LeicesterPeterborough

Leicester v Peterborough result

Full-time · Leicester 1–3 Peterborough

League One · · King Power Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leicester · Peterborough

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 1–3 Peterborough — Peterborough won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Peterborough won 3–1 at King Power Stadium in League One on Saturday 10 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Leicester out-shot Peterborough 21 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.60 xG to 1.70 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Peterborough led 3–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Peterborough: Owura Edwards (12’, assisted by Harley Mills) and Harry Leonard (36’, assisted by Bolu Shofowoke); Leicester: an own goal by W. O'Hora (44’) and E. Riis (68’, assisted by Wes Burns).

Discipline

The bookings — Peterborough: M. Garbett (85’).

What it changes

Leicester move down from 10th to 15th (eight league matches played). Leicester have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Leicester have conceded 19 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough move up from 23rd to 20th (nine league matches played). Peterborough have scored 11 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Peterborough have conceded 23 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harley Mills (Peterborough) 11.2, Owura Edwards (Peterborough) 8.8 and Harry Leonard (Peterborough) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Leicester next travel to Oxford City on 6 November 2026.

Peterborough next host Reading on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Oxford City v Leicester, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leicester 1–3 Peterborough · League One
  • Venue: King Power Stadium · Leicester, Leicestershire
  • Referee: Simon Hooper
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Leicester 1 · draws 0 · Peterborough 0 · 6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leicester 2W 2D 1L · Peterborough 0W 2D 3L

Leicester 1–3 Peterborough (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.5 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 1.29
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeicester for / againstLinePeterborough for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.57 against n 7
Shots
16.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.86 for · 13.43 against n 7
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.71 for · 5.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
8.86 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: Simon Hooper.

Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. McCarthy689534 min172.9 /90111.9 /9000 /90
J. Stolarczyk393279 min92.9 /9031 /9000 /90
Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. McCarthy n 689
2.95/3
J. Stolarczyk n 892.1
24/3

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Thomas990806 min161.8 /9070.8 /9030.3 /90374.1 /9091 /9010.1 /90
H. Souttar791639 min60.8 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90304.2 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
Jayden Joseph778543 min111.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90315.1 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
C. McFarlane482329 min71.9 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90215.7 /9020.5 /9000 /90
O. Aluko460240 min62.3 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90217.9 /9062.3 /9020.8 /90
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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Thomas n 888.4
1.15/3
1.35/3
Harley Mills
S. Braybrooke n 884.1
1.36/3
0.95/2
—
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
0.81/1
14/1
Bolu Shofowoke
Wes Burns n 845
26/2
1.55/1
—
H. Souttar n 890.9
1.16/2
0.42/1
—
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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Thomas n 888.4
1.76/5
S. Braybrooke n 884.1
1.57/3
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
0.62/1
Wes Burns n 845
0.52/0
H. Souttar n 890.9
0.94/2
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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. De Cordova-Reid856450 min00 /9010.2 /90112.2 /9030.6 /9051 /9010.2 /90
Wes Burns845360 min10.3 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90
T. Watson747327 min00 /9000 /90102.8 /9051.4 /90113 /9041.1 /90
A. Bristrić549243 min00 /9000 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9041.5 /9020.7 /90
H. Howell547233 min10.4 /9000 /9062.3 /9031.2 /9051.9 /90103.9 /90
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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Thomas n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Braybrooke n 884.1
1.36/2
0.84/2
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
2.27/3
0.63/0
Wes Burns n 845
0.52/0
0.31/0
H. Souttar n 890.9
0.64/1
0.43/0
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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Thomas n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
S. Braybrooke n 884.1
00/0
0.11/0
B. De Cordova-Reid n 856.3
00/0
0.21/0
Wes Burns n 845
0.31/0
00/0
H. Souttar n 890.9
00/0
00/0
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Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass1090900 min323.2 /90141.4 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
3.27/5

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Harley Mills984759 min172 /9070.8 /9030.4 /90354.2 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
D. Okagbue885676 min50.7 /9040.5 /9091.2 /90435.7 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
C. Johnston776533 min101.7 /9040.7 /9020.3 /90294.9 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
James Dornelly776531 min101.7 /9061 /9040.7 /90264.4 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
Joshua Feeney590450 min20.4 /9030.6 /9040.8 /90346.8 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
H. Leonard n 886.1
16/2
1.86/4
—
Bolu Shofowoke n 865.5
0.73/1
0.74/0
B. De Cordova-Reid
Harley Mills n 883.6
0.84/1
0.94/3
L. Thomas
L. Kelly n 876.6
1.26/2
0.64/0
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Leonard n 886.1
0.32/0
Bolu Shofowoke n 865.5
0.94/1
Harley Mills n 883.6
26/2
L. Kelly n 876.6
1.86/5
Harrison Jones n 860.3
1.95/2
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Leonard1087866 min40.4 /9000 /90282.9 /90131.4 /90101 /9060.6 /90
D. Ormerod539193 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /9094.2 /9020.9 /90
Lucas Pasquoto32575 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9067.2 /9011.2 /90
Vernon Masara23774 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /90
David Kamara12525 min00 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Leonard n 886.1
2.98/7
1.36/2
Bolu Shofowoke n 865.5
0.73/1
0.52/1
Harley Mills n 883.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Kelly n 876.6
0.64/0
0.11/0
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Leonard n 886.1
0.42/1
00/0
Bolu Shofowoke n 865.5
0.21/0
00/0
Harley Mills n 883.6
00/0
00/0
L. Kelly n 876.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeicesterPeterborough
71%Possession29%
2.60Expected goals (xG)1.70
21Shots13
4Shots on target4
9Shots off target5
8Blocked shots4
17Shots inside the box10
8Corners8
3Offsides3
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
652Passes262
83%Pass accuracy60%

Leicester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Alves9000103206.9
L. Thomas9000000305.9
L. Page9000103306.9
J. Lundstram9000001207
A. McCarthy9000000006.2
E. Riis9010320107.2
C. Okoli7800302006
B. De Cordova-Reid6500202006.6
O. Aluko4500001106.3
W. O'Hora4500000005.5
L. Cullen4500100006.7
Wes Burns sub4501002007.3
K. Doyle sub4500110007
Ilari Kangasniemi sub4500110206.9
S. Braybrooke sub2500000006.7
H. Howell sub1200000106.3

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Edwards9010111408.6
C. Johnston9000001307
Joshua Feeney9000001107.6
Lucca Mendonça9000000106.3
Harley Mills9001002908.3
A. Bass9000000007.3
L. Kelly7800100006.2
H. Leonard7810221107.6
Harry Ashfield6700000207.2
Bolu Shofowoke6701003106.9
Ethan Williams5900001207
M. Garbett sub31001100Y6.2
B. Woods sub2300100106.3
Vernon Masara sub2300101006.5
B. Khela sub1200000106.7
D. Ormerod sub1200201006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Peterborough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeicesterDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
PeterboroughLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Leicester 1 · 0 draws · Peterborough 0 · 6 goals/game
  • 2018-01-27 Peterborough 1–5 Leicester
League standing · 2026/27
Leicester#10 pos19 pts13 pl+3 GD
Peterborough#22 pos10 pts13 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Leicester scored1.69
Peterborough scored0.85
Leicester conceded1.46
Peterborough conceded1.77

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Peterborough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Peterborough was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Leicester and Peterborough?
In their last 1 meetings, Leicester won 1, Peterborough won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Peterborough?
Recent form — Leicester 2W 2D 1L; Peterborough 0W 2D 3L.

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