Accrington STGrimsby

Accrington ST v Grimsby result

Full-time · Accrington ST 2–2 Grimsby

League Two · · The Wham Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Accrington ST 2–2 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Accrington ST and Grimsby drew 2–2 at The Wham Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 1 September. Accrington ST are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Accrington ST: an own goal by J. Anderson (6’), Josh Woods (45’ pen) and Tyler Walton (60’, assisted by Donald Love); Grimsby: Andrew Cook (38’, assisted by Kieran Green).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Accrington ST, from fewer shots (12 to 19), created the better chances, 2.34 xG to 1.97 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Barlow showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Accrington ST: Shaun Whalley (70’), Josh Woods (89’), Devon Matthews (90+1’) and Joseph Anderson (90+8’); Grimsby: Cameron McJannet (76’).

What it changes

Accrington ST move up from 22nd to 21st (four league matches played).

Grimsby move down from fifth to eighth (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrew Cook (Grimsby) 7.6, Donald Love (Accrington ST) 7.0 and Tyler Walton (Accrington ST) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Accrington ST or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Accrington ST 2–2 Grimsby · League Two
  • Venue: The Wham Stadium · Accrington
  • Referee: M. Barlow
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 2 · draws 2 · Grimsby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 0W 1D 4L · Grimsby 1W 3D 1L

Accrington ST 2–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 7.14
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.88 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 0.86
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · M. Barlow
22.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7.14 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
13.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.71 for · 10.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.86 for · 11.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
0.86 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: M. Barlow — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Moulden490360 min102.5 /9092.3 /9000 /90
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 490
2.53/2

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Rawson490360 min30.8 /9030.8 /9041 /90256.3 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
Devon Matthews482329 min41.1 /9051.4 /9020.5 /90308.2 /9061.6 /9000 /90
T. Moore472289 min20.6 /9061.9 /9010.3 /90165 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
D. Matthews19090 min00 /9033 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
D. Love490360 min51.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90143.5 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 490
24/3
13/1
—
D. Love n 881.6
1.55/4
1.25/2
—
F. Rawson n 890
1.36/3
0.32/0
J. Sweeney
L. Moulden n 490
00/0
0.52/0
—
J. Woods n 889.6
1.57/4
15/3
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 490
2.54/3
D. Love n 881.6
1.16/2
F. Rawson n 890
0.95/1
J. Woods n 889.6
15/2
Devon Matthews n 883.9
1.66/3
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Woods489357 min10.3 /9000 /90112.8 /9020.5 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90
C. Caton472286 min20.6 /9000 /90134.1 /9072.2 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90
S. Whalley364193 min00 /9010.5 /9052.3 /9020.9 /9052.3 /9020.9 /90
C. Stockton334103 min00 /9000 /9032.6 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
T. Walton13535 min00 /9012.6 /9000 /9000 /9012.6 /9000 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Love n 881.6
0.73/2
00/0
F. Rawson n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
Joseph Anderson n 490
0.52/0
0.31/0
L. Moulden n 490
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 889.6
2.58/5
1.35/4
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Rawson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Joseph Anderson n 490
00/0
00/0
L. Moulden n 490
00/0
00/0
D. Love n 881.6
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 889.6
0.53/1
00/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Pym490360 min71.8 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pym n 885.4
0.93/0

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet490360 min51.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90215.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
H. Rodgers490360 min20.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90164 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
J. Sweeney490360 min184.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90307.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
M. Kacurri490360 min61.5 /9041 /9030.8 /90246 /9082 /9010.3 /90
G. Turi490359 min112.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90215.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kacurri n 890
1.54/4
0.42/1
—
J. Sweeney n 880.4
1.44/3
1.36/2
F. Rawson
C. McJannet n 890
15/1
0.85/1
—
H. Rodgers n 886.4
0.54/0
0.73/1
—
C. Pym n 885.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Sweeney n 880.4
3.47/6
M. Kacurri n 890
1.88/4
C. McJannet n 890
1.45/3
H. Rodgers n 886.4
16/2
G. Turi n 885.5
2.27/4
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Cook481324 min10.3 /9000 /9061.7 /9041.1 /9051.4 /9030.8 /90
Iwan Morgan42287 min00 /9000 /9044.1 /9011 /9011 /9077.2 /90
J. Andrews21631 min00 /9000 /9025.8 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /90
S. Finch14545 min00 /9000 /9024 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Turi490359 min00 /9020.5 /9000 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
0.84/2
0.53/1
H. Rodgers n 886.4
0.83/2
0.42/1
J. Sweeney n 880.4
0.64/0
0.11/0
M. Kacurri n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Pym n 885.4
00/0
00/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 886.4
0.32/0
00/0
C. McJannet n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Kacurri n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. Pym n 885.4
00/0
00/0
J. Sweeney n 880.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Accrington STGrimsby
45%Possession55%
2.34Expected goals (xG)1.97
12Shots19
5Shots on target7
5Shots off target10
2Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box13
2Corners8
4Offsides1
9Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves3
331Passes391
57%Pass accuracy64%

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Moulden9000000006.9
D. Matthews90000012Y6.2
F. Rawson9000000006.3
Joseph Anderson90000012Y6
L. Coyle9000001006.9
D. Love9001214306.9
J. Woods90101112Y7
Devon Matthews90000012Y7.3
T. Walton7710111007.3
C. Caton5800100006.2
D. Tutonda5700000206.2
Stefan Mols4500310306.6
Alex Henderson sub4500000106.7
C. Warren sub3200000006.2
S. Whalley sub29001100Y6.2
C. Grant sub1300000006.7
C. Stockton sub1300100006.2

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Rodgers9000100206.9
M. Kacurri9000001006.9
C. McJannet90001013Y7.3
J. Sweeney9000102207.2
G. Turi9000000606.7
S. Finch9000310106.2
A. Cook9010731106.9
K. Green7701004006.9
Ryley Reynolds6500001106.3
Iwan Morgan6500211006.9
C. Pym4500000006.9
S. Auton sub4500000006.5
C. Vernam sub2500220106.6
Cian Doyle sub2500000106.7
J. Walker sub1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
GrimsbyDLWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 2 · 2 draws · Grimsby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-11 Grimsby 1–0 Accrington ST
  • 2025-08-23 Accrington ST 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2025-01-01 Accrington ST 3–2 Grimsby
  • 2024-12-03 Grimsby 5–2 Accrington ST
  • 2024-02-03 Accrington ST 0–0 Grimsby
  • 2023-10-14 Grimsby 0–2 Accrington ST
League standing · 2026/27
Accrington ST#9 pos19 pts14 pl+6 GD
Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1.64
Grimsby scored1.71
Accrington ST conceded1.21
Grimsby conceded1.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Accrington ST v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Grimsby was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 2, Grimsby won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Grimsby?
Recent form — Accrington ST 0W 1D 4L; Grimsby 1W 3D 1L.

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