DoncasterReading

Doncaster v Reading result

Full-time · Doncaster 1–0 Reading

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Doncaster · Reading

The model’s pre-match pick

Doncaster 1–0 Reading — Doncaster won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster beat Reading 1–0 in League One on Saturday 11 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Doncaster: Owen Bailey (58’, assisted by E. Lee).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Owen Bailey’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Doncaster 1.80, Reading 1.22, from 9 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Jackson showed three yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Doncaster: Brandon Hanlan (90+6’); Reading: Charlie Savage (37’) and Daniel Kyerewaa (67’).

What it changes

Doncaster move up from 17th to 13th (42 league matches played). Doncaster have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Doncaster have conceded 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Reading move down from seventh to eighth (43 league matches played). Reading have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Reading have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Reading are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Owen Bailey (Doncaster) 9.2, E. Lee (Doncaster) 5.0 and Hakeeb Adelakun (Doncaster) 3.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Doncaster or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Reading next travel to Peterborough on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Reading: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Doncaster 1–0 Reading · League One
  • Referee: S. Jackson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Doncaster 0 · draws 1 · Reading 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Doncaster 2W 1D 2L · Reading 2W 1D 2L

Doncaster 1–0 Reading (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.25
Corners
against 4 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.4 yellows
Referee · S. Jackson
20.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDoncaster for / againstLineReading for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.13 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: S. Jackson — 5.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala30902700 min722.4 /90481.6 /9010 /90
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 890
1.64/3

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Senior33752470 min602.2 /90301.1 /90160.6 /901585.8 /90210.8 /9060.2 /90
J. McGrath31802479 min301.1 /90321.2 /90170.6 /901525.5 /90321.2 /9080.3 /90
J. Sterry28792212 min572.3 /90180.7 /9080.3 /901214.9 /90341.4 /9040.2 /90
M. Pearson26812101 min271.2 /90261.1 /90110.5 /901757.5 /90190.8 /9030.1 /90
J. Maxwell22761668 min573.1 /90301.6 /9020.1 /901297 /90100.5 /9030.2 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 890
1.35/4
1.16/3
C. Savage
L. Molyneux n 889.4
0.84/1
1.15/3
C. Savage
J. Gibson n 839.5
0.62/0
1.14/0
—
R. Gotts n 887.4
1.47/3
2.17/6
L. Wing
J. Senior n 890
0.43/0
14/2
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
28/4
L. Molyneux n 889.4
1.88/3
J. Gibson n 839.5
23/2
R. Gotts n 887.4
1.97/6
J. Senior n 890
2.87/6
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Sharp32541743 min30.2 /9020.1 /90221.1 /90120.6 /90110.6 /9060.3 /90
B. Hanlan29621798 min50.3 /9000 /90160.8 /90110.6 /9080.4 /90120.6 /90
Francis Okoronkwo469277 min10.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.6 /9031 /9031 /90
O. Bailey46874009 min140.3 /9050.1 /90591.3 /90290.7 /90431 /90110.2 /90
L. Molyneux42823464 min80.2 /9090.2 /90601.6 /90260.7 /90571.5 /90581.5 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
1.36/3
0.43/0
L. Molyneux n 889.4
28/5
0.54/0
J. Gibson n 839.5
1.14/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 887.4
0.84/2
0.11/0
J. Senior n 890
0.42/1
00/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Molyneux n 889.4
0.11/0
00/0
J. Gibson n 839.5
00/0
00/0
R. Gotts n 887.4
00/0
0.31/1
J. Senior n 890
00/0
00/0
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Reading

Reading Defensive

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Wing n 890
1.57/3
15/3
R. Gotts
K. Doyle n 867
0.32/0
1.75/3
—
C. Savage n 889.1
14/2
0.95/2
L. Molyneux
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.6
2.18/4
15/2
—
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Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Wing n 890
2.68/5
K. Doyle n 867
1.77/2
C. Savage n 889.1
1.57/4
Joel Pereira n 890
0.11/0
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.6
0.63/1
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Reading Attacking

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Wing n 890
1.16/2
0.54/0
K. Doyle n 867
1.35/2
1.24/2
C. Savage n 889.1
0.64/1
0.32/0
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.6
1.66/3
1.25/2
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Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Wing n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
K. Doyle n 867
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Savage n 889.1
00/0
00/0
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.6
0.93/2
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DoncasterReading
42%Possession58%
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.22
9Shots8
6Shots on target1
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box7
2Corners4
6Offsides3
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves4
310Passes424
71%Pass accuracy70%

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Lo-Tutala9000000007.2
J. Sterry9000000006.5
S. Grehan9000000107.3
M. Pearson9000000007.5
J. Senior9000002006.9
R. Gotts9000000307.2
O. Bailey9010212207.6
H. Clifton8900112107.3
L. Molyneux8800210006.7
E. Lee8201112107
H. Adelakun8200110306.9
B. Hanlan sub8001100Y6.3
J. Gibson sub800000106.9
G. Broadbent sub800000006.7
J. McGrath sub10000000–

Reading Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joel Pereira9000000008
P. O'Connor9000000206.2
D. Williams9000000006.9
L. Wing9000100106.7
D. Kyerewaa90001013Y6.9
K. Ehibhatiomhan9000002006.3
J. Dorsett8200001006.2
R. Nyambe6500000106
L. Fraser6500000106.9
C. Savage45000000Y6.3
K. Young4500100106.6
M. Ritchie sub4500111106.9
W. Keane sub4500100006
A. Rinomhota sub2500000106.6
H. Roberts sub2500000106.9
P. Lane sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Doncaster v Reading — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DoncasterDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
ReadingWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Doncaster 0 · 1 draw · Reading 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Reading 1–1 Doncaster
League standing · 2025/26
Doncaster#14 pos60 pts46 pl-19 GD
Reading#12 pos63 pts46 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Doncaster scored1.09
Reading scored1.39
Doncaster conceded1.5
Reading conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Doncaster v Reading?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Doncaster v Reading was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Doncaster and Reading?
In their last 1 meetings, Doncaster won 0, Reading won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Doncaster and Reading?
Recent form — Doncaster 2W 1D 2L; Reading 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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