Oxford United v Stockport County result

Full-time · Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County

League One · · The Kassam Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County — Oxford United won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.28 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Oxford United beat Stockport County 1–0 at The Kassam Stadium in League One on Tuesday 27 October. Oxford United are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Oxford United led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Oxford United: Mark Harris (35’, assisted by S. Dembélé).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mark Harris’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Stockport County out-shot Oxford United 20 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.52 xG to 2.10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Oxford United: Jack Currie (51’); Stockport County: Ethan Pye (85’).

What it changes

Oxford United move up from sixth to third (11 league matches played). Oxford United have scored 19 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Oxford United have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Stockport County stay second after this result (13 league matches played). Stockport County have scored 24 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stockport County have conceded 13 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mark Harris (Oxford United) 6.3, S. Dembélé (Oxford United) 6.2 and Harry Wood (Stockport County) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Oxford United or Stockport County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

Oxford United next travel to Barnsley on 31 October 2026.

Stockport County next host AFC Wimbledon on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Oxford United: Barnsley v Oxford United, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Stockport County: Stockport County v AFC Wimbledon, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County · League One
  • Venue: The Kassam Stadium · Oxford, Oxfordshire
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Oxford United 2W 3D 0L · Stockport County 4W 1D 0L

Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.25 / 7
Corners
against 6.63 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOxford United for / againstLineStockport County for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
16.75 for · 8.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 15.63 against n 8
21.5standard
8.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8

Oxford United

Oxford United Goalkeeper

Oxford United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Cumming691545 min152.5 /9061 /9000 /90
S. Eastwood588441 min132.7 /9051 /9000 /90
Oxford United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Cumming n 890.6
2.96/4
S. Eastwood n 883.3
2.65/3

Oxford United Defensive

Oxford United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brown1190995 min60.5 /9060.5 /90111 /90494.4 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Currie979711 min334.2 /9040.5 /9040.5 /90627.8 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
B. Spencer975675 min233.1 /90101.3 /9050.7 /90597.9 /9040.5 /9000 /90
M. Helik890720 min40.5 /90111.4 /9070.9 /90354.4 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
P. Kioso868542 min152.5 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90437.1 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90
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Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brown n 890
00/0
0.85/1
E. O'Connell
C. Brannagan n 887.8
0.64/1
0.95/2
O. Norwood
S. Dembélé n 883.8
1.67/3
3.58/8
—
M. Harris n 875
26/4
0.95/1
K. Wootton
G. O'Donkor n 832.4
4.28/3
4.97/4
—
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Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brown n 890
0.52/2
C. Brannagan n 887.8
14/2
S. Dembélé n 883.8
1.75/2
M. Harris n 875
1.14/2
G. O'Donkor n 832.4
1.43/1
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Oxford United Attacking

Oxford United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Harris1179864 min40.4 /9010.1 /90121.3 /9080.8 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
G. O'Donkor1032318 min30.8 /9010.3 /90113.1 /9051.4 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
L. Lynch437146 min10.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90
L. Snowden22651 min00 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /90
A. Elliott-Wheeler12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /90
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Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brown n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
C. Brannagan n 887.8
1.55/3
0.63/1
S. Dembélé n 883.8
1.56/3
0.53/1
M. Harris n 875
1.56/3
1.15/2
G. O'Donkor n 832.4
3.87/2
1.75/0
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Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brown n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Brannagan n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
S. Dembélé n 883.8
0.32/0
0.43/0
M. Harris n 875
0.52/1
0.21/0
G. O'Donkor n 832.4
13/0
00/0
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Stockport County

Stockport County Goalkeeper

Stockport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Oliver Whatmuff1190990 min262.4 /9090.8 /9000 /90
L. Ashby-Hammond19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Stockport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stockport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oliver Whatmuff n 890
2.34/3

Stockport County Defensive

Stockport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. O'Connell12891069 min151.3 /90141.2 /9090.8 /90635.3 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
E. Pye1190990 min232.1 /90111 /9060.5 /90686.2 /90111 /9010.1 /90
Kyron Silveria Gordon990810 min242.7 /9070.8 /9050.6 /90596.6 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90
J. Dacres-Cogley630180 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /9063 /9021 /9000 /90
M. Jobe490360 min41 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90194.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
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Stockport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stockport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. O'Connell n 888.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
C. Brown
K. Wootton n 884.8
1.36/3
0.43/0
M. Harris
O. Norwood n 885.1
0.11/0
0.84/1
C. Brannagan
J. Diamond n 878.8
1.15/3
1.95/4
—
L. Bate n 871
0.32/0
1.14/2
—
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Stockport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stockport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. O'Connell n 888.6
1.35/4
K. Wootton n 884.8
0.42/1
O. Norwood n 885.1
1.65/4
J. Diamond n 878.8
0.62/2
L. Bate n 871
1.97/4
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Stockport County Attacking

Stockport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Wootton12861030 min90.8 /9010.1 /90403.5 /90161.4 /9040.3 /9080.7 /90
J. Diamond1278939 min40.4 /9030.3 /90212 /9070.7 /90191.8 /90282.7 /90
H. Wood1263760 min30.4 /9000 /90222.6 /9080.9 /90131.5 /90111.3 /90
M. Mandron718129 min32.1 /9000 /9074.9 /9042.8 /9032.1 /9010.7 /90
Ethan Ennis42287 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9044.1 /9022.1 /90
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Stockport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stockport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. O'Connell n 888.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Wootton n 884.8
3.38/8
1.67/5
O. Norwood n 885.1
1.56/3
0.75/0
J. Diamond n 878.8
1.97/3
0.64/0
L. Bate n 871
0.32/0
00/0
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Stockport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stockport County before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. O'Connell n 888.6
00/0
00/0
K. Wootton n 884.8
0.96/1
00/0
O. Norwood n 885.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Diamond n 878.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Bate n 871
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Oxford UnitedStockport County
38%Possession62%
2.10Expected goals (xG)2.52
11Shots20
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target12
2Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box16
3Corners7
7Offsides0
9Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
334Passes546

Oxford United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brannagan9000211407.2
C. Brown9000000107.6
M. Harris9010222108
M. Helik9000000107.5
P. Kioso9000002007.6
J. Cumming9000000006.6
S. Dembélé8301111207.7
J. Currie74000003Y6.7
L. Lynch6600000006.7
T. Goodrham6600202106.6
L. Sibley6600210107
Kai Andrews2400000006.9
A. Emakhu2400001107.1
G. O'Donkor2400200006.1
B. Spencer1600000007.1
M. Missanga700000106.6

Stockport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Glover9000301306.1
M. Jobe9000100006.5
E. O'Connell9000001207.4
E. Pye90001001Y6.4
Oliver Whatmuff9000000007.8
K. Wootton9000301006.2
L. Bate7100000306.6
Benoný Breki Andrésson6700421106.9
H. Wood6600315206.6
O. Norwood4500001206.7
B. Osborn4500000106.2
Ethan Ennis4500201006.6
L. Fiorini4500101006.9
J. Adigun2400001006.3
J. Diamond2300000005.9
M. Mandron1900201006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oxford United v Stockport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Oxford UnitedDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Stockport CountyWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Oxford United#3 pos22 pts11 pl+9 GD
Stockport County#2 pos23 pts13 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Oxford United scored1.73
Stockport County scored1.85
Oxford United conceded0.91
Stockport County conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Oxford United v Stockport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Oxford United v Stockport County was Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Oxford United and Stockport County?
Recent form — Oxford United 2W 3D 0L; Stockport County 4W 1D 0L.

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