Grimsby v Shrewsbury result
Team pages: Grimsby · Shrewsbury
The model’s pre-match pick
Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury — Shrewsbury won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Shrewsbury won 2–1 at Blundell Park in League Two on Saturday 3 October. Grimsby have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Shrewsbury led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Shrewsbury: George Lloyd (19’, assisted by William Boyle) and K. M. Brown (60’, assisted by William Boyle); Grimsby: Finley Cartwright (75’, assisted by Iwan Morgan).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Finley Cartwright’s goal on 75 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Grimsby out-shot Shrewsbury 21 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.05 xG to 1.18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
M. Corlett showed seven yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: Cian Doyle (58’); Shrewsbury: Kevin Berkoe (26’), Isaac Fletcher (50’), K. M. Brown (56’), Joshua Ruffels (74’), George Lloyd (75’) and Joshua Davison (90+4’).
What it changes
Grimsby move down from fifth to eighth (nine league matches played). Grimsby have scored 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Shrewsbury move up from 18th to 13th (nine league matches played). Shrewsbury have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Shrewsbury have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Shrewsbury are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, William Boyle (Shrewsbury) 9.6, Thomas Sang (Shrewsbury) 6.6 and Iwan Morgan (Grimsby) 6.4 led the match.
Head-to-head
Grimsby are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Shrewsbury, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Grimsby to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.
Shrewsbury next travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury · League Two
- Venue: Blundell Park · Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
- Referee: M. Corlett
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Grimsby 2 · draws 1 · Shrewsbury 0 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Grimsby 2W 2D 1L · Shrewsbury 1W 2D 2L
Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Grimsby for / against | Line | Shrewsbury for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.25 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Corlett — 4.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 7 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Grimsby
Grimsby Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pym | 7 | 84585 min | 132 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Harrington | 2 | 90180 min | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Auton | 1 | 4545 min | 12 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Pym n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 |
Grimsby Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet | 9 | 90810 min | 121.3 /90 | 91 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 707.8 /90 | 91 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| M. Kacurri | 9 | 90810 min | 131.4 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 566.2 /90 | 161.8 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| J. Sweeney | 9 | 88793 min | 212.4 /90 | 111.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 525.9 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| H. Rodgers | 9 | 88788 min | 80.9 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 485.5 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| E. Pruti | 1 | 2222 min | 14.1 /90 | 14.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 624.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.8 | W. Boyle |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 87.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | W. Boyle |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 87.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | W. Boyle |
| K. Green n 8 | 87.5 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 87.9 | 2 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 87.3 | 1 |
| K. Green n 8 | 87.5 | 0.3 |
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Grimsby Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iwan Morgan | 9 | 41366 min | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 133.2 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 133.2 /90 |
| A. Cook | 8 | 71564 min | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 172.7 /90 | 91.4 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 50.8 /90 |
| S. Finch | 6 | 57343 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.1 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Andrews | 2 | 1631 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 25.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Green | 9 | 86775 min | 30.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 161.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 87.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 87.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| K. Green n 8 | 87.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 87.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 87.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| K. Green n 8 | 87.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
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Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michael Brook | 9 | 90810 min | 131.4 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
Shrewsbury Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle | 9 | 90810 min | 111.2 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 91 /90 | 677.4 /90 | 91 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| J. Ruffels | 6 | 82494 min | 71.3 /90 | 101.8 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 305.5 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Stubbs | 4 | 90360 min | 20.5 /90 | 92.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 276.8 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| T. Anderson | 4 | 75300 min | 41.2 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 195.7 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| I. Lee | 1 | 5252 min | 23.5 /90 | 23.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 46.9 /90 | 23.5 /90 | 11.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.8 | H. Rodgers |
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 87.8 | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 0.8 | 0.6 | — |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 87.8 | 2.2 |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 1.4 |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 1.5 |
| J. Davison n 8 | 83.3 | 0.7 |
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Shrewsbury Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davison | 8 | 83666 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.5 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| Isaac Fletcher | 7 | 79551 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 111.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Lloyd | 7 | 66462 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 122.3 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| J. Gbode | 6 | 43258 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 72.4 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 72.4 /90 |
| K. M. Brown | 4 | 74294 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 123.7 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 61.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 87.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Boyle n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| William Michael Brook n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Hoole n 8 | 87.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Berkoe n 8 | 87 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Sang n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Grimsby | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 2.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.18 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 25 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 390 | Passes | 221 |
| 68% | Pass accuracy | 49% |
Grimsby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Amaluzor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Green | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. McJannet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Pruti | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Rodgers | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Sweeney | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Pym | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Cook | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Walker | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Vernam | 61 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Cian Doyle | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Iwan Morgan sub | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| F. Cartwright sub | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| S. Finch sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| Ryley Reynolds sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Shrewsbury Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Stubbs | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| K. Berkoe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| W. Boyle | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| L. Hoole | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| G. Lloyd | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| J. Ruffels | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| T. Sang | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| William Michael Brook | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| K. M. Brown | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| Isaac Fletcher | 80 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Turner-Cooke | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Davison sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| W. Gary sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Grimsby v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-29 Grimsby 1–0 Shrewsbury
- 2025-12-09 Shrewsbury 1–1 Grimsby
- 2025-08-12 Grimsby 3–1 Shrewsbury
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Shrewsbury was Home win (best price 1.62 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Shrewsbury?
- In their last 3 meetings, Grimsby won 2, Shrewsbury won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Grimsby and Shrewsbury?
- Recent form — Grimsby 2W 2D 1L; Shrewsbury 1W 2D 2L.
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