Exeter CityRotherham

Exeter City v Rotherham result

Full-time · Exeter City 1–0 Rotherham

League Two · · St James Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Exeter City · Rotherham

The model’s pre-match pick

Exeter City 1–0 Rotherham — Exeter City won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Total cards yellow under 5.5.

Free pick
Total cards yellow under 5.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Exeter City beat Rotherham 1–0 at St James Park in League Two on Saturday 3 October. It is Exeter City’s first win over Rotherham since 10 August 2024, after three meetings without one (the 4 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Exeter City: A. Scully (51’, assisted by George Birch).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Scully’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Exeter City 2.15, Rotherham 0.37, from 16 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Sandoe showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Exeter City: Luca Woodhouse (43’) and Charlie Cummins (90+2’); Rotherham: Dominic Iorfa (58’).

What it changes

Exeter City move up from 20th to 19th (nine league matches played). Exeter City have scored five goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Exeter City have conceded six goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Rotherham move down from 11th to 15th (nine league matches played). Rotherham have scored 11 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Rotherham have conceded 12 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Taylor (Exeter City) 7.5, Ossama Ashley (Rotherham) 7.0 and Luca Woodhouse (Exeter City) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rotherham are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Exeter City.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Total cards yellow under 5.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Exeter City next host Cheltenham on 14 November 2026.

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Exeter City: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Exeter City 1–0 Rotherham · League Two
  • Venue: St James Park · Exeter, Devon
  • Referee: L. Sandoe
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Exeter City 1 · draws 1 · Rotherham 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Exeter City 0W 3D 2L · Rotherham 1W 3D 1L

Exeter City 1–0 Rotherham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · L. Sandoe
19.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameExeter City for / againstLineRotherham for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: L. Sandoe — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bycroft991816 min293.2 /9070.8 /9000 /90
Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bycroft n 890
3.17/5

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Fitzwater991816 min182 /9080.9 /90161.8 /90647.1 /9091 /9010.1 /90
E. James889715 min70.9 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90546.8 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
L. Woodhouse789626 min172.4 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90456.5 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Ethan Sutherland650300 min61.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90154.5 /9061.8 /9020.6 /90
L. Samuel572362 min61.5 /9051.2 /9000 /90133.2 /9010.2 /9000 /90
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Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Fitzwater n 890
14/2
0.63/2
Sonny Aljofree
C. Cummins n 890
0.95/2
2.48/5
—
J. Bycroft n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Cole n 887.9
14/3
0.54/0
—
G. Edwards n 866.5
26/4
1.56/3
—
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Fitzwater n 890
1.98/4
C. Cummins n 890
1.36/3
R. Cole n 887.9
15/2
G. Edwards n 866.5
2.47/3
E. James n 889.4
0.94/2
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Cole986775 min10.1 /9000 /90121.4 /9060.7 /90202.3 /9040.5 /90
J. Gordon867538 min00 /9000 /90111.8 /9050.8 /9061 /9040.7 /90
D. Rose464256 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
S. Cox438153 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Wareham392276 min00 /9000 /9082.6 /9031 /9000 /9000 /90
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Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Fitzwater n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
C. Cummins n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Bycroft n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Cole n 887.9
1.56/4
0.83/2
G. Edwards n 866.5
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Fitzwater n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Bycroft n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Cummins n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Cole n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
G. Edwards n 866.5
00/0
0.21/0
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Rotherham

Rotherham Goalkeeper

Rotherham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Cann691544 min172.8 /90101.7 /9000 /90
J. Eyestone390270 min51.7 /9031 /9000 /90
Rotherham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Cann n 890.5
3.17/4
J. Eyestone n 390
1.72/1

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Hall988796 min202.3 /90121.4 /9030.3 /90455.1 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
Sonny Aljofree988796 min111.2 /90131.5 /9060.7 /90465.2 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
E. Otoo891724 min101.2 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90394.8 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
J. Rafferty535174 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9094.7 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Ngwenya458231 min20.8 /9010.4 /9000 /9093.5 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90
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Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sonny Aljofree n 887.8
0.93/2
0.64/1
J. Fitzwater
D. Hall n 890
0.84/1
0.53/1
—
E. Otoo n 890.5
0.74/2
0.22/0
—
Brandon Ashley Cover n 877.6
0.94/2
15/1
—
Fábio Tavares n 877.4
0.64/0
0.64/0
—
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
2.37/6
Sonny Aljofree n 887.8
1.37/2
E. Otoo n 890.5
1.25/4
Brandon Ashley Cover n 877.6
2.57/3
Fábio Tavares n 877.4
0.31/1
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Fábio Tavares877619 min20.3 /9010.1 /90121.7 /9071 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90
P. Mullin870556 min40.6 /9000 /90152.4 /90101.6 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
T. Bradshaw837294 min10.3 /9000 /9061.8 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9000 /90
George Sebine23570 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9022.6 /9000 /90
Brandon Ashley Cover878621 min10.1 /9000 /9050.7 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
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Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Sonny Aljofree n 887.8
00/0
00/0
E. Otoo n 890.5
0.74/2
0.11/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 877.6
0.74/1
0.32/0
Fábio Tavares n 877.4
1.77/2
16/1
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 887.8
00/0
00/0
E. Otoo n 890.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 877.6
0.11/0
00/0
Fábio Tavares n 877.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Exeter CityRotherham
48%Possession52%
2.15Expected goals (xG)0.37
16Shots7
7Shots on target0
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box6
8Corners2
3Offsides0
8Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves5
353Passes397
69%Pass accuracy67%

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Cummins90001103Y7.2
J. Doyle-Hayes9000000107.2
J. Fitzwater9000210107.3
L. Samuel9000001107.2
J. Bycroft9000001006.7
L. Woodhouse90000014Y7.5
J. Taylor9000000107.1
Jack Taylor9000000107.6
J. Gordon8500320006.6
T. Perry8000202106.9
George Birch7901001007.7
A. Scully6510222007.9
G. Edwards sub2500001006.6
S. Cox sub1200000006.5
Ethan Sutherland sub1100100106.7
Liam Oakes sub1000110006.5

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Mullin9000202006.7
Sonny Aljofree9000000006.6
O. Ashley9000001407.5
J. Austerfield9000100406.7
J. Buyabu9000100106.3
D. Hall9000001006.9
D. Iorfa90001011Y7.3
J. Eyestone9000000006.9
Marvin Marvellous Kaleta6900001206.7
K. Ngwenya6900000006.9
Jayce Fitzgerald5800000005.9
T. Bradshaw sub3200000006.2
A. Nemane sub2100000006.2
K. Spence sub2100000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Exeter City v Rotherham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Exeter CityDDLDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
RotherhamDLDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Exeter City 1 · 1 draw · Rotherham 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Exeter City 0–4 Rotherham
  • 2025-09-06 Rotherham 1–0 Exeter City
  • 2025-03-15 Rotherham 1–1 Exeter City
  • 2024-08-10 Exeter City 1–0 Rotherham
League standing · 2026/27
Exeter City#12 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Rotherham#22 pos12 pts14 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Exeter City scored0.79
Rotherham scored1.29
Exeter City conceded0.64
Rotherham conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Exeter City v Rotherham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Exeter City v Rotherham was Total cards yellow under 5.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Exeter City and Rotherham?
In their last 4 meetings, Exeter City won 1, Rotherham won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Exeter City and Rotherham?
Recent form — Exeter City 0W 3D 2L; Rotherham 1W 3D 1L.

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