GrimsbyShrewsbury

Grimsby v Shrewsbury result

Full-time · Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury

League Two · · Blundell Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury — Shrewsbury won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.62 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Shrewsbury won 2–1 at Blundell Park in League Two on Saturday 3 October. Grimsby have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Shrewsbury led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Shrewsbury: George Lloyd (19’, assisted by William Boyle) and K. M. Brown (60’, assisted by William Boyle); Grimsby: Finley Cartwright (75’, assisted by Iwan Morgan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Finley Cartwright’s goal on 75 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Grimsby out-shot Shrewsbury 21 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.05 xG to 1.18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

M. Corlett showed seven yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: Cian Doyle (58’); Shrewsbury: Kevin Berkoe (26’), Isaac Fletcher (50’), K. M. Brown (56’), Joshua Ruffels (74’), George Lloyd (75’) and Joshua Davison (90+4’).

What it changes

Grimsby move down from fifth to eighth (nine league matches played). Grimsby have scored 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Shrewsbury move up from 18th to 13th (nine league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Shrewsbury are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, William Boyle (Shrewsbury) 9.6, Thomas Sang (Shrewsbury) 6.6 and Iwan Morgan (Grimsby) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Grimsby are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Shrewsbury, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Shrewsbury next travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury · League Two
  • Venue: Blundell Park · Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
  • Referee: M. Corlett
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Grimsby 2 · draws 1 · Shrewsbury 0 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 2W 2D 1L · Shrewsbury 1W 2D 2L

Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.63 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.57 yellows
Referee · M. Corlett
22.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineShrewsbury for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: M. Corlett — 4.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Pym784585 min132 /9060.9 /9000 /90
D. Harrington290180 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Auton14545 min12 /9012 /9000 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pym n 884.4
1.75/1

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet990810 min121.3 /9091 /9030.3 /90707.8 /9091 /9020.2 /90
M. Kacurri990810 min131.4 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90566.2 /90161.8 /9020.2 /90
J. Sweeney988793 min212.4 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90525.9 /90141.6 /9010.1 /90
H. Rodgers988788 min80.9 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90485.5 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
E. Pruti12222 min14.1 /9014.1 /9000 /90624.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kacurri n 890
27/5
0.96/1
—
C. McJannet n 890
1.15/2
0.85/1
W. Boyle
J. Sweeney n 887.9
1.86/5
1.38/2
W. Boyle
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.54/0
1.26/3
W. Boyle
K. Green n 887.5
15/2
0.53/1
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
1.44/4
M. Kacurri n 890
1.37/2
J. Sweeney n 887.9
25/4
H. Rodgers n 887.3
16/2
K. Green n 887.5
0.32/0
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Iwan Morgan941366 min10.2 /9010.2 /90133.2 /9030.7 /9061.5 /90133.2 /90
A. Cook871564 min20.3 /9000 /90172.7 /9091.4 /9081.3 /9050.8 /90
S. Finch657343 min00 /9000 /9082.1 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Andrews21631 min00 /9000 /9025.8 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /90
K. Green986775 min30.3 /9020.2 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90161.9 /9020.2 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
0.42/1
00/0
M. Kacurri n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Sweeney n 887.9
0.65/0
0.32/0
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.95/1
0.32/0
K. Green n 887.5
0.63/2
0.43/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Kacurri n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Sweeney n 887.9
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 887.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Goalkeeper

Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
William Michael Brook990810 min131.4 /90101.1 /9000 /90
Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
William Michael Brook n 890
1.43/2

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Boyle990810 min111.2 /9030.3 /9091 /90677.4 /9091 /9020.2 /90
J. Ruffels682494 min71.3 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90305.5 /9020.4 /9000 /90
S. Stubbs490360 min20.5 /9092.3 /9020.5 /90276.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
T. Anderson475300 min41.2 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90195.7 /9041.2 /9020.6 /90
I. Lee15252 min23.5 /9023.5 /9000 /9046.9 /9023.5 /9011.7 /90
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Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Boyle n 890
15/3
0.86/0
H. Rodgers
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Hoole n 887.8
15/3
0.65/0
—
K. Berkoe n 887
0.85/1
0.65/0
—
T. Sang n 881.8
0.84/2
0.64/0
—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
1.36/2
L. Hoole n 887.8
2.28/5
K. Berkoe n 887
1.45/4
T. Sang n 881.8
1.55/2
J. Davison n 883.3
0.74/1
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Davison883666 min10.1 /9000 /90111.5 /9050.7 /9010.1 /9020.3 /90
Isaac Fletcher779551 min10.2 /9000 /9081.3 /9030.5 /90111.8 /9000 /90
G. Lloyd766462 min10.2 /9000 /90122.3 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
J. Gbode643258 min00 /9000 /9072.4 /9031 /9010.3 /9072.4 /90
K. M. Brown474294 min10.3 /9000 /90123.7 /9041.2 /9010.3 /9061.8 /90
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Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
1.46/4
0.64/1
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Hoole n 887.8
0.63/1
0.42/1
K. Berkoe n 887
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Sang n 881.8
0.43/0
00/0
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 26 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.11/0
00/0
William Michael Brook n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Hoole n 887.8
0.11/0
00/0
K. Berkoe n 887
0.11/0
00/0
T. Sang n 881.8
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyShrewsbury
63%Possession37%
2.05Expected goals (xG)1.18
21Shots9
5Shots on target4
6Shots off target4
10Blocked shots1
13Shots inside the box8
8Corners6
2Offsides0
13Fouls25
1Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
2Saves3
390Passes221
68%Pass accuracy49%

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Justin Amaluzor9000000206.2
K. Green9000102306.3
C. McJannet9000000206.9
E. Pruti9000110106.9
H. Rodgers9000101006.3
J. Sweeney9000102007
C. Pym9000000006.3
A. Cook8900310006.9
J. Walker8900000407.2
C. Vernam6100321107
Cian Doyle61000010Y6.2
Iwan Morgan sub2901004207.6
F. Cartwright sub2910110207.9
S. Finch sub10000000–
Ryley Reynolds sub10000000–

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Stubbs9000110207.6
K. Berkoe90000022Y7.3
W. Boyle9002212107.9
L. Hoole9000000106.3
G. Lloyd90101102Y6.9
J. Ruffels90000002Y7.2
T. Sang9000003307
William Michael Brook9000000005.6
K. M. Brown90102113Y6.7
Isaac Fletcher80002001Y6.7
J. Turner-Cooke8000002107
J. Davison sub10000000Y6.3
W. Gary sub1000000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
ShrewsburyLLWDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Grimsby 2 · 1 draw · Shrewsbury 0 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-12-29 Grimsby 1–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2025-12-09 Shrewsbury 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2025-08-12 Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury
League standing · 2026/27
Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD
Shrewsbury#15 pos18 pts14 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.71
Shrewsbury scored1.21
Grimsby conceded1.29
Shrewsbury conceded1.57

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury was Home win (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Shrewsbury?
In their last 3 meetings, Grimsby won 2, Shrewsbury won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Grimsby 2W 2D 1L; Shrewsbury 1W 2D 2L.

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