StevenagePlymouth

Stevenage v Plymouth result

Full-time · Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth

League One · · The Lamex Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage beat Plymouth 3–0 at The Lamex Stadium in League One on Tuesday 20 October. Plymouth are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Stevenage, every meeting checked.

The goals

Stevenage led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Michael Mellon (19’, assisted by Joshua Magennis), Joshua Magennis (27’, assisted by Michael Mellon) and Phoenix Patterson (83’, assisted by Daniel Kemp).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michael Mellon’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Stevenage 1.32, Plymouth 0.97, from 17 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Stevenage move up from 10th to ninth (10 league matches played). Stevenage have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Stevenage have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Plymouth move down from third to fifth (12 league matches played). Plymouth have scored 18 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Plymouth have conceded 17 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Magennis (Stevenage) 11.5, Daniel Kemp (Stevenage) 9.1 and Michael Mellon (Stevenage) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stevenage or Plymouth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Plymouth next travel to Sheffield Wednesday on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Plymouth: Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth · League One
  • Venue: The Lamex Stadium · Stevenage, Hertfordshire
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Stevenage 0 · draws 1 · Plymouth 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stevenage 3W 0D 2L · Plymouth 3W 0D 2L

Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 5
Corners
against 5.88 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 2.38 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStevenage for / againstLinePlymouth for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8

Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Marschall590450 min102 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Tommy Setford590450 min40.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Marschall n 890
2.15/2
Tommy Setford n 590
0.81/0

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Piergianni1186945 min181.7 /90151.4 /9080.8 /90898.5 /90151.4 /9030.3 /90
T. Vancooten1185930 min191.8 /90111.1 /9050.5 /90595.7 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
L. James-Wildin990810 min232.6 /90141.6 /9010.1 /90546 /90131.4 /9030.3 /90
L. Freestone989803 min222.5 /9050.6 /9040.4 /90495.5 /9070.8 /9030.3 /90
S. Earley467267 min103.4 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90289.4 /9051.7 /9000 /90
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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Phillips n 886.9
1.86/4
15/3
—
C. Piergianni n 884.4
1.27/2
0.84/1
—
T. Vancooten n 884.4
0.52/1
0.84/2
—
D. Kemp n 877.3
0.43/0
15/1
—
J. Magennis n 865.8
1.45/2
1.25/2
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Phillips n 886.9
2.66/4
C. Piergianni n 884.4
25/4
T. Vancooten n 884.4
1.67/4
D. Kemp n 877.3
0.42/1
J. Magennis n 865.8
00/0
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Kemp1181888 min40.4 /9010.1 /90191.9 /9070.7 /90232.3 /9050.5 /90
J. Magennis1160662 min30.4 /9020.3 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90111.5 /9020.3 /90
B. Broggio632194 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9020.9 /90
M. Mellon624145 min10.6 /9000 /9074.3 /9031.9 /9010.6 /9031.9 /90
J. Reid380239 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Phillips n 886.9
0.31/1
0.11/0
C. Piergianni n 884.4
0.85/1
0.11/0
T. Vancooten n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
D. Kemp n 877.3
1.66/3
0.74/1
J. Magennis n 865.8
0.74/0
0.32/0
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Phillips n 886.9
00/0
00/0
C. Piergianni n 884.4
00/0
00/0
T. Vancooten n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
D. Kemp n 877.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Magennis n 865.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Plymouth

Plymouth Goalkeeper

Plymouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney12911086 min272.2 /90100.8 /9000 /90
M. Cooper390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /90
James Storer19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /90
Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
2.86/4
M. Cooper n 390
1.31/1

Plymouth Defensive

Plymouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Harding13891158 min201.6 /90110.9 /9040.3 /90493.8 /90100.8 /9020.2 /90
A. Mitchell1279944 min121.1 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90605.7 /9030.3 /9000 /90
M. Sorinola1157624 min152.2 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90456.5 /90192.7 /9010.1 /90
Julio Pleguezuelo967605 min91.3 /90111.6 /9010.1 /90365.4 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
M. Ross966594 min132 /9071.1 /9010.2 /90558.3 /90152.3 /9030.5 /90
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Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Harding n 888.5
0.52/1
0.64/1
—
H. White n 890
0.95/1
1.16/2
—
W. Evans n 884.6
1.98/5
0.53/1
—
M. Mahoney n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
R. Curtis n 872.5
2.37/5
2.37/4
—
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Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Harding n 888.5
1.86/3
H. White n 890
1.14/3
W. Evans n 884.6
1.75/3
R. Curtis n 872.5
1.14/3
A. Mitchell n 886.6
1.25/4
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Plymouth Attacking

Plymouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Evans13831077 min30.3 /9000 /90211.8 /9090.8 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90
A. Pepple1278931 min50.5 /9000 /90232.2 /90101 /90121.2 /9060.6 /90
X. Amaechi938346 min30.8 /9000 /9092.3 /9041 /9041 /9030.8 /90
Owen Oseni22345 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
A. Pepple18484 min00 /9000 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Harding n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
H. White n 890
1.86/5
0.84/2
W. Evans n 884.6
1.57/4
0.75/0
M. Mahoney n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Curtis n 872.5
1.46/3
1.15/2
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Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Plymouth before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Harding n 888.5
00/0
00/0
H. White n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
W. Evans n 884.6
0.32/0
00/0
M. Mahoney n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Curtis n 872.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StevenagePlymouth
49%Possession51%
1.32Expected goals (xG)0.97
17Shots14
7Shots on target1
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots8
14Shots inside the box9
5Corners5
0Offsides2
9Fouls17
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
359Passes380

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Earley9000001006.6
L. James-Wildin9000000106.4
D. Kemp9001316007.7
J. Magennis9011523009
D. Phillips9000102306.8
C. Piergianni9000101307.3
Tommy Setford9000000006.5
T. Vancooten9000110007.3
L. Thompson74000000Y6.3
B. Broggio6400200006.5
M. Mellon6411111108.1
P. Patterson2610321007.7
O. Sanderson2600000006.6
T. Taylor1600000006.8

Plymouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Pepple9000401106.4
W. Evans9000401006.4
W. Harding9000000106.3
A. Mitchell9000000105.5
M. Mahoney9000000005.9
H. White9000003006
A. Hartridge8700100205.3
T. Bakinson7600110105.7
J. Edwards7600000305.7
R. Curtis45002000Y5.6
O. Irow4500102006.2
X. Amaechi4500004307.1
C. Watts4500100006.1
B. Ibrahim1400000105.9
M. Sorinola1400001105.8
Julio Pleguezuelo300000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stevenage v Plymouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StevenageWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
PlymouthWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Stevenage 0 · 1 draw · Plymouth 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-03-17 Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage
  • 2026-01-01 Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth
  • 2020-01-25 Stevenage 1–2 Plymouth
  • 2019-12-29 Plymouth 2–1 Stevenage
  • 2018-11-10 Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage
League standing · 2026/27
Stevenage#16 pos16 pts12 pl+4 GD
Plymouth#5 pos23 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Stevenage scored1.42
Plymouth scored1.5
Stevenage conceded1.08
Plymouth conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Plymouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Plymouth was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Plymouth?
In their last 5 meetings, Stevenage won 0, Plymouth won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Plymouth?
Recent form — Stevenage 3W 0D 2L; Plymouth 3W 0D 2L.

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