LincolnWycombe

Lincoln v Wycombe result

Full-time · Lincoln 4–3 Wycombe

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lincoln 4–3 Wycombe — Lincoln won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln beat Wycombe 4–3 in League One on Saturday 25 April. Lincoln are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Wycombe are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lincoln led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Jack Moylan (34’, assisted by Ryley Towler), R. Hackett (38’ pen; 53’, assisted by Conor McGrandles) and Tendayi Darikwa (83’, assisted by George Wickens); Wycombe: Joshua Scowen (57’), Declan Skura (74’) and Cauley Woodrow (90’, assisted by Joshua Scowen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Moylan’s goal on 34 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wycombe out-shot Lincoln 28 to 13 and created the better chances, 3.64 xG to 2.14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

S. Oldham showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lincoln: Sonny Bradley (50’) and Ivan Varfolomeev (65’); Wycombe: Armando Quitirna (90+6’).

What it changes

Lincoln stay first after this result (45 league matches played).

Wycombe move down from 11th to 12th (45 league matches played).

It is Lincoln’s first win over Wycombe since 12 August 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 45, across 12 matches. Lincoln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Scowen (Wycombe) 11.8, R. Hackett (Lincoln) 10.9 and Declan Skura (Wycombe) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Wycombe are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lincoln.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lincoln next travel to QPR on 7 November 2026.

Wycombe next travel to Accrington ST on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lincoln: QPR v Lincoln, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Wycombe: Accrington ST v Wycombe, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lincoln 4–3 Wycombe · League One
  • Referee: S. Oldham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lincoln 2 · draws 1 · Wycombe 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lincoln 4W 1D 0L · Wycombe 1W 1D 3L

Lincoln 4–3 Wycombe (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.38
Corners
against 3.88 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 2.13 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · S. Oldham
19.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLincoln for / againstLineWycombe for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 8.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 2.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: S. Oldham — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lincoln

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Darikwa n 886.8
0.64/1
0.64/1
D. Harvie
C. McGrandles n 890
16/2
1.37/3
—
R. Street n 857.9
1.46/1
0.63/0
—
S. Bradley n 890
0.54/0
1.58/3
D. Harvie
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 886.8
1.36/3
C. McGrandles n 890
2.87/6
R. Street n 857.9
14/1
S. Bradley n 890
0.84/2
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 886.8
0.54/0
0.32/0
C. McGrandles n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
R. Street n 857.9
1.74/2
13/2
S. Bradley n 890
0.63/1
0.32/0
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
00/0
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 886.8
0.32/0
00/0
C. McGrandles n 890
00/0
0.32/0
R. Street n 857.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Bradley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Wickens n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Wycombe

Wycombe Defensive

Wycombe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Harvie n 890
1.36/3
0.53/1
S. Bradley
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
2.28/6
1.77/6
—
J. Grimmer n 888.1
0.64/1
0.54/0
—
C. Woodrow n 878
1.66/2
1.45/4
—
W. Norris n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Wycombe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Harvie n 890
1.67/4
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
0.53/1
J. Grimmer n 888.1
1.76/4
C. Woodrow n 878
0.63/1
W. Norris n 890
00/0
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Wycombe Attacking

Wycombe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Harvie n 890
0.52/1
0.32/0
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
1.76/3
1.25/2
J. Grimmer n 888.1
0.53/1
00/0
C. Woodrow n 878
27/4
1.26/2
W. Norris n 890
00/0
00/0
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Wycombe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Harvie n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Grimmer n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
C. Woodrow n 878
0.43/0
0.11/0
W. Norris n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LincolnWycombe
33%Possession67%
2.14Expected goals (xG)3.64
13Shots28
7Shots on target8
5Shots off target11
1Blocked shots9
8Shots inside the box19
2Corners10
13Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves3
285Passes544
65%Pass accuracy83%

Lincoln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Wickens9001001108.3
T. Darikwa9010110207.7
D. Elerewe9000001106.9
S. Bradley90000002Y6
R. Towler9001111105.9
Ivan Varfolomeev90002100Y6
B. House8800002106.6
R. Hackett8520431008.3
C. McGrandles6801002407.5
J. Moylan6810211007.9
R. Street6800102006.7
T. Bayliss sub2200000107
D. Jefferies sub2200000306.7
R. Oné sub2200100006.5
A. Lloyd sub1200000006.3
E. Ring sub900001106.9

Wycombe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Norris9000000005.6
C. Taylor9000001307.3
D. Harvie9000102006.2
A. Morley9000100006.5
J. Scowen9011213309
F. Onyedinma9000311105.7
D. Skura8510210107.2
L. Leahy7100003106.2
B. Fink7100300005.6
L. Harris7000101006.5
N. Huggins4500001106.3
Armando Quitirna sub45001112Y6.3
Jamie Mullins sub2000112206.9
T. Allen sub1900110106.3
C. Woodrow sub1910321007.2
E. Henderson sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v Wycombe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LincolnWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
WycombeWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lincoln 2 · 1 draw · Wycombe 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Wycombe 3–2 Lincoln
  • 2025-03-29 Wycombe 1–0 Lincoln
  • 2024-11-23 Lincoln 2–3 Wycombe
  • 2024-01-13 Wycombe 1–1 Lincoln
  • 2023-08-12 Lincoln 3–0 Wycombe
  • 2023-04-22 Wycombe 0–2 Lincoln
League standing · 2025/26
Lincoln#1 pos103 pts46 pl+48 GD
Wycombe#11 pos63 pts46 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Lincoln scored1.93
Wycombe scored1.5
Lincoln conceded0.89
Wycombe conceded1.26

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lincoln v Wycombe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v Wycombe was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln and Wycombe?
In their last 6 meetings, Lincoln won 2, Wycombe won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lincoln and Wycombe?
Recent form — Lincoln 4W 1D 0L; Wycombe 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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