PeterboroughLuton

Peterborough v Luton result

Full-time · Peterborough 0–2 Luton

League One · · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Peterborough · Luton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Peterborough 0–2 Luton — Luton won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton won 2–0 at Weston Homes Stadium in League One on Saturday 31 October. Luton have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Luton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Luton: Jordan Clark (3’, assisted by Kasey Palmer); Peterborough: an own goal by Liam Kelly (46’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Peterborough 1.02, Luton 1.44, from 17 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Peterborough: Harry Ashfield (9’); Luton: Jamie Donley (43’) and Kasey Palmer (76’).

What it changes

Peterborough move down from 19th to 21st (13 league matches played). Peterborough have scored 11 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Peterborough have conceded 23 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.

Luton move up from sixth to fourth (13 league matches played). Luton have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Luton have conceded 20 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Luton have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Clark (Luton) 6.5, Bolu Shofowoke (Peterborough) 6.2 and Ethan Williams (Peterborough) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Luton are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Peterborough.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Peterborough next host Reading on 7 November 2026.

Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Peterborough 0–2 Luton · League One
  • Venue: Weston Homes Stadium · Peterborough
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Peterborough 1 · draws 1 · Luton 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Peterborough 1W 2D 2L · Luton 4W 0D 1L

Peterborough 0–2 Luton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
7.14 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.57 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.71 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePeterborough for / againstLineLuton for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
7.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
7.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
17.63 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.29 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 12.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.71 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8

Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass15901350 min503.3 /90151 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
3.16/5

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Harley Mills14841180 min372.8 /90131 /9060.5 /90725.5 /90141.1 /9020.2 /90
C. Johnston1278930 min171.6 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90504.8 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90
Joshua Feeney990810 min60.7 /9091 /9070.8 /90576.3 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
D. Okagbue885676 min50.7 /9040.5 /9091.2 /90435.7 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
Lucca Mendonça876610 min192.8 /9091.3 /9060.9 /90466.8 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Bolu Shofowoke n 866.6
1.24/2
0.53/0
K. Palmer
H. Leonard n 887.5
0.64/1
1.26/3
—
Harley Mills n 880
1.36/2
1.76/5
G. Johnston
L. Kelly n 879.5
1.36/3
0.74/1
L. Walsh
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bolu Shofowoke n 866.6
0.53/0
H. Leonard n 887.5
0.43/0
Harley Mills n 880
36/5
L. Kelly n 879.5
1.15/2
C. Johnston n 880.9
1.45/3
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Leonard14861206 min60.4 /9010.1 /90433.2 /90181.3 /90151.1 /9070.5 /90
Vernon Masara637219 min10.4 /9000 /9083.3 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
D. Ormerod539193 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9000 /9094.2 /9020.9 /90
Lucas Pasquoto32575 min00 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9067.2 /9011.2 /90
David Kamara12525 min00 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
Bolu Shofowoke n 866.6
0.73/1
0.31/1
H. Leonard n 887.5
3.18/7
16/2
Harley Mills n 880
14/3
00/0
L. Kelly n 879.5
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
Bolu Shofowoke n 866.6
00/0
0.21/0
H. Leonard n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Harley Mills n 880
00/0
0.11/0
L. Kelly n 879.5
00/0
00/0
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Luton

Luton Goalkeeper

Luton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Joshua Keeley890720 min172.1 /90141.8 /9000 /90
J. Shea690540 min162.7 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Luton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joshua Keeley n 890
2.15/1
J. Shea n 890
2.86/4

Luton Defensive

Luton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Johnston14881228 min110.8 /9090.7 /90100.7 /90755.5 /9060.4 /9020.1 /90
I. Jones1362805 min212.3 /9030.3 /9010.1 /90535.9 /9091 /9010.1 /90
H. Odoffin1184928 min212 /90161.6 /9070.7 /90757.3 /9090.9 /9000 /90
M. Andersen1089894 min80.8 /90171.7 /9040.4 /90585.8 /90121.2 /9020.2 /90
K. Naismith980720 min212.6 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90597.4 /9081 /9020.3 /90
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Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Johnston n 886
0.43/0
0.32/0
Harley Mills
L. Walsh n 884.1
1.57/3
1.35/3
L. Kelly
K. Palmer n 864.5
1.75/3
1.75/3
Bolu Shofowoke
I. Jones n 862.6
0.73/1
24/4
—
J. Richards n 848.3
1.43/1
3.37/5
—
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Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Johnston n 886
0.95/2
L. Walsh n 884.1
26/6
K. Palmer n 864.5
2.16/4
I. Jones n 862.6
3.17/5
J. Richards n 848.3
1.24/1
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Luton Attacking

Luton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Wells1357741 min81 /9020.2 /90263.2 /90172.1 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90
C. Marshall1052519 min30.5 /9000 /90193.3 /9061 /9061 /9020.3 /90
G. Kodua746322 min10.3 /9010.3 /9092.5 /9041.1 /9082.2 /9061.7 /90
S. Morris12222 min00 /9000 /9014.1 /9014.1 /9000 /9014.1 /90
D. Cole11919 min14.7 /9000 /9014.7 /9014.7 /9014.7 /9000 /90
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Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Johnston n 886
0.11/0
00/0
L. Walsh n 884.1
0.32/0
00/0
K. Palmer n 864.5
38/6
0.94/1
I. Jones n 862.6
00/0
00/0
J. Richards n 848.3
0.94/0
0.52/0
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Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Johnston n 886
00/0
0.11/0
L. Walsh n 884.1
00/0
00/0
K. Palmer n 864.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
I. Jones n 862.6
00/0
00/0
J. Richards n 848.3
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PeterboroughLuton
57%Possession43%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.44
17Shots11
6Shots on target4
7Shots off target2
4Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box9
4Corners6
1Offsides3
8Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves5
461Passes346

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bass9000000005.6
T. O'Connor9000000006.3
Lucca Mendonça9000000307.1
H. Leonard9000522006.4
L. Kelly9000202405.4
Bolu Shofowoke9000003406.5
Harley Mills7200100205.5
Ethan Williams6600422205.9
C. Johnston6600000305.4
Harry Ashfield45000010Y6.2
B. Khela4500110206.2
M. Garbett4500311006.1
Vernon Masara4500000106
S. Hughes2400100006.7

Luton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Johnston9000000006.3
J. Johnson9000210106.1
J. Donley90002121Y7.1
J. Clark9010111207.8
M. Andersen9000200107.2
J. Shea9000000007.8
K. Palmer85010011Y6.9
I. Jones8400000306.4
J. Richards7000001106.3
L. Walsh5900110107.1
C. Marshall5900000006.4
Daniel Gore3100001206.8
N. Wells3100201006.7
T. Mendel-Idowu2000001006.5
H. Ashby600000006.5
Emilio Lawrence500100006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PeterboroughWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
LutonWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Peterborough 1 · 1 draw · Luton 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Luton 2–1 Peterborough
  • 2025-08-09 Peterborough 0–2 Luton
  • 2022-04-05 Peterborough 1–1 Luton
  • 2021-08-07 Luton 3–0 Peterborough
  • 2019-01-19 Luton 4–0 Peterborough
  • 2018-08-18 Peterborough 3–1 Luton
League standing · 2026/27
Peterborough#22 pos10 pts13 pl-12 GD
Luton#4 pos24 pts14 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Peterborough scored0.85
Luton scored1.93
Peterborough conceded1.77
Luton conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Peterborough v Luton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Luton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Luton?
In their last 6 meetings, Peterborough won 1, Luton won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Luton?
Recent form — Peterborough 1W 2D 2L; Luton 4W 0D 1L.

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