This Matchweek

WycombeMilton Keynes Dons

Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons result

Full-time · Wycombe 3–3 Milton Keynes Dons

League One · · Adams Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wycombe · Milton Keynes Dons · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wycombe 3–3 Milton Keynes Dons — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.80 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons drew 3–3 at Adams Park in League One on Saturday 5 September. Wycombe have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Wycombe led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Wycombe: Dan Casey (11’, assisted by Caolan Boyd-Munce), Ewan Henderson (31’) and Jayden Wareham (74’, assisted by Silko Amari Otieno Thomas); Milton Keynes Dons: Aaron Collins (51’, assisted by Callum Paterson), Callum Paterson (55’, assisted by Aaron Collins) and Curtis Nelson (59’, assisted by Daniel Crowley).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Wareham’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

S. Martin showed three yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Milton Keynes Dons: Alexander Gilbey (36’), Aaron Collins (41’) and Marvin Ekpiteta (84’).

What it changes

Wycombe move down from 22nd to 23rd (five league matches played). Wycombe have scored seven goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Wycombe have conceded 12 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons move up from 22nd to 18th (five league matches played). Milton Keynes Dons have scored seven goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Wycombe are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Milton Keynes Dons are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aaron Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) 8.6, Dan Casey (Wycombe) 8.5 and Caolan Boyd-Munce (Wycombe) 7.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Wycombe are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Milton Keynes Dons.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Wycombe next travel to Accrington ST on 7 November 2026.

Milton Keynes Dons next host Swindon Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wycombe: Accrington ST v Wycombe, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wycombe 3–3 Milton Keynes Dons · League One
  • Venue: Adams Park · High Wycombe, Buckinghamshire
  • Referee: S. Martin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wycombe 3 · draws 1 · Milton Keynes Dons 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wycombe 0W 2D 3L · Milton Keynes Dons 0W 3D 2L

Wycombe 3–3 Milton Keynes Dons (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
7.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1
Cards
against 2.5 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWycombe for / againstLineMilton Keynes Dons for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: S. Martin.

Wycombe

Wycombe Goalkeeper

Wycombe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Hazard590450 min173.4 /90112.2 /9000 /90
Wycombe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Hazard n 590
3.45/3

Wycombe Defensive

Wycombe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Taylor590450 min40.8 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90357 /9010.2 /9000 /90
D. Harvie580401 min51.1 /9061.3 /9000 /90286.3 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
S. Cook487346 min51.3 /9061.6 /9020.5 /90225.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Grimmer460241 min10.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90103.7 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Sam Parker361183 min83.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90146.9 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Wycombe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Henderson n 871.3
1.76/3
1.14/2
—
C. Taylor n 887.3
0.53/1
1.36/4
C. Bramall
C. Hazard n 590
00/0
00/0
—
F. Onyedinma n 883
2.28/4
1.26/3
R. Wintle
D. Harvie n 883.9
0.83/2
1.36/1
—
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Wycombe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Henderson n 871.3
1.35/3
C. Taylor n 887.3
16/1
F. Onyedinma n 883
0.83/1
D. Harvie n 883.9
1.24/3
Silko Amari Otieno Thomas n 563
1.13/1
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Wycombe Attacking

Wycombe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Woodrow467269 min20.7 /9000 /9062 /9031 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Tezgel438150 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Armando Quitirna333100 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9032.7 /9032.7 /90
E. Henderson590450 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.6 /9040.8 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90
F. Onyedinma586430 min10.2 /9000 /9061.3 /9040.8 /9051 /9010.2 /90
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Wycombe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Henderson n 871.3
1.35/1
0.63/1
C. Taylor n 887.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
C. Hazard n 590
00/0
00/0
F. Onyedinma n 883
1.65/5
0.85/1
D. Harvie n 883.9
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Wycombe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Henderson n 871.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Taylor n 887.3
0.11/0
00/0
C. Hazard n 590
00/0
00/0
F. Onyedinma n 883
0.11/0
00/0
D. Harvie n 883.9
00/0
00/0
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Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Goalkeeper

Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. MacGillivray592459 min193.7 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
3.17/3

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Nelson592459 min102 /9081.6 /9071.4 /90234.5 /9030.6 /9000 /90
C. Goode588438 min51 /9091.8 /9040.8 /90336.8 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90
M. Ekpiteta574369 min92.2 /9051.2 /9082 /90286.8 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
G. Jones465260 min51.7 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9072.4 /9041.4 /9000 /90
J. Sanders14545 min00 /9024 /9000 /9036 /9024 /9012 /90
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Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Bramall n 591.8
1.23/3
0.42/0
C. Taylor
C. Nelson n 888.3
0.65/0
0.11/0
—
R. Wintle n 591.8
0.42/0
0.41/1
F. Onyedinma
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
C. Goode n 587.6
1.65/2
2.14/3
—
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Nelson n 888.3
1.87/4
R. Wintle n 591.8
1.45/2
C. Bramall n 591.8
1.25/1
C. Goode n 587.6
13/1
S. Nombe n 869.3
16/0
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Nombe579396 min00 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90
A. Collins553265 min31 /9000 /90103.4 /9041.4 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
C. Paterson546230 min00 /9000 /9062.3 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /90
N. Mendez-Laing23978 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
S. Silvera23468 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9022.6 /90
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Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wintle n 591.8
1.85/3
0.63/0
C. Bramall n 591.8
13/2
0.63/0
C. Nelson n 888.3
0.64/1
0.32/0
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
00/0
00/0
C. Goode n 587.6
13/1
0.21/0
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Wintle n 591.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Nelson n 888.3
0.11/0
00/0
C. Bramall n 591.8
00/0
00/0
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
00/0
00/0
C. Goode n 587.6
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WycombeMilton Keynes Dons
55%Possession45%
10Shots12
7Shots on target5
1Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box5
5Corners5
1Offsides4
9Fouls18
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves4
385Passes309

Wycombe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wareham9010210107.8
C. Boyd-Munce9001114307.1
D. Casey9010320307.5
A. Hagelskjær9000001205.7
E. Henderson9010210006.6
F. Onyedinma9000110206.3
C. Taylor9000000206.6
C. Hazard9000000006.2
C. Woodrow7900001106.4
Sam Parker7200000306.1
M. Mothersille6000112006
Silko Amari Otieno Thomas3001001006.7
E. Tezgel1800000006.4
J. Scowen1100000005.9

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Nombe9000310106.5
C. Bramall9000000105.2
M. Ekpiteta90000003Y6.1
G. Jones9000001306.4
C. Nelson9010111006.9
C. MacGillivray9000000006.2
R. Wintle9000002206.1
A. Collins73115121Y7.5
A. Gilbey73001102Y6.3
D. Barlaser4500001105.5
R. Barnett4500000206
D. Crowley4501101005.7
C. Paterson4511111007.8
S. Silvera1700000106.5
B. Wiles1700001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WycombeLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Milton Keynes DonsLDDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wycombe 3 · 1 draw · Milton Keynes Dons 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2023-08-08 Milton Keynes Dons 0–2 Wycombe
  • 2023-04-01 Wycombe 2–2 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2022-10-22 Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 Wycombe
  • 2022-05-08 Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Wycombe
  • 2022-05-05 Wycombe 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2022-01-29 Wycombe 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons
League standing · 2026/27
Wycombe#13 pos18 pts13 pl-2 GD
Milton Keynes Dons#12 pos18 pts13 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Wycombe scored1.62
Milton Keynes Dons scored1.69
Wycombe conceded1.77
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wycombe v Milton Keynes Dons was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons?
In their last 6 meetings, Wycombe won 3, Milton Keynes Dons won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wycombe and Milton Keynes Dons?
Recent form — Wycombe 0W 2D 3L; Milton Keynes Dons 0W 3D 2L.

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