Mansfield TownCardiff

Mansfield Town v Cardiff result

Full-time · Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mansfield Town · Cardiff

The model’s pre-match pick

Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff — Mansfield Town won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mansfield Town beat Cardiff 5–4 in League One on Saturday 2 May. Cardiff have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Mansfield Town led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Mansfield Town: Ryan Sweeney (2’, assisted by Nathan Moriah-Welsh), Lucas-Jordan Akins (23’, assisted by Louis Reed; 26’, assisted by Will Evans), Rhys Oates (63’, assisted by Louis Reed) and Oliver Irow (79’, assisted by Louis Reed); Cardiff: Isaak Davies (61’, assisted by Ollie Tanner), Omari Kellyman (66’, assisted by Rubin Colwill; 90’, assisted by Isaak Davies) and Ronan Kpakio (86’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s nine key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas-Jordan Akins’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cardiff out-shot Mansfield Town 21 to 12 and created the better chances, 2.65 xG to 1.98 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

C. Breakspear showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mansfield Town: Regan Hendry (82’) and Oliver Irow (90+2’); Cardiff: Omari Kellyman (65’).

What it changes

Mansfield Town move up from 11th to 10th (46 league matches played).

Cardiff stay second after this result (46 league matches played).

With nine goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 46, across 12 matches. Mansfield Town are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Louis Reed (Mansfield Town) 12.3, Omari Kellyman (Cardiff) 9.8 and Lucas-Jordan Akins (Mansfield Town) 9.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Cardiff are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Mansfield Town, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Mansfield Town or Cardiff (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Mansfield Town next travel to Stevenage on 14 November 2026.

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mansfield Town: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff · League One
  • Referee: C. Breakspear
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Mansfield Town 0 · draws 1 · Cardiff 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mansfield Town 2W 3D 0L · Cardiff 4W 1D 0L

Mansfield Town 5–4 Cardiff (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.63 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.88 / 8.5
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · C. Breakspear
24.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMansfield Town for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
8.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
20.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 7.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: C. Breakspear — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 24.17 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town Goalkeeper

Mansfield Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Roberts46904146 min1322.9 /90521.1 /9010 /90
Mansfield Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mansfield Town before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Roberts n 890
2.56/4

Mansfield Town Defensive

Mansfield Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Blake-Tracy44803537 min330.8 /90451.1 /90200.5 /902426.2 /90200.5 /9050.1 /90
A. Oshilaja37883266 min491.4 /90391.1 /90300.8 /901744.8 /90371 /9080.2 /90
K. Knoyle31812525 min260.9 /90210.7 /90100.4 /901294.6 /90170.6 /9040.1 /90
A. Lewis31692144 min451.9 /90251 /9060.3 /90893.7 /90291.2 /9040.2 /90
R. Sweeney29752183 min381.6 /90311.3 /90241 /901807.4 /90220.9 /9050.2 /90
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Mansfield Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mansfield Town before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Evans n 867.5
1.76/3
1.25/2
C. Willock
L. Roberts n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
F. Blake-Tracy n 878.4
0.63/1
0.95/1
—
S. McLaughlin n 859.6
1.15/1
0.84/0
—
A. Oshilaja n 882
15/2
15/2
—
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Mansfield Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mansfield Town before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Evans n 867.5
1.86/3
F. Blake-Tracy n 878.4
0.32/0
S. McLaughlin n 859.6
2.87/4
A. Oshilaja n 882
1.14/2
L. Reed n 879.8
3.17/6
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Mansfield Town Attacking

Mansfield Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Evans49723543 min100.3 /9020.1 /90641.6 /90280.7 /90391 /90220.6 /90
R. Oates37612260 min100.4 /9040.2 /90582.3 /90321.3 /90321.3 /90622.5 /90
N. Moriah-Welsh36622230 min10 /9030.1 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90261 /9060.2 /90
T. Roberts19541020 min40.4 /9010.1 /90252.2 /90100.9 /90100.9 /90151.3 /90
S. McLaughlin41642633 min30.1 /9030.1 /90180.6 /9080.3 /90411.4 /90110.4 /90
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Mansfield Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mansfield Town before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Evans n 867.5
1.36/2
0.32/0
L. Roberts n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Blake-Tracy n 878.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
S. McLaughlin n 859.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Oshilaja n 882
0.32/0
00/0
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Mansfield Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Mansfield Town before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Evans n 867.5
00/0
00/0
L. Roberts n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Blake-Tracy n 878.4
00/0
0.11/0
S. McLaughlin n 859.6
00/0
00/0
A. Oshilaja n 882
00/0
00/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott45904050 min1092.4 /90471 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
2.65/3

