Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons result

Full-time · Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons

League One · Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · The Lamex Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 13:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stevenage · Milton Keynes Dons

The model’s pre-match pick

Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons — Milton Keynes Dons won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Milton Keynes Dons won 1–0 at The Lamex Stadium in League One on Saturday 24 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Milton Keynes Dons: Samuel Nombe (81’, assisted by Aaron Collins).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Samuel Nombe’s goal on 81 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Stevenage 0.53, Milton Keynes Dons 1.96, from 10 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Stevenage: Joshua Magennis (9’) and Carl Piergianni (35’); Milton Keynes Dons: Alexander Gilbey (7’), Aaron Collins (25’) and Jack Sanders (44’).

What it changes

Stevenage move down from ninth to 12th (11 league matches played). Stevenage have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Stevenage have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons move up from 19th to 18th (11 league matches played). Milton Keynes Dons have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 20 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aaron Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.7, Samuel Nombe (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.0 and William Dennis (Milton Keynes Dons) 4.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stevenage are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Milton Keynes Dons, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stevenage or Milton Keynes Dons (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Stevenage next travel to Oxford United on 7 November 2026.

Milton Keynes Dons next host Swindon Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stevenage: Oxford United v Stevenage, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons · League One
Venue: The Lamex Stadium · Stevenage, Hertfordshire
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Stevenage 2 · draws 2 · Milton Keynes Dons 0 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Stevenage 3W 0D 2L · Milton Keynes Dons 1W 2D 2L

Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.63

Corners

against 5.88 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 1.88 / 5.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Stevenage for / against	Line	Milton Keynes Dons for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.75 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5

Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tommy Setford	6	90540 min	50.8 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
F. Marschall	5	90450 min	102 /90	91.8 /90	00 /90

Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tommy Setford n 6	90	0.8 1/0
F. Marschall n 8	90	2.1 5/2

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Piergianni	12	861035 min	211.8 /90	171.5 /90	80.7 /90	1008.7 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90
T. Vancooten	12	851020 min	191.7 /90	131.1 /90	50.4 /90	615.4 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
L. James-Wildin	10	90900 min	242.4 /90	181.8 /90	10.1 /90	565.6 /90	141.4 /90	30.3 /90
L. Freestone	9	89803 min	222.5 /90	50.6 /90	40.4 /90	495.5 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
S. Earley	5	71357 min	102.5 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	348.6 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90
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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Phillips n 8	86.9	2.1 7/5	0.9 5/2	—
C. Piergianni n 8	90	1 6/2	0.9 5/1	—
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.6 3/2	—
D. Kemp n 8	86.1	0.8 4/1	1.3 5/2	—
J. Magennis n 8	74.6	1.2 5/2	1.4 6/3	—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.9	2.8 6/5
C. Piergianni n 8	90	2.3 6/5
T. Vancooten n 8	90	1.4 6/4
D. Kemp n 8	86.1	0.4 2/1
J. Magennis n 8	74.6	0 0/0
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Kemp	12	82978 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	222 /90	80.7 /90	292.7 /90	90.8 /90
J. Magennis	12	63752 min	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	111.3 /90	50.6 /90	141.7 /90	40.5 /90
P. Patterson	8	58463 min	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	112.1 /90	61.2 /90	122.3 /90	30.6 /90
B. Broggio	7	37258 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90
M. Mellon	7	30209 min	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	83.4 /90	41.7 /90	20.9 /90	41.7 /90
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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
D. Kemp n 8	86.1	1.8 7/4	0.8 5/1
J. Magennis n 8	74.6	1.4 5/1	0.6 3/1
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Kemp n 8	86.1	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Magennis n 8	74.6	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Goalkeeper

Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. MacGillivray	6	92549 min	233.8 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
W. Dennis	5	90450 min	132.6 /90	81.6 /90	00 /90

Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. MacGillivray n 8	91.1	3.2 7/3
W. Dennis n 5	90	2.6 4/2

