Accrington STColchester

Accrington ST v Colchester result

Full-time · Accrington ST 2–2 Colchester

League Two · · The Wham Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 2–2 Colchester — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST and Colchester drew 2–2 at The Wham Stadium in League Two on Saturday 15 August. Accrington ST are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Accrington ST led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Colchester: Ellis Iandolo (24’, assisted by Jack Payne) and Robert Hunt (60’, assisted by Oscar Thorn); Accrington ST: Charlie Caton (29’, assisted by Shaun Whalley; 45’, assisted by C. O'Brien).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Robert Hunt’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Accrington ST out-shot Colchester 20 to 7 and created the better chances, 3.02 xG to 0.45 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

E. Swallow showed one yellow card — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Accrington ST: Joseph Anderson (89’).

What it changes

Accrington ST are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Colchester are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charlie Caton (Accrington ST) 11.5, Shaun Whalley (Accrington ST) 8.8 and Jack Payne (Colchester) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Colchester, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Accrington ST next host Wycombe on 7 November 2026.

Colchester next host Worcester City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: Accrington ST v Wycombe, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Colchester: Colchester v Worcester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Accrington ST 2–2 Colchester · League Two
  • Venue: The Wham Stadium · Accrington
  • Referee: E. Swallow
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 2 · draws 2 · Colchester 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L · Colchester 2W 0D 3L

Accrington ST 2–2 Colchester (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.25
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.33 yellows
Referee · E. Swallow
25.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineColchester for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
2.25our book
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: E. Swallow — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Moulden19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Rawson19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /90
Joseph Anderson19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9055 /9022 /9011 /90
Devon Matthews15959 min00 /9000 /9000 /9046.1 /9023.1 /9000 /90
T. Moore13131 min00 /9000 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /90
C. O'Brien19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Woods n 882.4
1.26/3
0.73/2
H. Anderson
D. Love n 881.6
1.25/3
1.15/1
—
F. Rawson n 890
15/2
0.84/2
E. Iandolo
C. O'Brien n 883.1
0.84/1
0.53/1
—
S. Conneely n 871.1
1.46/3
2.25/4
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. O'Brien n 883.1
3.17/6
D. Love n 881.6
1.86/4
J. Woods n 882.4
1.46/3
F. Rawson n 890
15/2
S. Conneely n 871.1
1.14/2
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Woods19090 min00 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Stockton16262 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
C. Caton12828 min00 /9000 /9026.4 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /90
C. O'Brien19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9022 /90
D. Love19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9000 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Woods n 882.4
2.57/6
1.56/4
D. Love n 881.6
0.84/2
00/0
F. Rawson n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
C. O'Brien n 883.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
S. Conneely n 871.1
0.82/1
0.32/0
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Woods n 882.4
0.53/1
00/0
F. Rawson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. O'Brien n 883.1
00/0
00/0
D. Love n 881.6
00/0
00/0
S. Conneely n 871.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Colchester

Colchester Goalkeeper

Colchester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala19696 min32.8 /9021.9 /9000 /90

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Terry19696 min00 /9021.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Vincent-Young19696 min21.9 /9000 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
S. Raggett19696 min00 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /90
E. Iandolo17878 min22.3 /9011.2 /9000 /9044.6 /9011.2 /9000 /90
S. Kuffour15151 min00 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Payne n 884.6
1.15/2
1.15/3
—
K. Vincent-Young n 876.3
17/0
0.74/1
—
H. Anderson n 879.3
0.95/1
0.64/0
J. Woods
F. Terry n 890.8
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
E. Iandolo n 880.5
1.16/2
0.32/0
F. Rawson
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Payne n 884.6
1.97/4
H. Anderson n 879.3
1.76/5
K. Vincent-Young n 876.3
1.35/4
F. Terry n 890.8
0.42/1
E. Iandolo n 880.5
2.27/6
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Ihionvien16868 min00 /9000 /9022.6 /9022.6 /9011.3 /9034 /90
H. Anderson19696 min00 /9000 /9043.8 /9021.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
J. Payne19696 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /90
R. Hunt17474 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
O. Thorn16868 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
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Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Payne n 884.6
27/5
1.16/2
H. Anderson n 879.3
1.86/4
0.74/1
K. Vincent-Young n 876.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Terry n 890.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
E. Iandolo n 880.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Payne n 884.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
H. Anderson n 879.3
0.32/0
00/0
F. Terry n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
K. Vincent-Young n 876.3
00/0
00/0
E. Iandolo n 880.5
00/0
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington STColchester
50%Possession50%
3.02Expected goals (xG)0.45
20Shots7
11Shots on target5
5Shots off target2
4Blocked shots0
15Shots inside the box5
9Corners4
0Offsides2
20Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves8
341Passes344
60%Pass accuracy67%

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Moulden9000000006
T. Moore9000220106.3
F. Rawson9000111106.3
Devon Matthews9000110106.2
C. O'Brien9001002307.2
D. Love9000001107.2
Joseph Anderson90000012Y6.5
C. Caton9020650008.6
J. Woods8700103206.2
S. Conneely8000211107.2
S. Whalley7501214407.5
C. Stockton sub1500100006.3
L. Coyle sub1000000006.9
Alex Henderson sub800000106.7

Colchester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Lo-Tutala9000000006.9
K. Vincent-Young9000000206.3
J. Tucker9000110106.5
S. Raggett9000100006.9
E. Iandolo9010112107.9
R. Hunt9010110108
O. Thorn9001001006.2
J. Payne9001114307.6
H. Anderson9000210006.3
B. Ihionvien7800000006.3
E. Bishop60000000–
P. Digby sub4500000106.5
J. Leake sub3900000206.5
L. Chiwome sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Colchester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
ColchesterWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 2 · 2 draws · Colchester 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-14 Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST
  • 2025-09-13 Accrington ST 1–0 Colchester
  • 2025-01-04 Colchester 0–2 Accrington ST
  • 2024-08-31 Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester
  • 2024-02-17 Colchester 1–1 Accrington ST
  • 2023-10-28 Accrington ST 0–1 Colchester
League standing · 2026/27
Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD
Colchester#23 pos12 pts13 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1.64
Colchester scored0.92
Accrington ST conceded1.21
Colchester conceded1.46

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Colchester?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Colchester was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Colchester?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 2, Colchester won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Colchester?
Recent form — Accrington ST 0W 2D 3L; Colchester 2W 0D 3L.

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