ColchesterRochdale

Colchester v Rochdale result

Full-time · Colchester 1–0 Rochdale

League Two · · Colchester Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Colchester · Rochdale

The model’s pre-match pick

Colchester 1–0 Rochdale — Colchester won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Colchester beat Rochdale 1–0 at Colchester Community Stadium in League Two on Saturday 29 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Colchester: Jaden Williams (87’, assisted by Kane Vincent-Young).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jaden Williams’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Colchester 1.29, Rochdale 1.20, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Bourne showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Colchester: Robert Hunt (37’); Rochdale: Harvey Gilmour (40’) and Daniel Moss (80’).

What it changes

Colchester stay second after this result (three league matches played).

Rochdale stay 24th after this result (three league matches played).

Colchester are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Rochdale are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ethan Ebanks-Landell (Rochdale) 6.6, Kane Vincent-Young (Colchester) 5.4 and Jaden Williams (Colchester) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Colchester or Rochdale (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Colchester next host Worcester City on 7 November 2026.

Rochdale next travel to Fleetwood Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Colchester: Colchester v Worcester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Colchester 1–0 Rochdale · League Two
  • Venue: Colchester Community Stadium · Colchester
  • Referee: D. Bourne
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Colchester 1 · draws 2 · Rochdale 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colchester 2W 1D 2L · Rochdale 0W 2D 3L

Colchester 1–0 Rochdale (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.33
Corners
against 5 / 7.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 3 matches
5.38 / 1.67
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 3 matches
1.5 / 3.17
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.83 yellows
Referee · D. Bourne
22 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameColchester for / againstLineRochdale for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.33 for · 7.33 against n 3
Shots
13.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
7 for · 15.67 against n 3
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
1.67 for · 6 against n 3
Fouls committed
11 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.67 for · 11.67 against n 3
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.17 for · 2.5 against n 6

Referee: D. Bourne — 3.83 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 22 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Colchester

Colchester Goalkeeper

Colchester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala392276 min123.9 /9051.6 /9000 /90
Colchester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 392
3.92/2

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Raggett392276 min00 /9020.7 /9000 /90196.2 /9041.3 /9000 /90
K. Vincent-Young389268 min41.3 /9031 /9031 /90134.4 /9031 /9010.3 /90
E. Iandolo386258 min31 /9010.3 /9000 /90217.3 /9062.1 /9010.3 /90
J. Tucker375225 min10.4 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90156 /9010.4 /9000 /90
J. Leake22957 min23.2 /9000 /9011.6 /90812.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Anderson n 881.8
1.47/3
0.32/0
—
S. Raggett n 392
1.33/1
0.72/0
E. Ebanks-Landell
J. Payne n 886
0.73/1
1.25/4
—
T. Lo-Tutala n 392
00/0
0.31/0
—
K. Vincent-Young n 875.3
1.27/1
0.95/1
E. Ebanks-Landell
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Payne n 886
2.27/6
H. Anderson n 881.8
1.14/3
S. Raggett n 392
00/0
K. Vincent-Young n 875.3
14/3
E. Iandolo n 880.5
26/5
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Ihionvien371214 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9041.7 /90
H. Anderson392276 min10.3 /9000 /90103.3 /9041.3 /9031 /9051.6 /90
J. Payne392276 min00 /9010.3 /9031 /9031 /9072.3 /9031 /90
O. Thorn383248 min00 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9000 /9062.2 /9041.5 /90
R. Hunt370209 min10.4 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Anderson n 881.8
2.26/5
16/1
J. Payne n 886
1.37/3
0.96/1
S. Raggett n 392
0.72/0
0.31/0
T. Lo-Tutala n 392
00/0
00/0
K. Vincent-Young n 875.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Anderson n 881.8
0.43/0
00/0
J. Payne n 886
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Raggett n 392
00/0
00/0
T. Lo-Tutala n 392
00/0
00/0
K. Vincent-Young n 875.3
00/0
00/0
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Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nils Ramming390270 min113.7 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 390
3.72/2

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Ebanks-Landell390270 min10.3 /9020.7 /9031 /9062 /9010.3 /9000 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90144.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
S. Sherring381243 min62.2 /9000 /9010.4 /90134.8 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
Kaiden Wilson346137 min21.3 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9063.9 /9032 /9010.7 /90
B. Bilongo272144 min42.5 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9095.6 /9031.9 /9021.3 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
0.84/2
0.42/1
K. Vincent-Young
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 390
0.71/1
1.32/1
—
Nils Ramming n 390
00/0
0.72/0
—
H. Gilmour n 382.3
1.12/1
1.82/2
—
S. Sherring n 381
0.72/0
1.12/1
—
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 390
1.73/2
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
1.15/2
H. Gilmour n 382.3
1.83/2
S. Sherring n 381
2.23/1
R. East n 380.7
1.53/1
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Dieseruvwe374223 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Brown369207 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9041.7 /90
Z. Silcott-Duberry259118 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
H. Gilmour382247 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
R. East381242 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 390
0.72/0
00/0
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
0.53/1
0.42/1
Nils Ramming n 390
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 382.3
00/0
00/0
S. Sherring n 381
0.41/0
00/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ebanks-Landell n 890
0.32/0
00/0
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 390
00/0
00/0
Nils Ramming n 390
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 382.3
00/0
00/0
S. Sherring n 381
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ColchesterRochdale
49%Possession51%
1.29Expected goals (xG)1.20
11Shots11
5Shots on target4
1Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box8
5Corners3
5Offsides1
10Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves4
374Passes397
77%Pass accuracy75%

Colchester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Tucker9000110006.9
H. Anderson9000111207.2
E. Iandolo9000001007.5
J. Payne9000211106.9
S. Raggett9000000007.2
T. Lo-Tutala9000000007.3
K. Vincent-Young9001001007.3
R. Hunt85000000Y6.6
M. Sesay7400001207.3
B. Ihionvien5700110006.3
O. Thorn5700001006.3
L. Chiwome sub3300001206.5
Jaden Williams sub3310111007.9
F. Terry sub1600000006.9
K. Connelly sub1100000006.7

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Adeeko9000000006.3
D. Brown9000110006.2
S. Sherring9000100106.5
Nils Ramming9000000007.3
Kaiden Wilson9000000106.2
E. Ebanks-Landell9000000507.5
D. Moss90001143Y7
R. East8800003106.6
H. Gilmour79001002Y6.9
Kane Taylor7900212006.3
Z. Silcott-Duberry6900000106.2
L. Hannant sub2100310106.5
E. Francis sub1100000006.5
J. Smith sub1100000006.2
E. Dieseruvwe sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ColchesterLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
RochdaleDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Colchester 1 · 2 draws · Rochdale 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2023-01-14 Rochdale 1–2 Colchester
  • 2022-09-24 Colchester 0–1 Rochdale
  • 2022-02-01 Colchester 1–1 Rochdale
  • 2021-08-27 Rochdale 1–1 Colchester
League standing · 2026/27
Colchester#23 pos12 pts13 pl-7 GD
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Colchester scored0.92
Rochdale scored1.21
Colchester conceded1.46
Rochdale conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Colchester v Rochdale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Rochdale was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Rochdale?
In their last 4 meetings, Colchester won 1, Rochdale won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Rochdale?
Recent form — Colchester 2W 1D 2L; Rochdale 0W 2D 3L.

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