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan49813986 min821.9 /90350.8 /90190.4 /901954.4 /90340.8 /9090.2 /90
P. Ng36802875 min672.1 /90270.8 /90120.4 /901815.7 /90351.1 /9050.2 /90
D. Lawlor31792440 min250.9 /90281 /90250.9 /90953.5 /90190.7 /9060.2 /90
C. Chambers27822211 min291.2 /90341.4 /90170.7 /901084.4 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
C. Willock43592520 min341.2 /9070.3 /9020.1 /901053.8 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joel Bagan n 878.3
0.94/2
0.63/1
—
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
—
C. Willock n 848.4
1.45/1
0.52/0
W. Evans
R. Wintle n 889.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
Cian Ashford n 867
00/0
1.35/3
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
2.38/5
C. Willock n 848.4
0.52/0
R. Wintle n 889.1
1.36/1
Cian Ashford n 867
1.25/2
D. Turnbull n 843.8
1.55/1
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech35712480 min150.5 /9040.1 /90802.9 /90341.2 /90291.1 /90150.5 /90
C. Robinson33411345 min80.5 /9030.2 /90342.3 /90211.4 /90151 /90110.7 /90
C. Willock43592520 min80.3 /9070.3 /90341.2 /90170.6 /90612.2 /90401.4 /90
R. Wintle42853572 min10 /9070.2 /90260.7 /90130.3 /90451.1 /90100.3 /90
Cian Ashford39652533 min50.2 /9030.1 /90361.3 /90190.7 /90301.1 /90491.7 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Willock n 848.4
1.65/2
0.93/1
R. Wintle n 889.1
1.67/3
0.84/1
Cian Ashford n 867
27/3
0.84/1
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
00/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Willock n 848.4
0.21/0
0.52/0
R. Wintle n 889.1
00/0
0.42/1
Cian Ashford n 867
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mansfield TownCardiff
30%Possession70%
1.98Expected goals (xG)2.65
12Shots21
10Shots on target7
1Shots off target9
1Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box11
6Corners8
2Offsides0
14Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
227Passes549
73%Pass accuracy89%

Mansfield Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Roberts9000000006.2
K. Knoyle9000001105.9
R. Sweeney9010110307.2
J. Russell9000330206
W. Evans9001101506.3
L. Akins9020331008.9
L. Reed8403114308.3
R. Hendry84000002Y6.7
N. Moriah-Welsh7601003208.3
R. Oates7610110108.2
J. Bowery7200000006.2
S. McLaughlin sub1800000106.5
Joseph Charles Gardner sub1400000106.7
O. Irow sub14101100Y7.3
Ollie Taylor sub1100000006.5
E. Hartmann sub1100000006.2

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Tyrer9000000006.7
R. Kpakio9010210205.9
W. Fish9000110106.6
D. Lawlor9000102006.3
O. Tanner9001302306.9
Y. Salech9000102005.9
R. Colwill8801213006.5
Joel Bagan7000002206.2
J. Colwill5700001006.2
D. Turnbull5700100006.3
C. Willock5700100006.3
O. Kellyman sub33203321Y9.3
A. Robertson sub3300002006.9
I. Davies sub3311111007.6
Noah Williams sub2000000106.5
Paul Moreno sub20000000–
Paul Moreno sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Mansfield Town v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Mansfield TownDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
CardiffWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Mansfield Town 0 · 1 draw · Cardiff 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Cardiff 3–0 Mansfield Town
  • 2018-01-16 Mansfield Town 1–4 Cardiff
  • 2018-01-06 Cardiff 0–0 Mansfield Town
League standing · 2025/26
Mansfield Town#10 pos65 pts46 pl+12 GD
Cardiff#2 pos91 pts46 pl+40 GD
Goals per game
Mansfield Town scored1.35
Cardiff scored1.96
Mansfield Town conceded1.09
Cardiff conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Mansfield Town v Cardiff?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mansfield Town v Cardiff was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Mansfield Town and Cardiff?
In their last 3 meetings, Mansfield Town won 0, Cardiff won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mansfield Town and Cardiff?
Recent form — Mansfield Town 2W 3D 0L; Cardiff 4W 1D 0L.

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