ReadingCardiff

Reading v Cardiff result

Full-time · Reading 1–3 Cardiff

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Reading · Cardiff · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Reading 1–3 Cardiff — Cardiff won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff won 3–1 at Reading in League One on Saturday 18 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Reading created the better chances, 2.36 xG to 1.35 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Cardiff led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Rubin Colwill (40’, assisted by Ryan Wintle), Omari Kellyman (55’, assisted by Ryan Wintle) and Perry Ng (86’, assisted by Omari Kellyman); Reading: Daniel Kyerewaa (73’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rubin Colwill’s goal on 40 minutes.

Discipline

M. Corlett showed seven yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Reading: Daniel Kyerewaa (63’), P. O'Connor (64’) and Finley Burns (69’); Cardiff: Gabriel Osho (41’), Ryan Wintle (63’), Dylan Lawlor (72’) and W. Fish (90+10’).

What it changes

Reading move down from eighth to 10th (44 league matches played). Reading have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Reading have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff stay second after this result (43 league matches played). Cardiff have scored 90 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Cardiff have conceded 50 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Reading are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Omari Kellyman (Cardiff) 9.4, Ryan Wintle (Cardiff) 7.3 and Perry Ng (Cardiff) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Cardiff, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Reading next travel to Stockport County on 14 November 2026.

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Reading: Stockport County v Reading, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Reading 1–3 Cardiff · League One
  • Referee: M. Corlett
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Reading 2 · draws 1 · Cardiff 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Reading 1W 1D 3L · Cardiff 1W 3D 1L

Reading 1–3 Cardiff (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 9.88
Corners
against 5.25 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4 / 2.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.11 yellows
Referee · M. Corlett
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameReading for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
9.88 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
20 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: M. Corlett — 5.11 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 23 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Reading

Reading Defensive

Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Wing n 890
1.46/3
1.16/3
R. Wintle
C. Savage n 883.5
1.35/3
0.95/2
—
K. Doyle n 867
0.32/0
1.75/3
—
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.8
2.28/5
0.74/1
—
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Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Wing n 890
2.38/4
C. Savage n 883.5
1.56/4
K. Doyle n 867
1.77/2
Joel Pereira n 890
0.11/0
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.8
0.32/0
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Reading Attacking

Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Wing n 890
1.37/2
0.54/0
C. Savage n 883.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
K. Doyle n 867
1.35/2
1.24/2
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.8
1.25/2
0.74/1
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Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Wing n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
C. Savage n 883.5
00/0
00/0
K. Doyle n 867
0.21/0
0.21/0
Joel Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Ehibhatiomhan n 876.8
0.42/1
00/0
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Cardiff

Cardiff Goalkeeper

Cardiff — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Trott43903870 min1022.4 /90461.1 /9000 /90
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
2.14/2

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joel Bagan46823791 min761.8 /90310.7 /90170.4 /901864.4 /90340.8 /9090.2 /90
P. Ng35802785 min662.1 /90260.8 /90110.4 /901775.7 /90331.1 /9050.2 /90
D. Lawlor28782178 min231 /90241 /90241 /90873.6 /90180.7 /9050.2 /90
C. Chambers27822211 min291.2 /90341.4 /90170.7 /901084.4 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90
R. Wintle41853482 min431.1 /90451.2 /90160.4 /901223.2 /90180.5 /9050.1 /90
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Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joel Bagan n 880.5
15/2
0.84/2
—
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Wintle n 889.1
0.11/0
0.43/0
L. Wing
C. Willock n 844.1
0.83/0
0.83/0
—
Cian Ashford n 867
00/0
1.35/3
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 880.5
1.87/4
R. Wintle n 889.1
1.36/1
C. Willock n 844.1
14/0
Cian Ashford n 867
1.25/2
P. Ng n 888
1.76/4
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Salech33712355 min140.5 /9040.2 /90762.9 /90321.2 /90281.1 /90130.5 /90
C. Robinson31381193 min70.5 /9020.2 /90292.2 /90191.4 /90120.9 /9090.7 /90
R. Wintle41853482 min10 /9050.1 /90240.6 /90120.3 /90411.1 /90100.3 /90
C. Willock40592345 min80.3 /9050.2 /90311.2 /90150.6 /90532 /90391.5 /90
Cian Ashford39652533 min50.2 /9030.1 /90361.3 /90190.7 /90301.1 /90491.7 /90
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Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 880.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 889.1
1.46/2
0.63/1
C. Willock n 844.1
1.34/1
0.52/0
Cian Ashford n 867
27/3
0.84/1
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 880.5
00/0
0.11/0
N. Trott n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Wintle n 889.1
00/0
0.11/0
C. Willock n 844.1
0.31/0
00/0
Cian Ashford n 867
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ReadingCardiff
37%Possession63%
2.36Expected goals (xG)1.35
15Shots15
7Shots on target9
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box7
7Corners9
2Offsides2
6Fouls11
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
6Saves5
258Passes441
67%Pass accuracy83%

Reading Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joel Pereira9000001006.6
F. Burns90000001Y5.3
P. O'Connor90001101Y6.7
J. Dorsett9000200406.3
L. Wing9000112106.6
D. Kyerewaa90102100Y7.2
K. Ehibhatiomhan9000220106.6
R. Nyambe8800001206.6
A. Rinomhota8800001206.9
H. Roberts8800000006.6
P. Lane7400210006.7
J. Marriott sub1600210006.3
K. Abrefa sub1300000006.6
L. Fraser sub1300001006.7
M. Ritchie sub1300000006.7

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Trott9000000007.2
P. Ng9010111107.9
G. Osho90000002Y6.9
Joel Bagan9000001306.3
R. Wintle90022141Y7.9
O. Kellyman9011321109.3
O. Tanner8900110206.5
D. Lawlor82000001Y6.9
R. Colwill8210221107.2
C. Willock8200001006.2
A. Robertson6700221407
D. Turnbull sub2300000006.5
C. Robinson sub1100100006.2
W. Fish sub8000000Y6.7
J. Colwill sub800000106.7
Y. Salech sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Reading v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ReadingLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
CardiffLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Reading 2 · 1 draw · Cardiff 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Cardiff 2–1 Reading
  • 2023-02-17 Cardiff 1–0 Reading
  • 2022-08-06 Reading 2–1 Cardiff
  • 2022-04-09 Reading 1–2 Cardiff
  • 2021-10-02 Cardiff 0–1 Reading
  • 2021-04-16 Reading 1–1 Cardiff
League standing · 2025/26
Reading#12 pos63 pts46 pl+4 GD
Cardiff#2 pos91 pts46 pl+40 GD
Goals per game
Reading scored1.39
Cardiff scored1.96
Reading conceded1.3
Cardiff conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Reading v Cardiff?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Reading v Cardiff was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Reading and Cardiff?
In their last 6 meetings, Reading won 2, Cardiff won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Reading and Cardiff?
Recent form — Reading 1W 1D 3L; Cardiff 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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