Newport CountyRochdale

Newport County v Rochdale result

Full-time · Newport County 3–0 Rochdale

League Two · · Rodney Parade

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Newport County 3–0 Rochdale — Newport County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Newport County beat Rochdale 3–0 at Rodney Parade in League Two on Saturday 15 August. Newport County are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Rochdale are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Newport County led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Newport County: Kyle Cameron (18’, assisted by Y. Bamba), Shaquille Gwengwe (38’, assisted by Harrison Biggins) and Y. Bamba (90’). Bryant Bilongo (66’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kyle Cameron’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Newport County 0.00, Rochdale 0.00, from 12 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Blair showed six yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newport County: Lee Jenkins (86’) and Alfie Merritt (90+5’); Rochdale: Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling (34’), Bryant Bilongo (42’), Luke Hannant (53’) and Bryant Bilongo (66’).

What it changes

Newport County are first after this result (one league match played).

Rochdale are 24th after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Y. Bamba (Newport County) 9.5, Harrison Biggins (Newport County) 6.0 and Ciaran Brennan (Newport County) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rochdale are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Newport County, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.

Rochdale next host York on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Newport County 3–0 Rochdale · League Two
  • Venue: Rodney Parade · Newport
  • Referee: H. Blair
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Newport County 0 · draws 1 · Rochdale 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newport County 3W 1D 1L · Rochdale 1W 3D 1L

Newport County 3–0 Rochdale (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Newport CountyRochdale
32%Possession68%
12Shots5
6Shots on target0
4Shots off target2
2Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box3
9Corners6
2Offsides1
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Saves3
205Passes471
65%Pass accuracy84%

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000107.2
C. Norman9000001007.6
L. Jenkins90001113Y7.6
K. Cameron9010111007.7
T. Davies9000002107.2
C. Brennan9000210307.3
Y. Bamba9011211208.6
H. Biggins9001102208
C. Evans8800000306.9
Shaquille Gwengwe8010111007.2
C. Doidge6500110006.5
Alfie Merritt sub25001000Y6.5
G. Garner sub1000000006.7
M. Smith sub800000006.3

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Nils Ramming9000000005.6
O. Adebayo-Rowling90001002Y5.6
E. Ebanks-Landell9000000006.2
S. Sherring9000000106.6
D. Brown9000000006.2
D. Rodney9000100205.9
R. East7000000206.7
H. Gilmour7000000206.2
E. Dieseruvwe7000000006.3
B. Bilongo66000010RY5.2
L. Hannant62000012Y6
Z. Silcott-Duberry sub2800000006.2
Kaiden Wilson sub2000000206.5
B. Adeeko sub2000000006.5
E. Francis sub2000001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newport County v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Newport CountyWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
RochdaleDWDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Newport County 0 · 1 draw · Rochdale 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2023-01-07 Rochdale 1–1 Newport County
  • 2022-10-08 Newport County 0–1 Rochdale
  • 2022-05-07 Newport County 0–2 Rochdale
  • 2021-12-18 Rochdale 3–0 Newport County
League standing · 2026/27
Newport County#14 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Newport County scored1.43
Rochdale scored1.21
Newport County conceded1.21
Rochdale conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Newport County v Rochdale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v Rochdale was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Rochdale?
In their last 4 meetings, Newport County won 0, Rochdale won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Rochdale?
Recent form — Newport County 3W 1D 1L; Rochdale 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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