PeterboroughBurton Albion

Peterborough v Burton Albion result

Full-time · Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion

League One · · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Peterborough and Burton Albion drew 1–1 at Weston Homes Stadium in League One on Sunday 19 April. Peterborough have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Burton Albion led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Burton Albion: Charles Webster (44’, assisted by Tyrese Shade); Peterborough: Harry Leonard (60’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Leonard’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Peterborough 0.00, Burton Albion 0.00, from 15 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Copeland showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Peterborough: M. Garbett (51’); Burton Albion: Kgaogelo Chauke (14’) and Bradley Collins (90+8’).

What it changes

Peterborough move down from 16th to 17th (43 league matches played). Peterborough have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Peterborough have conceded 68 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion move down from 15th to 18th (44 league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Burton Albion have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Burton Albion are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charles Webster (Burton Albion) 7.5, Tyrese Shade (Burton Albion) 6.3 and Harry Leonard (Peterborough) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Peterborough or Burton Albion (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Peterborough next host Reading on 7 November 2026.

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion · League One
  • Venue: Weston Homes Stadium · Peterborough
  • Referee: S. Copeland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Peterborough 4 · draws 1 · Burton Albion 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Peterborough 0W 2D 3L · Burton Albion 2W 2D 1L

Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 6.13
Corners
against 7.88 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePeterborough for / againstLineBurton Albion for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 7.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Copeland.

Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass37903330 min1303.5 /90511.4 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
4.57/7

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Lees29842440 min281 /90140.5 /90180.7 /901615.9 /9090.3 /9030.1 /90
D. Okagbue29772237 min251 /90190.8 /90281.1 /901415.7 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
James Dornelly24811934 min251.2 /90221 /9090.4 /90823.8 /90100.5 /9030.1 /90
Harley Mills22771693 min382 /90211.1 /9080.4 /901115.9 /90160.9 /9030.2 /90
A. Collins44893914 min651.5 /90571.3 /90300.7 /902034.7 /90330.8 /9080.2 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Collins n 890
0.53/1
15/2
K. Chauke
K. Lisbie n 890
0.64/1
1.15/3
—
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
B. Khela n 876.6
0.42/1
15/2
—
H. Leonard n 881.3
1.45/3
1.16/2
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
16/1
K. Lisbie n 890
0.64/1
B. Khela n 876.6
2.28/3
H. Leonard n 881.3
0.32/0
Jimmy Morgan n 886.4
2.57/6
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Leonard34782642 min130.4 /9050.2 /90551.9 /90341.2 /90230.8 /9080.3 /90
Jimmy Morgan34682324 min120.5 /9030.1 /90381.5 /90180.7 /90281.1 /90271 /90
Gustav Lindgren1541622 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Odoh1351667 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9070.9 /90
A. Collins44893914 min30.1 /9070.2 /90270.6 /90150.3 /90310.7 /90180.4 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.95/2
0.65/0
K. Lisbie n 890
1.17/2
0.85/1
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 876.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
H. Leonard n 881.3
1.26/2
15/2
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Lisbie n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 876.6
0.11/0
00/0
H. Leonard n 881.3
0.42/1
00/0
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Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Collins38903420 min1012.7 /90471.2 /9010 /90
K. Dudek390270 min134.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Collins n 890
2.86/5

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Hartridge37863183 min551.6 /90471.3 /90230.7 /901975.6 /90250.7 /9050.1 /90
J. Armer34802720 min471.6 /90291 /90170.6 /901414.7 /90200.7 /9040.1 /90
T. Sibbick33832732 min591.9 /90280.9 /9090.3 /901304.3 /90230.8 /9030.1 /90
T. Vancooten19821549 min231.3 /90241.4 /9090.5 /901126.5 /90251.5 /9050.3 /90
K. Lofthouse44893923 min761.7 /90350.8 /9070.2 /902966.8 /90561.3 /9070.2 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lofthouse n 890
0.95/2
1.36/3
—
J. Beesley n 890
1.88/4
27/6
—
B. Collins n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Chauke n 876.5
1.55/4
0.74/1
A. Collins
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.86/0
0.65/0
—
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 890
2.46/6
J. Beesley n 890
14/3
K. Chauke n 876.5
1.65/4
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.96/1
T. Shade n 887.5
0.31/1
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Beesley43893828 min130.3 /9080.2 /90741.7 /90310.7 /90360.8 /90130.3 /90
T. Shade37732717 min120.4 /9000 /90642.1 /90411.4 /90240.8 /90521.7 /90
Fábio Tavares1753894 min30.3 /9010.1 /90111.1 /9070.7 /90121.2 /9040.4 /90
Julian Larsson16631013 min00 /9020.2 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90
K. Adom952468 min00 /9010.2 /9071.3 /9030.6 /9051 /9020.4 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 890
0.84/1
0.64/1
J. Beesley n 890
1.67/3
0.64/1
B. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Chauke n 876.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.43/0
0.43/0
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Beesley n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Chauke n 876.5
00/0
00/0
A. Hartridge n 887.3
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PeterboroughBurton Albion
59%Possession41%
15Shots14
3Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
6Blocked shots6
8Shots inside the box11
4Corners4
0Offsides7
8Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
384Passes264
69%Pass accuracy59%

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bass9000000006.3
James Dornelly9000300106.2
T. Lees9000000007.5
D. Okagbue9000100207.9
Harley Mills9000102206.3
A. Collins9000002007.3
H. Leonard9010321007.3
M. Garbett83001142Y7.9
K. Lisbie8300001006.2
David Kamara7600000105.9
C. Hayes5800001007
Bolu Shofowoke sub3200000106.5
B. Khela sub1500000006.7
Declan Frith sub1500000006.3
Pemi Aderoju sub1400000006.6

Burton Albion Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Collins90000000Y7.2
U. Godwin-Malife9000001007
A. Hartridge9000001107.5
K. Lofthouse9000004106.2
K. Chauke90000013Y7
C. Webster9010321207.3
J. Beesley9000001005.6
J. Moon7800000207.5
J. Armer7800000507.2
T. Shade7801213106.9
A. Cannon7100311106.6
J. McKiernan sub1900000207
T. Sibbick sub1200000006.3
T. Vancooten sub1200000006.9
Fábio Tavares sub1200000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PeterboroughDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Burton AlbionWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Peterborough 4 · 1 draw · Burton Albion 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Burton Albion 0–1 Peterborough
  • 2025-01-01 Burton Albion 2–2 Peterborough
  • 2024-12-04 Peterborough 0–1 Burton Albion
  • 2024-03-09 Burton Albion 1–3 Peterborough
  • 2023-11-25 Peterborough 4–0 Burton Albion
  • 2023-03-14 Burton Albion 2–5 Peterborough
League standing · 2025/26
Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD
Burton Albion#17 pos54 pts46 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Peterborough scored1.39
Burton Albion scored1.09
Peterborough conceded1.48
Burton Albion conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Peterborough v Burton Albion?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Burton Albion was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Burton Albion?
In their last 6 meetings, Peterborough won 4, Burton Albion won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Burton Albion?
Recent form — Peterborough 0W 2D 3L; Burton Albion 2W 2D 1L.

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