Stevenage v Plymouth result
Team pages: Stevenage · Plymouth · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Stevenage beat Plymouth 3–0 at The Lamex Stadium in League One on Tuesday 20 October. Plymouth are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Stevenage, every meeting checked.
The goals
Stevenage led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Michael Mellon (19’, assisted by Joshua Magennis), Joshua Magennis (27’, assisted by Michael Mellon) and Phoenix Patterson (83’, assisted by Daniel Kemp).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michael Mellon’s goal on 19 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Stevenage 1.32, Plymouth 0.97, from 17 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
What it changes
Stevenage move up from 10th to ninth (10 league matches played). Stevenage have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Stevenage have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Plymouth move down from third to fifth (12 league matches played). Plymouth have scored 18 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Plymouth have conceded 17 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Magennis (Stevenage) 11.5, Daniel Kemp (Stevenage) 9.1 and Michael Mellon (Stevenage) 8.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Stevenage or Plymouth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.
Plymouth next travel to Sheffield Wednesday on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Plymouth: Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth · League One
- Venue: The Lamex Stadium · Stevenage, Hertfordshire
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Stevenage 0 · draws 1 · Plymouth 4 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Stevenage 3W 0D 2L · Plymouth 3W 0D 2L
Stevenage 3–0 Plymouth (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stevenage for / against | Line | Plymouth for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.13 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Stevenage
Stevenage Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall | 5 | 90450 min | 102 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Tommy Setford | 5 | 90450 min | 40.8 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Tommy Setford n 5 | 90 | 0.8 |
Stevenage Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Piergianni | 11 | 86945 min | 181.7 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 898.5 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| T. Vancooten | 11 | 85930 min | 191.8 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 595.7 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| L. James-Wildin | 9 | 90810 min | 232.6 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 546 /90 | 131.4 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| L. Freestone | 9 | 89803 min | 222.5 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 495.5 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| S. Earley | 4 | 67267 min | 103.4 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 289.4 /90 | 51.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.9 | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | — |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 84.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | — |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 0.4 | 1 | — |
| J. Magennis n 8 | 65.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.9 | 2.6 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 2 |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 84.4 | 1.6 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 0.4 |
| J. Magennis n 8 | 65.8 | 0 |
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Stevenage Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kemp | 11 | 81888 min | 40.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 191.9 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 232.3 /90 | 50.5 /90 |
| J. Magennis | 11 | 60662 min | 30.4 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| B. Broggio | 6 | 32194 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 20.9 /90 |
| M. Mellon | 6 | 24145 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 74.3 /90 | 31.9 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 31.9 /90 |
| J. Reid | 3 | 80239 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| J. Magennis n 8 | 65.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.9 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| J. Magennis n 8 | 65.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
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Plymouth
Plymouth Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mahoney | 12 | 911086 min | 272.2 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Cooper | 3 | 90270 min | 41.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| James Storer | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 44 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Mahoney n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| M. Cooper n 3 | 90 | 1.3 |
Plymouth Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Harding | 13 | 891158 min | 201.6 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 493.8 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| A. Mitchell | 12 | 79944 min | 121.1 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 605.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Sorinola | 11 | 57624 min | 152.2 /90 | 101.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 456.5 /90 | 192.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | 9 | 67605 min | 91.3 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 365.4 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| M. Ross | 9 | 66594 min | 132 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 558.3 /90 | 152.3 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Harding n 8 | 88.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | — |
| H. White n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 1.1 | — |
| W. Evans n 8 | 84.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| M. Mahoney n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| R. Curtis n 8 | 72.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Harding n 8 | 88.5 | 1.8 |
| H. White n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| W. Evans n 8 | 84.6 | 1.7 |
| R. Curtis n 8 | 72.5 | 1.1 |
| A. Mitchell n 8 | 86.6 | 1.2 |
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Plymouth Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Evans | 13 | 831077 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 211.8 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 90.8 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| A. Pepple | 12 | 78931 min | 50.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 232.2 /90 | 101 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 60.6 /90 |
| X. Amaechi | 9 | 38346 min | 30.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 92.3 /90 | 41 /90 | 41 /90 | 30.8 /90 |
| Owen Oseni | 2 | 2345 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Pepple | 1 | 8484 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Harding n 8 | 88.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| H. White n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| W. Evans n 8 | 84.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| M. Mahoney n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Curtis n 8 | 72.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Harding n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0 |
| H. White n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| W. Evans n 8 | 84.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Mahoney n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Curtis n 8 | 72.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Stevenage | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Possession | 51% |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 359 | Passes | 380 |
Stevenage Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Earley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. James-Wildin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| D. Kemp | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Magennis | 90 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| D. Phillips | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.8 |
| C. Piergianni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Tommy Setford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Vancooten | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Thompson | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| B. Broggio | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Mellon | 64 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.1 |
| P. Patterson | 26 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| O. Sanderson | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Taylor | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
Plymouth Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pepple | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| W. Evans | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| W. Harding | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Mitchell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| M. Mahoney | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| H. White | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Hartridge | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.3 |
| T. Bakinson | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 |
| J. Edwards | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.7 |
| R. Curtis | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.6 |
| O. Irow | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| X. Amaechi | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7.1 |
| C. Watts | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| B. Ibrahim | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| M. Sorinola | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Stevenage v Plymouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-17 Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage
- 2026-01-01 Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth
- 2020-01-25 Stevenage 1–2 Plymouth
- 2019-12-29 Plymouth 2–1 Stevenage
- 2018-11-10 Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Plymouth?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Plymouth was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Plymouth?
- In their last 5 meetings, Stevenage won 0, Plymouth won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stevenage and Plymouth?
- Recent form — Stevenage 3W 0D 2L; Plymouth 3W 0D 2L.
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