Plymouth v Leyton Orient result

Full-time · Plymouth 0–1 Leyton Orient

League One · · Home Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Plymouth · Leyton Orient

The model’s pre-match pick

Plymouth 0–1 Leyton Orient — Leyton Orient won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Leyton Orient won 1–0 at Home Park in League One on Tuesday 19 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Leyton Orient: Joshua Koroma (63’, assisted by O. O'Neill).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joshua Koroma’s goal on 63 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Plymouth 0.00, Leyton Orient 0.00, from 12 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Chilowicz showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Plymouth: A. Benarous (72’); Leyton Orient: Daniel Happe (39’) and Tommy Simkin (70’).

What it changes

Plymouth move up from 24th to 23rd (four league matches played).

Leyton Orient move up from 11th to ninth (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. O'Neill (Leyton Orient) 7.2, A. Benarous (Plymouth) 6.7 and Idris El Mizouni (Leyton Orient) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Plymouth next travel to Stevenage on 20 October 2026.

Leyton Orient next travel to Reading on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Plymouth: Stevenage v Plymouth, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Leyton Orient: Reading v Leyton Orient, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Plymouth 0–1 Leyton Orient · League One
  • Venue: Home Park · Plymouth
  • Referee: A. Chilowicz
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Plymouth 3 · draws 0 · Leyton Orient 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Plymouth 1W 0D 4L · Leyton Orient 1W 1D 3L

Plymouth 0–1 Leyton Orient (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.6 / 5.14
Corners
against 5.2 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.4 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.8 / 1.57
Cards
against 3.4 / 1.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
3.86 yellows
Referee · A. Chilowicz
2.14 home / 1.71 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePlymouth for / againstLineLeyton Orient for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.6 for · 5.2 against n 5
9.5standard
5.14 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
13.4 for · 14 against n 5
19.5standard
13.57 for · 11.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.4 for · 5 against n 5
8.5standard
3.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.6 for · 14.8 against n 5
21.5standard
12.86 for · 12.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.8 for · 3.4 against n 5
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: A. Chilowicz — 3.86 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.43 fouls over 7 matches (2.14 to the home side, 1.71 to the away side).

Plymouth
Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Tijani n 840
3.45/4
1.75/1
—
C. Watts n 864.6
3.18/7
35/5
I. El Mizouni
Owen Oseni n 822
2.64/1
12/0
—
C. Roberts n 843.6
2.13/3
13/1
—
M. Talovierov n 883.8
1.77/5
0.32/0
—
Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Owen Oseni n 822
2.62/1
1.52/1
J. Paterson n 827.1
2.52/2
1.22/1
R. Hardie n 873.6
2.37/4
1.56/3
X. Amaechi n 865.1
1.96/3
0.31/1
C. Watts n 864.6
1.96/2
1.25/1
Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Owen Oseni n 822
1.52/1
00/0
M. Bundu n 880.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
C. Watts n 864.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Tijani n 840
0.62/0
00/0
X. Amaechi n 865.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Julio Pleguezuelo n 879.4
3.78/6
C. Roberts n 843.6
3.67/3
B. Galloway n 876.8
3.57/4
B. Ibrahim n 877.5
3.26/5
M. Boateng n 851
3.15/4
Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. El Mizouni n 828.9
3.54/2
0.41/0
C. Watts
A. Abdulai n 839.1
2.34/2
1.75/1
—
O. Beckles n 892.8
2.18/7
0.74/2
—
S. Clare n 883.3
1.95/4
1.47/3
—
T. Adaramola n 879.3
1.76/4
1.74/3
—
Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Koroma n 871.3
2.16/4
1.45/2
A. Connolly n 859.9
2.14/2
0.42/0
D. Agyei n 860.5
1.95/3
0.93/1
C. Kelman n 877.8
1.45/3
15/2
D. Jaiyesimi n 841.3
1.43/2
0.52/0
Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Koroma n 871.3
0.85/0
00/0
D. Agyei n 860.5
0.41/1
0.42/0
O. O'Neill n 853.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
C. Kelman n 877.8
0.31/1
0.11/0
E. Galbraith n 890.4
0.11/0
0.22/0
Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Currie n 850.6
3.86/4
J. Donley n 875.4
3.47/7
R. Edmonds-Green n 891.9
2.38/4
T. Bakinson n 834.6
2.34/2
E. Galbraith n 890.4
2.16/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PlymouthLeyton Orient
52%Possession48%
12Shots10
5Shots on target5
4Shots off target4
3Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box7
4Corners2
2Offsides3
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves5
349Passes325
69%Pass accuracy64%

Plymouth player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Ashby-Hammond9000001007.2
K. Szűcs9000110206.3
B. Galloway9000000407.5
A. Benarous90000023Y7.2
M. Boateng9000100607.3
X. Amaechi9000113207
B. Mumba9000221106.3
A. Mitchell7900000106.3
C. Watts7000110206.5
Tegan Finn5100101006.5
Owen Oseni5100000006.5
B. Ibrahim sub4000001306.7
A. Pepple sub4000100006.6
Joseph Hatch sub2100100106.3
M. Sorinola sub1200001407.3

Leyton Orient player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tommy Simkin90000000Y7.9
M. Craig9000000307.2
O. Beckles9000000006.3
D. Happe90000000Y6.3
T. Bakinson9000101207.9
I. El Mizouni9000000406.9
A. Connolly9000430206
O. O'Neill8901004306.7
T. Adaramola7900000106.7
J. Koroma7910110107.5
D. Jaiyesimi6400311006.3
D. Mitchell sub2700000106.7
T. James sub1200000006.7
S. Clare sub1200000006.6
J. Simpson sub10000000–
A. Abdulai sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Plymouth v Leyton Orient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlymouthLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Leyton OrientLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Plymouth 3 · 0 draws · Leyton Orient 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2023-08-08 Plymouth 2–0 Leyton Orient
  • 2020-09-15 Leyton Orient 3–2 Plymouth
  • 2019-10-22 Plymouth 4–0 Leyton Orient
  • 2019-08-13 Plymouth 2–0 Leyton Orient
League standing · 2025/26
Plymouth#8 pos73 pts46 pl+12 GD
Leyton Orient#20 pos52 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Plymouth scored1.63
Leyton Orient scored1.28
Plymouth conceded1.37
Leyton Orient conceded1.54

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Plymouth v Leyton Orient?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Plymouth v Leyton Orient was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth and Leyton Orient?
In their last 4 meetings, Plymouth won 3, Leyton Orient won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and Leyton Orient?
Recent form — Plymouth 1W 0D 4L; Leyton Orient 1W 1D 3L.

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