Mansfield Town v Oxford United result

Full-time · Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United

League One · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 20:00 BST · One Call Stadium

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mansfield Town · Oxford United

The model’s pre-match pick

Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.29 at Betvictor

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4325 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Mansfield Town and Oxford United drew 1–1 at One Call Stadium in League One on Thursday 15 October.

Oxford United have scored in eight consecutive matches.

The goals

Oxford United led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Oxford United: Luka Lynch (34’, assisted by S. Dembélé); Mansfield Town: Michael Smith (82’). Peter Kioso (75’) and Gatlin O'Donkor (84’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michael Smith’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Mansfield Town out-shot Oxford United 24 to 7 and created the better chances, 3.42 xG to 0.83 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

What it changes

Mansfield Town move up from 12th to 11th (nine league matches played). Mansfield Town are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Oxford United move down from fourth to seventh (eight league matches played). Oxford United are unbeaten in their last five matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Dembélé (Oxford United) 6.5, Brodie Spencer (Oxford United) 5.9 and Michael Smith (Mansfield Town) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3344 of 4325).

Next up

Mansfield Town next travel to AFC Wimbledon on 20 October 2026.

Oxford United next host Wigan on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mansfield Town: AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Oxford United: Oxford United v Wigan, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United · League One
Venue: One Call Stadium · Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Mansfield Town 1W 2D 2L · Oxford United 3W 1D 1L

Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4

Corners

against 4.25 / 6.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Mansfield Town for / against	Line	Oxford United for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.75 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.63 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Roberts n 8	38	2.4 5/3	1.5 3/2	—
L. Bolton n 8	28.4	2.4 5/1	3.2 5/2	—
M. Smith n 8	70.5	2.2 6/5	1.3 4/2	M. Harris
R. Oates n 8	56.3	2 6/3	0.6 3/0	M. Harris
R. Hendry n 8	51.3	1.8 5/2	0.9 4/0	—

Mansfield Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. McGoldrick n 8	59.6	2.5 7/4	0.6 3/0
T. Roberts n 8	38	2.4 5/3	1.2 2/2
M. Smith n 8	70.5	2.2 7/4	1 4/2
J. Russell n 8	77.1	1.9 5/5	1.3 4/3
R. Oates n 8	56.3	1.8 5/3	1 4/1

Mansfield Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Moriah-Welsh n 8	50	0.7 2/1	0.5 2/0
J. Russell n 8	77.1	0.3 1/1	0.4 3/0
L. Akins n 8	74	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
M. Smith n 8	70.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
R. Oates n 8	56.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Mansfield Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Bolton n 8	28.4	2.8 4/2
L. Reed n 8	77.8	2.3 6/4
D. McGoldrick n 8	59.6	2.3 5/4
R. Oates n 8	56.3	2.2 6/4
O. Dodgson n 8	30.4	2.2 4/1

Mansfield Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Roberts n 8	90	2.5 8/4
H. Lewis n 8	90	2.3 4/3

Oxford United

Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. O'Donkor n 8	27.1	4.1 7/3	5.8 8/4	—
Jamie Carson McDonnell n 8	57.6	3.3 6/4	0.4 2/0	—
S. Mills n 8	56.3	3.2 6/5	1 4/1	—
A. Emakhu n 8	66.4	2 5/4	1.4 6/1	—
M. Harris n 8	67.1	1.8 6/4	0.8 4/1	R. Oates

Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. O'Donkor n 8	27.1	2.5 5/1	1.2 3/0
T. Goodrham n 8	44.9	2.3 5/3	1.5 4/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 8	32.3	2.1 2/2	0.3 1/0
L. Sibley n 8	41.8	1.9 5/2	0.8 3/0
S. Dembélé n 8	77.6	1.2 6/2	0.4 2/1

Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Lynch n 3	25	0 0/0	2.4 2/0
G. O'Donkor n 8	27.1	1.2 3/0	0.4 1/0
L. Snowden n 4	17.3	0 0/0	1.3 1/0
M. Harris n 8	67.1	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
M. Missanga n 6	57.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Currie n 8	70.9	4.1 7/7
L. Sibley n 8	41.8	3.5 7/4
P. Kioso n 8	57.8	2.9 7/5
Jamie Carson McDonnell n 8	57.6	2.9 7/4
L. Snowden n 4	17.3	2.6 2/0

Oxford United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Cumming n 8	80.5	2.7 5/3
S. Eastwood n 8	83.3	2.6 5/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Mansfield Town		Oxford United
51%	Possession	49%
3.42	Expected goals (xG)	0.83
24	Shots	7
4	Shots on target	2
10	Shots off target	2
10	Blocked shots	3
20	Shots inside the box	3
11	Corners	3
2	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	2
1	Saves	3
357	Passes	378

Mansfield Town player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Roberts	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
A. Oshilaja	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Reed	90	0	2	0	1	2	0	7.2
L. Thompson	90	0	2	0	1	0	0	6
M. Smith	90	1	4	2	0	0	0	7.8
R. Oates	90	0	3	1	0	3	0	6.6
E. Hewitt	79	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.5
R. Sweeney	73	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.5
J. Russell	73	0	3	1	2	2	Y	6.1
N. Moriah-Welsh	61	0	1	0	2	1	Y	6.3
G. Abbott	45	0	1	0	1	0	0	6
S. McLaughlin	45	0	2	0	3	4	0	7.2
T. Roberts	29	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
F. Blake-Tracy	17	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.2
R. Hendry	17	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
G. Maris	11	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.4

Oxford United player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Cumming	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
M. Helik	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
C. Brown	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.4
B. Spencer	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	6.8
C. Brannagan	90	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.9
Kai Andrews	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
S. Dembélé	80	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	7.2
M. Harris	77	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.5
P. Kioso	75	0	0	0	0	0	2	R	5.8
L. Sibley	59	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.8
L. Lynch	59	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.5
M. Missanga	31	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.8
G. O'Donkor	25	0	0	1	1	0	0	R	5.7
J. Currie	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
S. Long	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mansfield Town v Oxford United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Mansfield TownLLDDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Oxford UnitedLWWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Mansfield Town#11 pos12 pts9 pl-2 GD

Oxford United#7 pos15 pts8 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Mansfield Town scored1.44

Oxford United scored2

Mansfield Town conceded1.67

Oxford United conceded1.13

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mansfield Town v Oxford United?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Mansfield Town v Oxford United was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betvictor).
What is the recent form of Mansfield Town and Oxford United?: Recent form — Mansfield Town 1W 2D 2L; Oxford United 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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