Lincoln v Cardiff result
Lincoln 2–1 Cardiff — Lincoln won this League One match.
The result
Lincoln beat Cardiff 2–1 in League One on Saturday 20 December. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cardiff, from fewer shots (11 to 18), created the better chances, 2.54 xG to 1.88 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
Lincoln led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Cardiff: an own goal by Alexander Robertson (40’) and Perry Ng (49’, assisted by Yousef Salech); Lincoln: Sonny Bradley (67’, assisted by Thomas Bayliss).
Discipline
Richard Eley, England showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lincoln: Thomas Hamer (22’), Conor McGrandles (34’) and George Wickens (80’); Cardiff: Omari Kellyman (44’).
What it changes
Lincoln stay second after this result (21 league matches played). Lincoln have scored 89 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Lincoln have conceded 41 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.
Cardiff stay first after this result (20 league matches played). Cardiff have scored 90 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Cardiff have conceded 50 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Lincoln are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Lincoln have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Cardiff have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Perry Ng (Cardiff) 8.7, Sonny Bradley (Lincoln) 7.7 and Thomas Bayliss (Lincoln) 5.3 led the match.
Next up
Lincoln next host Wrexham on 21 November 2026.
Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Lincoln 2–1 Cardiff · League One
- Referee: Richard Eley, England
- Recent form: Lincoln 3W 1D 1L · Cardiff 4W 0D 1L
Lincoln 2–1 Cardiff (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lincoln for / against | Line | Cardiff for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.86 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.43 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.86 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.86 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.71 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.86 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.86 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.29 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Richard Eley, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 27.33 fouls over 6 matches.
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Lincoln
Lincoln Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bayliss n 8 | 75.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | R. Wintle |
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.8 | Joel Bagan |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 86.6 | 0.5 | 1.8 | R. Wintle |
| R. Street n 8 | 57.4 | 2 | 1.6 | Cian Ashford |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.6 | Joel Bagan |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Bayliss n 8 | 75.9 | 2.5 |
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 86.6 | 3 |
| R. Street n 8 | 57.4 | 1.4 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.5 |
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Lincoln Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bayliss n 8 | 75.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 86.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| R. Street n 8 | 57.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bayliss n 8 | 75.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Darikwa n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| C. McGrandles n 8 | 86.6 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Street n 8 | 57.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| S. Bradley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Cardiff
Cardiff Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | 22 | 901980 min | 642.9 /90 | 251.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Cardiff Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan | 24 | 862071 min | 431.9 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 984.3 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| D. Lawlor | 17 | 751268 min | 130.9 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 201.4 /90 | 553.9 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| C. Chambers | 14 | 831161 min | 171.3 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 524 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| P. Ng | 13 | 71920 min | 202 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 545.3 /90 | 131.3 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Cian Ashford | 21 | 731526 min | 201.2 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 774.5 /90 | 110.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 89 | 0.4 | 0.9 | S. Bradley |
| Y. Salech n 8 | 82.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 80.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | R. Street |
| R. Wintle n 8 | 83.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | C. McGrandles |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 89 | 1.4 |
| Y. Salech n 8 | 82.9 | 0.4 |
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 80.1 | 1 |
| R. Wintle n 8 | 83.9 | 0.7 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 81.3 | 0.7 |
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Cardiff Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech | 23 | 711639 min | 110.6 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 573.1 /90 | 251.4 /90 | 231.3 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| C. Robinson | 15 | 47702 min | 40.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 131.7 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| Cian Ashford | 21 | 731526 min | 40.2 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 201.2 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 231.4 /90 |
| R. Wintle | 20 | 841676 min | 10.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| C. Willock | 19 | 581104 min | 30.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 231.9 /90 | 191.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 89 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Y. Salech n 8 | 82.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 80.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| R. Wintle n 8 | 83.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 89 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Y. Salech n 8 | 82.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Ashford n 8 | 80.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| R. Wintle n 8 | 83.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Lincoln | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| 33% | Possession | 67% |
| 1.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.54 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 266 | Passes | 562 |
| 72% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Lincoln Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| T. Darikwa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Hamer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.6 |
| S. Bradley | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 |
| A. Reach | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. McGrandles | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. Bayliss | 89 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Street | 87 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Hackett | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Draper | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Moylan | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Towler sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Jefferies sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Francis Okoronkwo sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Ivan Varfolomeev sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Cardiff Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Ng | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| W. Fish | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Lawlor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Cian Ashford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| O. Kellyman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| Y. Salech | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Wintle | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Robertson | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Willock | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Joel Bagan | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Kpakio sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Robinson sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| I. Davies sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Turnbull sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Lincoln v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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