Stevenage v Wycombe result

Full-time · Stevenage 1–0 Wycombe

League One · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stevenage · Wycombe · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Stevenage 1–0 Wycombe — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 3.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 3.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.4% of 1770 landed (95% range 70.2–74.4%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage beat Wycombe 1–0 in League One on Saturday 30 August. Wycombe are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Stevenage led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Chem Campbell (34’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Chem Campbell’s goal on 34 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Stevenage 0.00, Wycombe 0.00, from 9 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Simon Mather, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stevenage: Jordan Houghton (54’) and Lewis Freestone (84’); Wycombe: Daniel Harvie (45’) and Armando Quitirna (69’).

What it changes

Stevenage move up from third to second (six league matches played).

Wycombe move down from 21st to 22nd (six league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Chem Campbell (Stevenage) 7.2, Luther James-Wildin (Stevenage) 5.2 and Magnus Westergaard (Wycombe) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1281 of 1770).

Next up

Stevenage next host Milton Keynes Dons on 24 October 2026.

Wycombe next travel to AFC Wimbledon on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Wycombe: AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Stevenage 1–0 Wycombe · League One
Referee: Simon Mather, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Stevenage 2 · draws 1 · Wycombe 3 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Stevenage 3W 0D 2L · Wycombe 1W 3D 1L

Stevenage 1–0 Wycombe (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.71 / 5.25

Corners

against 4.57 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.29 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.29 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 2

Cards

against 0.86 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.4 yellows

Referee · Simon Mather, England

1 home / 2.4 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Stevenage for / against	Line	Wycombe for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.71 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.86 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.29 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.43 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Simon Mather, England — 3.4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.8 fouls over 5 matches (1 to the home side, 2.4 to the away side).

Home 1Away 2.4

Stevenage

Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gassan Ahadme n 8	10.6	7.4 4/3	3.2 3/0	—
J. Young n 8	24.6	2.7 4/2	0.9 2/0	—
D. Kemp n 8	84.8	2.5 8/5	1.5 7/4	—
J. Roberts n 8	72.8	1.9 6/5	2.6 8/5	—
D. Phillips n 8	53	1.9 6/3	0.8 3/1	D. Harvie

Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gassan Ahadme n 8	10.6	4.2 4/0	1.1 1/0
J. Young n 8	24.6	2.3 3/1	1.8 2/1
E. List n 8	44.1	1.8 5/2	0.3 1/0
J. Reid n 8	73.6	1.7 5/4	1.4 5/3
P. Patterson n 8	55.6	1.2 4/2	0.6 3/0

Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gassan Ahadme n 8	10.6	1.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Reid n 8	73.6	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
L. Appéré n 8	73.3	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
J. Young n 8	24.6	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
D. Kemp n 8	84.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. James-Wildin n 8	90	3.1 7/7
J. Roberts n 8	72.8	2.8 8/6
J. Houghton n 8	64.9	2.8 6/4
L. Freestone n 8	58.1	2.7 3/3
D. Phillips n 8	53	2.5 7/2

Wycombe

Wycombe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Onyedinma n 8	55.4	2.2 7/4	3.9 6/5	—
D. Harvie n 8	68.8	1.8 8/3	1.3 5/3	D. Phillips
R. Kone n 8	65.5	1.7 5/2	1.4 6/2	—
D. Udoh n 8	86	1.6 6/4	1.2 5/2	—
F. Back n 8	64.9	1.4 5/2	2.1 5/4	—

Wycombe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Armando Quitirna n 8	34.5	2.3 4/2	1 2/1
J. Tilley n 8	49.6	1.8 5/2	0.7 2/1
A. Lowry n 8	53.9	1.7 5/3	0.8 4/0
R. Kone n 8	65.5	1.4 5/1	0.5 3/0
F. Onyedinma n 8	55.4	1.2 4/2	0.8 3/1

Wycombe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Udoh n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Allen n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
R. Kone n 8	65.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Magnus Westergaard n 8	41.8	0.3 1/0	0 0/0

Wycombe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Magnus Westergaard n 8	41.8	3.5 4/3
L. Leahy n 8	86.5	3.1 8/8
J. Tilley n 8	49.6	2.9 4/4
F. Back n 8	64.9	2.4 4/4
C. Taylor n 8	90	2 7/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stevenage		Wycombe
39%	Possession	61%
9	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	0
2	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	7
7	Shots inside the box	7
5	Corners	2
0	Offsides	3
14	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	4
274	Passes	443
61%	Pass accuracy	74%

Stevenage player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Marschall	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. James-Wildin	90	0	0	0	1	6	0	6.9
C. Goode	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
C. Piergianni	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
L. Freestone	90	0	0	0	0	5	Y	8
D. Phillips	90	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.3
J. Roberts	90	0	2	1	0	3	0	6.7
J. Houghton	87	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.7
J. Reid	87	0	2	2	0	0	0	5.9
D. Kemp	71	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
C. Campbell	71	1	1	1	0	2	0	8
H. White sub	19	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
P. Patterson sub	19	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
J. Pattenden sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Gassan Ahadme sub	12	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5

Wycombe player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Mikki Avelon Leander van Sas	90	0	0	1	0	8.2
J. Grimmer	90	0	0	3	0	7
C. Taylor	90	0	1	1	0	6.9
A. Hagelskjær	90	0	0	1	0	6.6
D. Harvie	90	0	0	1	Y	6.2
D. Udoh	90	0	1	2	0	5.9
Armando Quitirna	72	1	1	1	Y	6.3
L. Leahy	71	0	0	2	0	6.3
Magnus Westergaard	62	0	0	3	0	7.2
T. Allen	62	1	1	0	0	6.2
Jamie Mullins	61	0	1	1	0	6.7
G. Abbott sub	29	0	1	1	0	7.2
F. Onyedinma sub	28	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Henderson sub	28	0	0	0	0	6.7
C. Boyd-Munce sub	19	1	0	0	0	6.3
A. Lowry sub	18	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Stevenage v Wycombe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

StevenageWLWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

WycombeWDLDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Stevenage 2 · 1 draw · Wycombe 3 · 1.83 goals/game

2025-04-12 Wycombe 1–0 Stevenage
2024-12-26 Stevenage 0–3 Wycombe
2024-02-24 Stevenage 1–0 Wycombe
2023-11-11 Wycombe 0–1 Stevenage
2021-08-24 Stevenage 2–2 Wycombe
2018-05-05 Wycombe 1–0 Stevenage

League standing · 2025/26

Stevenage#6 pos75 pts46 pl+3 GD

Wycombe#11 pos63 pts46 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Stevenage scored1.07

Wycombe scored1.5

Stevenage conceded1

Wycombe conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Wycombe?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Wycombe was Under 3.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Wycombe?: In their last 6 meetings, Stevenage won 2, Wycombe won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Wycombe?: Recent form — Stevenage 3W 0D 2L; Wycombe 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.