PeterboroughCardiff

Peterborough v Cardiff result

Full-time · Peterborough 1–1 Cardiff

League One · · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Peterborough 1–1 Cardiff — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Peterborough and Cardiff drew 1–1 at Weston Homes Stadium in League One on Monday 6 April. Peterborough have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Alexander Robertson (48’); Peterborough: Harry Leonard (49’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Leonard’s goal on 49 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Peterborough 0.00, Cardiff 0.00, from 8 shots to 29 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Parsons showed four yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Peterborough: Harry Leonard (45+5’) and Kyrell Lisbie (90+5’); Cardiff: David Turnbull (42’) and Ronan Kpakio (58’).

What it changes

Peterborough move up from 14th to 13th (40 league matches played). Peterborough have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Peterborough have conceded 68 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff stay second after this result (40 league matches played). Cardiff have scored 90 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Cardiff have conceded 50 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Cardiff are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Wintle (Cardiff) 6.6, Alexander Robertson (Cardiff) 6.2 and Rubin Colwill (Cardiff) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Peterborough next host Oxford United on 14 November 2026.

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Peterborough 1–1 Cardiff · League One
  • Venue: Weston Homes Stadium · Peterborough
  • Referee: T. Parsons
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Peterborough 1 · draws 1 · Cardiff 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Peterborough 1W 2D 2L · Cardiff 1W 2D 2L

Peterborough 1–1 Cardiff (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 8.63
Corners
against 6.13 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 3.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.1 yellows
Referee · T. Parsons
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePeterborough for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
8.63 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 16.13 against n 8
19.5standard
18 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
21.5standard
6.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: T. Parsons — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass34903060 min1163.4 /90441.3 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
3.96/6

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Okagbue27762057 min251.1 /90170.7 /90251.1 /901396.1 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
T. Lees26862231 min281.1 /90130.5 /90170.7 /901496 /9090.4 /9030.1 /90
James Dornelly21791664 min221.2 /90201.1 /9090.5 /90764.1 /9090.5 /9030.2 /90
Harley Mills19751429 min332.1 /90171.1 /9080.5 /90925.8 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
A. Collins41893644 min631.6 /90561.4 /90260.6 /901944.8 /90300.7 /9070.2 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Collins n 890
0.54/0
15/2
R. Wintle
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.74/1
0.94/2
Cian Ashford
B. Khela n 876.8
0.63/1
1.36/3
—
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
Jimmy Morgan n 880.8
1.46/4
3.97/7
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
1.46/3
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.74/1
B. Khela n 876.8
2.68/5
Jimmy Morgan n 880.8
2.68/5
H. Leonard n 878.3
0.63/1
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jimmy Morgan32672144 min120.5 /9020.1 /90371.6 /90170.7 /90241 /90261.1 /90
H. Leonard31772378 min120.5 /9050.2 /90532 /90321.2 /90200.8 /9070.3 /90
Gustav Lindgren1541622 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Odoh1351667 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9070.9 /90
A. Collins41893644 min30.1 /9070.2 /90240.6 /90130.3 /90280.7 /90160.4 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.84/2
0.54/0
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.96/1
0.96/1
B. Khela n 876.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 880.8
2.17/5
1.36/2
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Lisbie n 885.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
B. Khela n 876.8
00/0
00/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 880.8
0.75/0
00/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott40903600 min932.3 /90441.1 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
2.14/3

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan43823521 min721.8 /90270.7 /90150.4 /901754.5 /90300.8 /9080.2 /90
P. Ng32792515 min592.1 /90230.8 /90110.4 /901645.9 /90291 /9050.2 /90
C. Chambers26832166 min291.2 /90341.4 /90160.7 /901054.4 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
D. Lawlor26782028 min200.9 /90221 /90241.1 /90823.6 /90170.8 /9040.2 /90
R. Wintle38853219 min371 /90441.2 /90160.4 /901073 /90170.5 /9040.1 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joel Bagan n 878.3
14/2
15/2
—
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Wintle n 881.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Collins
Cian Ashford n 858.4
00/0
1.55/3
K. Lisbie
C. Willock n 843.9
0.52/0
0.83/0
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
2.37/5
R. Wintle n 881.4
1.15/1
Cian Ashford n 858.4
1.24/2
C. Willock n 843.9
1.56/0
P. Ng n 886.3
1.66/4
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech31742304 min130.5 /9040.2 /90742.9 /90311.2 /90281.1 /90130.5 /90
C. Robinson30391169 min70.5 /9010.1 /90292.2 /90191.5 /90110.8 /9090.7 /90
R. Wintle38853219 min10 /9050.1 /90180.5 /9080.2 /90330.9 /9090.3 /90
Cian Ashford38642443 min50.2 /9030.1 /90331.2 /90190.7 /90271 /90491.8 /90
C. Willock38582208 min70.3 /9050.2 /90291.2 /90140.6 /90512.1 /90371.5 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
0.11/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 881.4
0.73/1
0.11/0
Cian Ashford n 858.4
1.76/2
14/1
C. Willock n 843.9
1.35/0
0.52/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 878.3
00/0
00/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 881.4
00/0
0.11/0
Cian Ashford n 858.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Willock n 843.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PeterboroughCardiff
41%Possession59%
8Shots29
3Shots on target8
2Shots off target9
3Blocked shots12
5Shots inside the box15
6Corners16
3Offsides3
7Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves2
317Passes458
77%Pass accuracy86%

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bass9000000007.9
James Dornelly9000000306.6
D. Okagbue9000000007.2
A. Collins9000002007.3
Jimmy Morgan9000001006.2
K. Lisbie90012130Y7.2
Harley Mills8500000007.2
H. Leonard85101110Y6.9
B. Woods7600001207.2
Bolu Shofowoke7600210106.6
T. Lees4400000007
P. Kioso sub4600000006.9
C. Hayes sub1400000006.5
B. Khela sub1400000106.7
J. Mendy sub1100000006.7
David Kamara sub1100000006.3

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000006.7
P. Ng9000214107.2
W. Fish9000000207.2
Joel Bagan9000113107.5
R. Wintle9000434508.2
O. Tanner9000420006.5
R. Colwill9000004307.2
Cian Ashford9000303106.5
O. Kellyman6900100106.5
C. Chambers4500000006.9
D. Turnbull45000021Y6.2
A. Robertson sub4510114008.2
R. Kpakio sub45000000Y6.2
Y. Salech sub2100100106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PeterboroughDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
CardiffLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Peterborough 1 · 1 draw · Cardiff 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 Peterborough 1–0 Cardiff
  • 2025-08-02 Cardiff 2–1 Peterborough
  • 2022-02-09 Cardiff 4–0 Peterborough
  • 2021-08-17 Peterborough 2–2 Cardiff
League standing · 2025/26
Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD
Cardiff#2 pos91 pts46 pl+40 GD
Goals per game
Peterborough scored1.39
Cardiff scored1.96
Peterborough conceded1.48
Cardiff conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Peterborough v Cardiff?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Cardiff was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Cardiff?
In their last 4 meetings, Peterborough won 1, Cardiff won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Cardiff?
Recent form — Peterborough 1W 2D 2L; Cardiff 1W 2D 2L.

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