /901665.7 /90291 /9050.2 /90
C. Chambers27822211 min291.2 /90341.4 /90170.7 /901084.4 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
D. Lawlor26782028 min200.9 /90221 /90241.1 /90823.6 /90170.8 /9040.2 /90
R. Wintle39853309 min421.1 /90441.2 /90160.4 /901143.1 /90180.5 /9040.1 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joel Bagan n 878.3
0.74/1
0.94/2
G. Johnston
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Wintle n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
Cian Ashford n 867
00/0
1.35/3
—
C. Willock n 843.9
0.52/0
0.83/0
Mason Paul James Burstow
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
2.37/5
R. Wintle n 890
1.66/2
Cian Ashford n 867
1.25/2
C. Willock n 843.9
1.56/0
P. Ng n 886.3
1.36/3
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech32732325 min130.5 /9040.2 /90752.9 /90311.2 /90281.1 /90130.5 /90
C. Robinson30391169 min70.5 /9010.1 /90292.2 /90191.5 /90110.8 /9090.7 /90
R. Wintle39853309 min10 /9050.1 /90220.6 /90110.3 /90371 /9090.2 /90
Cian Ashford39652533 min50.2 /9030.1 /90361.3 /90190.7 /90301.1 /90491.7 /90
C. Willock38582208 min70.3 /9050.2 /90291.2 /90140.6 /90512.1 /90371.5 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 890
1.14/2
0.52/1
Cian Ashford n 867
27/3
0.84/1
C. Willock n 843.9
1.35/0
0.52/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
00/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Cian Ashford n 867
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Willock n 843.9
00/0
00/0
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Bolton

Bolton Defensive

Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Johnston n 889
0.95/1
0.32/0
Joel Bagan
M. Conway n 873.3
0.96/0
2.37/5
—
Mason Paul James Burstow n 839.1
25/1
0.31/0
C. Willock
S. Dalby n 890
0.95/2
1.35/4
—
E. Toal n 888
0.32/0
0.11/0
—
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Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Johnston n 889
1.36/4
M. Conway n 873.3
1.46/3
Mason Paul James Burstow n 839.1
1.43/2
S. Dalby n 890
0.84/2
E. Toal n 888
0.43/0
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Bolton Attacking

Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Johnston n 889
0.85/1
0.32/0
M. Conway n 873.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 839.1
2.97/3
1.24/0
S. Dalby n 890
1.15/2
0.83/2
E. Toal n 888
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Johnston n 889
0.11/0
00/0
M. Conway n 873.3
00/0
00/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 839.1
0.62/0
00/0
S. Dalby n 890
0.32/0
0.31/1
E. Toal n 888
0.11/0
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffBolton
51%Possession49%
1.89Expected goals (xG)0.49
19Shots6
5Shots on target1
7Shots off target3
7Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box3
8Corners1
5Offsides1
16Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves3
405Passes400
80%Pass accuracy78%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000006.6
P. Ng9000101308.2
W. Fish9000001007.3
D. Lawlor9000000207.2
Joel Bagan90010041Y7.9
R. Wintle9000102006.3
O. Tanner9000210006.5
O. Kellyman8810322206.6
R. Colwill7800002207
A. Robertson7701312007
C. Willock7710211008.2
D. Turnbull sub1300001006.9
C. Scanlon sub1300000006.3
J. Colwill sub1200000006.3
Y. Salech sub900000006.3

Bolton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bonham9000000007.2
E. Toal9000000106.3
G. Johnston9000100006.3
M. Conway9000000206
J. Sheehan9000100207.3
J. Osei-Tutu9000000406.9
S. Dalby9000100106.5
Mason Paul James Burstow8300110006.3
C. Christie6000000106
K. Dempsey6000000206.3
T. Gale6000000006.2
R. Apter sub3000001106.6
A. Cozier-Duberry sub3000002006.3
Ruben Rodrigues sub3000000307.3
T. Ritchie sub1400001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffDWLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BoltonDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Cardiff 1 · 0 draws · Bolton 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Bolton 1–0 Cardiff
  • 2018-02-13 Cardiff 2–0 Bolton
  • 2017-12-23 Bolton 2–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2025/26
Cardiff#2 pos91 pts46 pl+40 GD
Bolton#5 pos75 pts46 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.96
Bolton scored1.52
Cardiff conceded1.09
Bolton conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Bolton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Bolton was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Bolton?
In their last 3 meetings, Cardiff won 1, Bolton won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Bolton?
Recent form — Cardiff 1W 3D 1L; Bolton 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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