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Goode	10	89888 min	121.2 /90	131.3 /90	70.7 /90	686.9 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
M. Ekpiteta	10	74740 min	172.1 /90	141.7 /90	81 /90	485.8 /90	111.3 /90	30.4 /90
C. Nelson	9	87784 min	111.3 /90	161.8 /90	131.5 /90	465.3 /90	131.5 /90	00 /90
G. Jones	7	70492 min	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	193.5 /90	61.1 /90	00 /90
J. Sanders	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	62.4 /90	00 /90	197.6 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
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Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	0.9 7/0	0 0/0	—
S. Nombe n 8	86.8	2.7 6/6	1.2 7/1	—
A. Collins n 8	72.1	1.1 5/1	0.6 3/1	—
C. Goode n 8	88.9	0.8 4/1	1.3 5/3	—
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	1.1 4/2	1.2 6/1	—
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	1.5 6/4
S. Nombe n 8	86.8	0.6 5/0
A. Collins n 8	72.1	1.2 5/1
C. Goode n 8	88.9	1 5/3
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	1.7 5/4
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Nombe	11	85936 min	00 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90	50.5 /90	131.3 /90
A. Collins	11	69760 min	70.8 /90	10.1 /90	273.2 /90	91.1 /90	121.4 /90	70.8 /90
C. Paterson	8	57455 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.8 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
S. Silvera	5	52262 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	31 /90	93.1 /90
N. Mendez-Laing	2	3978 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
S. Nombe n 8	86.8	1.4 6/4	0.6 4/1
A. Collins n 8	72.1	3.1 7/6	0.9 5/1
C. Goode n 8	88.9	0.9 5/1	0 0/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nombe n 8	86.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Collins n 8	72.1	0.8 5/0	0.2 1/0
C. Goode n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stevenage		Milton Keynes Dons
60%	Possession	40%
0.53	Expected goals (xG)	1.96
10	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	10
7	Corners	9
3	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
326	Passes	218

Stevenage Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Tommy Setford	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Vancooten	90	1	0	1	0	0	5.9
L. Thompson	90	1	0	0	4	0	6.5
C. Piergianni	90	0	0	0	2	Y	5.8
J. Magennis	90	1	1	1	0	Y	5.9
S. Earley	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.1
D. Kemp	89	1	1	3	0	0	6.7
M. Mellon	85	2	0	1	0	0	6.2
D. Phillips	84	1	0	0	1	0	6.4
B. Broggio	63	2	0	0	0	0	6.4
L. James-Wildin	62	0	0	0	1	0	5.8
K. Casey	28	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
O. Sanderson	27	1	0	0	0	0	6.8
T. Taylor	6	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
P. Patterson	5	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
C. Campbell	1	0	0	0	0	0	6

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
W. Dennis	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Wintle	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Sanders	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6
C. Goode	90	0	0	4	1	0	1	0	7.1
A. Gilbey	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.5
M. Ekpiteta	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
Elijah Xavier Campbell	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
S. Silvera	89	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7
A. Collins	89	0	1	2	2	1	2	Y	7.2
S. Nombe	82	1	0	3	1	2	0	0	8
D. Crowley	82	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	6.7
B. Wiles	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
C. Paterson	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.8
G. Jones	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
I. Fullah	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

StevenageWLWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Milton Keynes DonsDDLWL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Stevenage 2 · 2 draws · Milton Keynes Dons 0 · 3.5 goals/game

2021-11-16 Stevenage 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons
2021-11-06 Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 Stevenage
2019-03-16 Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Stevenage
2018-11-24 Stevenage 3–2 Milton Keynes Dons

League standing · 2026/27

Stevenage#16 pos16 pts12 pl+4 GD

Milton Keynes Dons#12 pos18 pts13 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Stevenage scored1.42

Milton Keynes Dons scored1.69

Stevenage conceded1.08

Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons?: In their last 4 meetings, Stevenage won 2, Milton Keynes Dons won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons?: Recent form — Stevenage 3W 0D 2L; Milton Keynes Dons 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 13:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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