GrimsbyExeter City

Grimsby v Exeter City result

Full-time · Grimsby 1–0 Exeter City

League Two · · Blundell Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Exeter City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 1–0 Exeter City — Grimsby won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby beat Exeter City 1–0 at Blundell Park in League Two on Saturday 15 August. Grimsby have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: Harvey Rodgers (35’, assisted by Charles Vernam).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harvey Rodgers’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Grimsby 1.89, Exeter City 1.11, from 21 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Byrne showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: Cameron McJannet (43’); Exeter City: Jake Doyle-Hayes (23’).

What it changes

Grimsby are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Grimsby have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 18 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Exeter City are 18th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Exeter City have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Exeter City have conceded nine goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.

It is Grimsby’s first win over Exeter City since 28 September 2019, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Exeter City are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harvey Rodgers (Grimsby) 7.1, Charles Vernam (Grimsby) 6.6 and Jackson Fitzwater (Exeter City) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Exeter City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Grimsby.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby or Exeter City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Exeter City next travel to Huddersfield on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Exeter City: Huddersfield v Exeter City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 1–0 Exeter City · League Two
  • Venue: Blundell Park · Cleethorpes
  • Referee: A. Byrne
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 2 · draws 1 · Exeter City 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 1W 2D 2L · Exeter City 0W 3D 2L

Grimsby 1–0 Exeter City (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.14 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 2
Cards
against 1.57 / 1 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · A. Byrne
20.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineExeter City for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.29 for · 10.86 against n 7
19.5standard
9.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.71 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.13 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 10.86 against n 7
21.5standard
13.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: A. Byrne — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 20.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Pym19090 min11 /9033 /9000 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pym n 885.4
0.72/0

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Rodgers19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Sweeney19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Kacurri19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Vernam19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Cook n 885.8
1.46/3
0.85/1
J. Wareham
M. Kacurri n 890
0.83/1
0.11/0
L. Woodhouse
J. Sweeney n 870.6
0.82/2
1.14/2
E. James
C. Vernam n 856.1
0.62/1
0.62/1
—
C. McJannet n 890
0.54/0
0.95/2
J. Fitzwater
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Sweeney n 870.6
2.26/4
M. Kacurri n 890
2.17/6
C. McJannet n 890
1.36/3
H. Rodgers n 879
15/2
C. Vernam n 856.1
0.41/1
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Cook19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
Iwan Morgan12929 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9039.3 /90
C. Vernam19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
G. Turi18989 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
K. Green17575 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cook n 885.8
26/4
0.52/2
C. Vernam n 856.1
14/1
0.83/1
H. Rodgers n 879
0.62/2
0.42/1
C. McJannet n 890
0.53/1
0.53/1
J. Sweeney n 870.6
0.21/0
00/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Vernam n 856.1
0.63/0
0.21/0
A. Cook n 885.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 879
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. McJannet n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Kacurri n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Exeter City

Exeter City Goalkeeper

Exeter City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bycroft19696 min43.8 /9021.9 /9000 /90
Exeter City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bycroft n 891.6
5.27/6

Exeter City Defensive

Exeter City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. James19696 min32.8 /9000 /9000 /9087.5 /9021.9 /9000 /90
J. Fitzwater19696 min32.8 /9010.9 /9043.8 /9076.6 /9010.9 /9000 /90
L. Woodhouse19696 min10.9 /9021.9 /9000 /9054.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Ethan Sutherland12222 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9028.2 /9028.2 /90
A. Oluwabori19696 min10.9 /9000 /9000 /9065.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Wareham n 891.6
2.98/8
14/2
A. Cook
C. Cummins n 882.5
1.46/3
16/1
—
E. James n 881
1.16/2
1.46/3
J. Sweeney
L. Woodhouse n 873
0.85/0
1.46/2
M. Kacurri
J. Fitzwater n 884
0.74/1
0.73/1
C. McJannet
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Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cummins n 882.5
2.57/5
E. James n 881
1.95/4
J. Fitzwater n 884
1.75/4
A. Oluwabori n 544.6
1.22/1
L. Woodhouse n 873
1.15/1
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Exeter City Attacking

Exeter City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Cole17272 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
J. Gordon13131 min00 /9000 /9025.8 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Oluwabori19696 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9043.8 /90
C. Cummins19696 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9021.9 /9021.9 /90
T. Perry16565 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /90
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Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wareham n 891.6
2.17/5
0.95/1
A. Oluwabori n 544.6
1.22/1
00/0
E. James n 881
0.64/0
0.11/0
C. Cummins n 882.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
L. Woodhouse n 873
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Exeter City before kick-off, to 10 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Wareham n 891.6
0.42/1
00/0
L. Woodhouse n 873
00/0
0.21/0
J. Bycroft n 891.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Fitzwater n 884
00/0
00/0
C. Cummins n 882.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyExeter City
53%Possession47%
1.89Expected goals (xG)1.11
21Shots8
4Shots on target2
11Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box7
6Corners3
4Offsides6
15Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
385Passes347
69%Pass accuracy70%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Pym9000000007.7
H. Rodgers9010312107.9
M. Kacurri9000000107.2
C. McJannet90002004Y7.2
J. Sweeney9000102607.6
G. Turi9000001106.9
C. Vernam9001213108.2
K. Green8400000006.5
A. Cook7400110106.3
Justin Amaluzor6800100006.7
C. Doyle6800002206.5
Ryley Reynolds sub2200001006.6
Iwan Morgan sub2200200006.3
J. Andrews sub1600201006.2
J. Walker sub1100110006.9

Exeter City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bycroft9000000007.2
E. James9000101006.6
J. Fitzwater9000110307.9
L. Woodhouse9000000307.5
C. Cummins9000000206.6
R. Cole9000003107
J. Wareham9000410007.3
T. Perry8100000206.3
V. Harper5900000206.6
A. Oluwabori5800000006.2
J. Doyle-Hayes58000000Y6.7
L. Samuel sub3200100006.6
J. Gordon sub3200000006.9
G. Edwards sub3100001106.6
G. Birch sub900001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Exeter City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Exeter CityDDDLL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 2 · 1 draw · Exeter City 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2021-04-27 Exeter City 3–2 Grimsby
  • 2020-12-01 Grimsby 1–4 Exeter City
  • 2020-01-18 Grimsby 0–1 Exeter City
  • 2019-09-28 Exeter City 1–3 Grimsby
  • 2018-12-29 Exeter City 1–2 Grimsby
  • 2018-10-20 Grimsby 0–0 Exeter City
League standing · 2026/27
Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD
Exeter City#12 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.71
Exeter City scored0.79
Grimsby conceded1.29
Exeter City conceded0.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Exeter City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Exeter City was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Exeter City?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 2, Exeter City won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Exeter City?
Recent form — Grimsby 1W 2D 2L; Exeter City 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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