BarrowNewport County

Barrow v Newport County result

Full-time · Barrow 1–2 Newport County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barrow · Newport County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Barrow 1–2 Newport County — Newport County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.6% of 125 landed (95% range 78.4–90.7%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Newport County won 2–1 at Barrow in League Two on Saturday 2 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Barrow out-shot Newport County 24 to 16 and created the better chances, 3.07 xG to 1.66 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Newport County came from behind: Barrow led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Barrow: Charlie McCann (9’); Newport County: Thomas Davies (76’, assisted by J. Crole) and Bobby-Emmanuel Kamwa (83’, assisted by Sven Sprangler).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bobby-Emmanuel Kamwa’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

J. Miles showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Barrow: Charlie McCann (61’) and Joseph Anderson (80’); Newport County: Bobby-Emmanuel Kamwa (84’).

What it changes

Barrow stay 24th after this result (46 league matches played).

Newport County move up from 21st to 20th (46 league matches played).

Barrow have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Wright (Newport County) 7.6, Sven Sprangler (Newport County) 5.6 and Thomas Davies (Newport County) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Newport County to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Barrow next travel to Gillingham on 7 November 2026.

Newport County next host Walsall on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barrow: Gillingham v Barrow, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Newport County v Walsall, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barrow 1–2 Newport County · League Two
  • Referee: J. Miles
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Barrow 2 · draws 2 · Newport County 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barrow 1W 0D 4L · Newport County 2W 0D 3L

Barrow 1–2 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.63 / 6.63
Corners
against 6.38 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBarrow for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.25our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
8.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: J. Miles.

Barrow

Barrow Defensive

Barrow — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
0.64/1
—
B. Jackson n 884.4
0.94/1
0.54/0
M. Baker
E. Newby n 845.6
14/0
14/0
—
C. Raglan n 879.6
0.85/1
0.32/0
M. Baker
C. McCann n 870.8
0.63/1
0.53/0
B. Kamwa
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Barrow — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Stanway n 890
0.11/0
B. Jackson n 884.4
1.57/3
E. Newby n 845.6
37/2
C. Raglan n 879.6
1.15/3
C. McCann n 870.8
2.56/4
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Barrow Attacking

Barrow — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Stanway n 890
0.11/0
00/0
B. Jackson n 884.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
E. Newby n 845.6
0.72/1
00/0
C. Raglan n 879.6
0.73/1
00/0
C. McCann n 870.8
14/1
00/0
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Barrow — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Jackson n 884.4
00/0
00/0
E. Newby n 845.6
00/0
0.21/0
C. Raglan n 879.6
00/0
00/0
C. McCann n 870.8
00/0
00/0
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Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Tzanev12901080 min302.5 /90242 /9010.1 /90

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Davies30742205 min542.2 /90301.2 /9030.1 /901455.9 /90230.9 /9020.1 /90
Joe Thomas25591480 min452.7 /90231.4 /9040.2 /901076.5 /9060.4 /9000 /90
C. Brennan18601083 min211.7 /90131.1 /90151.2 /90645.3 /90141.2 /9010.1 /90
H. Ogunneye17811381 min221.4 /9090.6 /9070.5 /90684.4 /90201.3 /9030.2 /90
J. Clarke1468958 min40.4 /9050.5 /9060.6 /90535 /9050.5 /9000 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Baker n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
C. Raglan
J. Wright n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
B. Kamwa n 885.5
0.85/1
1.34/3
C. McCann
L. Jenkins n 868.9
0.84/1
1.56/3
—
C. Evans n 879.9
2.78/6
1.36/1
—
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
0.54/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
B. Kamwa n 885.5
0.53/1
L. Jenkins n 868.9
1.34/3
C. Evans n 879.9
2.38/4
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Spellman31541668 min40.2 /9010.1 /90311.7 /90140.8 /90120.6 /90271.5 /90
N. Opoku28561564 min60.3 /9030.2 /90261.5 /90140.8 /90201.2 /90231.3 /90
G. Garner23561290 min20.1 /9010.1 /90141 /9080.6 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90
M. Reindorf1756949 min00 /9010.1 /90131.2 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90161.5 /90
B. Kamwa35782729 min40.1 /9030.1 /90451.5 /90200.7 /90421.4 /90521.7 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Kamwa n 885.5
2.47/6
1.47/3
L. Jenkins n 868.9
0.74/0
0.32/0
C. Evans n 879.9
0.73/1
0.11/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Kamwa n 885.5
0.53/1
00/0
L. Jenkins n 868.9
0.21/0
00/0
C. Evans n 879.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarrowNewport County
60%Possession40%
3.07Expected goals (xG)1.66
24Shots16
7Shots on target4
9Shots off target7
8Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box13
6Corners4
1Offsides4
15Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves6
329Passes233
60%Pass accuracy53%

Barrow Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Killian Barrett9000000006.3
S. Smith9000212006.3
A. MacDonald9000101107.2
R. Harper9000410006.9
M. Williams9000101106.7
C. McCann90103210Y7.6
C. Raglan8500110307.2
D. Rose8500100007
B. Jackson7700111006.5
J. Gordon7700210105.9
K. Hemmings6600000006.2
E. Newby sub2400001106.3
B. Whitfield sub1400000006.7
J. Malcolm sub1400000006.5
Joseph Anderson sub13000010Y6.2
Isaac Fletcher sub1300000006.7

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000007.9
Joe Thomas9000000106.9
C. Brennan9000000006.9
M. Baker9000110206.9
S. Sprangler9001003107.5
C. Evans9000000407.3
H. Biggins9000006107.2
J. Crole9001311106.2
B. Kamwa89104121Y8.2
B. Lloyd8700102106.9
C. Jarvis4500001006.5
T. Davies sub4510210007.9
M. Spellman sub1200000006.6
M. Smith sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barrow v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarrowLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Newport CountyLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Barrow 2 · 2 draws · Newport County 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Newport County 2–2 Barrow
  • 2025-02-01 Newport County 1–0 Barrow
  • 2024-09-21 Barrow 2–0 Newport County
  • 2024-03-23 Barrow 1–0 Newport County
  • 2023-09-16 Newport County 1–1 Barrow
  • 2023-02-11 Barrow 0–1 Newport County
League standing · 2025/26
Barrow#24 pos36 pts46 pl-33 GD
Newport County#20 pos43 pts46 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Barrow scored0.98
Newport County scored1.04
Barrow conceded1.7
Newport County conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barrow v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barrow v Newport County was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Barrow and Newport County?
In their last 6 meetings, Barrow won 2, Newport County won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barrow and Newport County?
Recent form — Barrow 1W 0D 4L; Newport County 2W 0D 3L.

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