CreweRochdale

Crewe v Rochdale result

Full-time · Crewe 3–2 Rochdale

League Two · · Mornflake Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crewe · Rochdale

The model’s pre-match pick

Crewe 3–2 Rochdale — Crewe won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.25 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Crewe beat Rochdale 3–2 at Mornflake Stadium in League Two on Saturday 17 October. Crewe are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Crewe led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Crewe: Matúš Holíček (39’, assisted by Jordan Gibson), Jordan Gibson (45’, assisted by Owen Lunt; 55’, assisted by Kyle Ure) and an own goal by Joel Tabiner (65’); Rochdale: Aden Flint (90’, assisted by Edward Francis).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Crewe 2.00, Rochdale 1.67, from 10 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Crewe: Joe White (50’).

What it changes

Crewe stay first after this result (11 league matches played). Crewe have scored 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Crewe have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Rochdale move down from 10th to 12th (11 league matches played). Rochdale have scored 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Rochdale have conceded 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Crewe have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Rochdale have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Gibson (Crewe) 12.8, Kyle Ure (Crewe) 7.1 and Matúš Holíček (Crewe) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Crewe are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rochdale, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Crewe or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Crewe next host AFC Wimbledon on 7 November 2026.

Rochdale next travel to Fleetwood Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crewe: Crewe v AFC Wimbledon, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crewe 3–2 Rochdale · League Two
  • Venue: Mornflake Stadium · Crewe, Cheshire
  • Referee: A. Jackson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Crewe 1 · draws 3 · Rochdale 0 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crewe 2W 3D 0L · Rochdale 3W 2D 0L

Crewe 3–2 Rochdale (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.13
Corners
against 5 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrewe for / againstLineRochdale for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
9.63 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: A. Jackson.

Crewe

Crewe Goalkeeper

Crewe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Booth12901080 min423.5 /9090.8 /9000 /90
Crewe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Booth n 890
3.27/6

Crewe Defensive

Crewe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Offord12871043 min141.2 /90272.3 /9080.7 /90645.5 /90141.2 /9010.1 /90
L. Billington12841010 min100.9 /90161.4 /9030.3 /90413.7 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Stephenson1086863 min80.8 /90222.3 /9050.5 /90545.6 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90
R. Hutchinson781564 min213.4 /9081.3 /9020.3 /90416.5 /9081.3 /9000 /90
M. Demetriou762437 min51 /9020.4 /90132.7 /90418.4 /9061.2 /9030.6 /90
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Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Booth n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
L. Offord n 890
1.37/3
1.87/4
Kaiden Wilson
L. Billington n 887.8
0.32/0
0.53/1
Kaiden Wilson
J. Gibson n 856
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
J. March n 888.4
0.95/1
2.86/5
D. Brown
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Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Offord n 890
1.35/3
L. Billington n 887.8
14/2
J. Gibson n 856
1.45/2
J. March n 888.4
14/3
J. Tabiner n 865.9
0.74/0
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Crewe Attacking

Crewe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. March1189977 min30.3 /9020.2 /90181.7 /9050.5 /90161.5 /9050.5 /90
A. Thibaut851409 min10.2 /9000 /9030.7 /9020.4 /9000 /9020.4 /90
C. McNeill839310 min00 /9010.3 /9092.6 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
J. Gibson1260723 min30.4 /9000 /90172.1 /9070.9 /90121.5 /90202.5 /90
J. Tabiner1160663 min00 /9040.5 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90
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Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Booth n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Offord n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
L. Billington n 887.8
0.65/0
0.11/0
J. Gibson n 856
26/3
14/1
J. March n 888.4
1.45/3
0.32/0
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Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Booth n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Offord n 890
0.11/0
00/0
L. Billington n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
J. Gibson n 856
0.63/0
00/0
J. March n 888.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nils Ramming1090900 min333.3 /9080.8 /9000 /90
Sam Waller19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 890
2.86/4

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kaiden Wilson1176834 min70.8 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90242.6 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling777542 min111.8 /9040.7 /9000 /90264.3 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90
C. Tasker690540 min91.5 /90101.7 /9030.5 /90213.5 /9071.2 /9000 /90
D. Moss685508 min61.1 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90244.3 /9040.7 /9020.4 /90
A. Flint590450 min20.4 /9010.2 /9081.6 /90234.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Brown n 886.1
1.76/4
1.66/4
J. March
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
15/2
0.43/0
L. Billington
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Gilmour n 879.8
27/4
1.46/3
—
B. Adeeko n 889.6
0.97/0
0.64/1
—
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 886.1
0.31/1
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
0.64/1
H. Gilmour n 879.8
2.37/6
B. Adeeko n 889.6
0.94/2
E. Dieseruvwe n 865.5
0.32/0
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Brown1181896 min30.3 /9020.2 /90202 /90101 /9050.5 /9090.9 /90
E. Dieseruvwe866524 min00 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
C. Hayes337112 min10.8 /9000 /9032.4 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
H. Gilmour1080798 min00 /9000 /9010.1 /9000 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
B. Adeeko982737 min10.1 /9010.1 /9050.6 /9010.1 /9020.2 /9040.5 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Brown n 886.1
2.28/5
0.96/1
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
B. Adeeko n 889.6
0.64/1
0.11/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 886.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
Kaiden Wilson n 887.1
00/0
00/0
Nils Ramming n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Gilmour n 879.8
00/0
00/0
B. Adeeko n 889.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CreweRochdale
40%Possession60%
2.00Expected goals (xG)1.67
10Shots13
4Shots on target3
3Shots off target3
3Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box6
1Corners7
1Offsides2
7Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves1
374Passes558
79%Pass accuracy82%

Crewe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Billington9000000206.5
O. Lunt9001001006.6
J. March9000101006.4
L. Offord9000001006.6
T. Booth9000000006.1
J. Stephenson9000000106.3
Kyle Ure7501102506
J. Gibson7521421208.9
J. Tabiner7500002105.7
J. White60000002Y6
M. Holíček4510320207.4
C. Thomas4500000206.1
Calum Agius3000100006.2
R. Hutchinson1500000005.8
A. Thibaut1500001106.7
Stan Dancey1500000105.9

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Flint9010212007.7
H. Gilmour9000000205.9
G. Middleton9000001006
Sam Waller9000000005.6
Kaiden Wilson9000002306.5
O. Adebayo-Rowling9000001106.6
Kane Taylor9000101605.7
B. Adeeko7900101006.3
D. Brown6300111106.3
C. Hayes6300400005.9
C. Tasker6300000106.4
S. Beckwith2700001105.9
E. Dieseruvwe2700210006.6
E. Francis2701201006
Z. Silcott-Duberry1100000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crewe v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CreweDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
RochdaleDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Crewe 1 · 3 draws · Rochdale 0 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2023-02-25 Crewe 1–1 Rochdale
  • 2022-07-30 Rochdale 1–2 Crewe
  • 2021-04-24 Crewe 1–1 Rochdale
  • 2021-01-09 Rochdale 3–3 Crewe
League standing · 2026/27
Crewe#4 pos22 pts14 pl0 GD
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Crewe scored1.21
Rochdale scored1.21
Crewe conceded1.21
Rochdale conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crewe v Rochdale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v Rochdale was Home or Draw (best price 1.25 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Rochdale?
In their last 4 meetings, Crewe won 1, Rochdale won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crewe and Rochdale?
Recent form — Crewe 2W 3D 0L; Rochdale 3W 2D 0L.

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