Newport CountyYork

Newport County v York result

Full-time · Newport County 1–1 York

League Two · · Rodney Parade

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Newport County 1–1 York — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home saves under 4.5.

Free pick
Home saves under 4.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Newport County and York drew 1–1 at Rodney Parade in League Two on Saturday 17 October. Newport County are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. York are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

York led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — York: Ollie Pearce (4’, assisted by Alexander Hunt); Newport County: K. Etete (54’, assisted by Tanatswa Nyakuhwa). Jovan Malcolm (24’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Etete’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Newport County 1.04, York 1.09, from 18 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Hair showed five yellow cards and one red — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newport County: Matthew Dibley-Dias (17’), Harrison Biggins (79’) and K. Etete (87’); York: Ollie Pearce (47’) and Joseph Grey (53’).

What it changes

Newport County stay 11th after this result (11 league matches played). Newport County have scored 14 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Newport County have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

York move up from fifth to fourth (10 league matches played). York have scored 18 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). York have conceded 12 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ollie Pearce (York) 5.5, Alexander Hunt (York) 5.2 and Alfie Shane McNally (York) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Newport County saves under 4.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Newport County next host Walsall on 7 November 2026.

York next host Northampton on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newport County: Newport County v Walsall, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for York: York v Northampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Newport County 1–1 York · League Two
  • Venue: Rodney Parade · Newport
  • Referee: N. Hair
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Newport County 2W 3D 0L · York 2W 2D 1L

Newport County 1–1 York (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 6.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.38 yellows
Referee · N. Hair
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNewport County for / againstLineYork for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 15.13 against n 8
21.5standard
8.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: N. Hair — 4.38 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Wright1090900 min282.8 /90111.1 /9000 /90
Newport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Wright n 890
2.97/5

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Cameron1090900 min171.7 /9060.6 /9070.7 /90454.5 /9070.7 /9000 /90
L. Jenkins1090900 min151.5 /9080.8 /9070.7 /90737.3 /90101 /9010.1 /90
C. Norman1088881 min151.5 /9030.3 /9050.5 /90747.6 /90191.9 /9030.3 /90
M. Jacob685512 min91.6 /9061.1 /9000 /90376.5 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
Joe Thomas562309 min41.2 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90123.5 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jenkins n 890
0.85/1
0.94/2
—
K. Cameron n 890
0.63/2
0.53/1
—
J. Wright n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Biggins n 888.8
0.64/1
27/6
O. Pearce
C. Brennan n 888.5
1.15/3
1.46/3
O. Banks
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Cameron n 890
1.88/4
L. Jenkins n 890
1.35/2
H. Biggins n 888.8
0.85/1
C. Brennan n 888.5
3.48/7
C. Norman n 887.6
1.57/3
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Doidge777541 min20.3 /9020.3 /90111.8 /9030.5 /9050.8 /9000 /90
T. Nyakuhwa22244 min12 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9012 /90
H. Biggins1089889 min20.2 /9020.2 /90141.4 /9050.5 /90171.7 /9070.7 /90
C. Brennan1089888 min00 /9010.1 /9050.5 /9030.3 /9030.3 /9030.3 /90
Shaquille Gwengwe882655 min50.7 /9000 /9071 /9050.7 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 890
14/3
0.11/0
K. Cameron n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 888.8
1.37/2
0.53/1
C. Brennan n 888.5
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Cameron n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 888.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Brennan n 888.5
00/0
0.11/0
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York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally1090900 min242.4 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
2.55/3

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Kitching987783 min121.4 /9050.6 /9030.3 /90263 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
R. Fallowfield882657 min121.6 /90182.5 /9071 /90253.4 /9071 /9010.1 /90
Z. Johnson781570 min40.6 /9081.3 /9081.3 /90325.1 /9050.8 /9000 /90
J. King740277 min61.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
M. Williams690540 min71.2 /9061 /9061 /90254.2 /90111.8 /9030.5 /90
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York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
O. Banks n 888.8
1.37/2
1.46/3
C. Brennan
O. Pearce n 886.4
0.86/0
15/2
H. Biggins
J. Grey n 880
0.64/0
2.48/5
—
A. Hunt n 873
0.53/0
1.15/2
—
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York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Banks n 888.8
1.45/4
O. Pearce n 886.4
0.75/0
J. Grey n 880
1.56/4
A. Hunt n 873
1.86/2
A. Newby n 878.1
0.73/1
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York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Pearce1087871 min40.4 /9040.4 /90222.3 /9070.7 /9090.9 /9020.2 /90
J. Grey1082820 min10.1 /9010.1 /90121.3 /9050.5 /90101.1 /9091 /90
A. Newby1071705 min60.8 /9010.1 /90202.6 /90131.7 /9081 /9081 /90
J. Malcolm727188 min31.4 /9000 /9083.8 /9073.4 /9031.4 /9031.4 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi260120 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
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York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
0.11/0
00/0
O. Banks n 888.8
1.56/3
0.43/0
O. Pearce n 886.4
2.27/7
0.95/2
J. Grey n 880
1.76/3
0.73/1
A. Hunt n 873
1.25/3
0.21/0
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York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Banks n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
O. Pearce n 886.4
0.54/0
0.43/0
J. Grey n 880
0.11/0
00/0
A. Hunt n 873
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Newport CountyYork
52%Possession48%
1.04Expected goals (xG)1.09
18Shots12
4Shots on target1
11Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box7
6Corners0
0Offsides1
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Saves3
433Passes403

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000006.1
L. Jenkins9000001106.9
K. Cameron9000101207.1
C. Brennan9000000206.2
H. Biggins90003130Y5.8
C. Norman9000004106.9
Shaquille Gwengwe8900310006.3
T. Nyakuhwa7601301106.7
Y. Bamba7600110305.9
M. Dibley-Dias52001020Y6.1
M. Smith4500100106.3
M. Jacob4500100106.4
K. Etete38103101Y8.1
G. Garner1400000006.5
K. Evans1400000106.3
M. Adu-Poku100100006.6

York Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Kitching9000101306.4
Z. Johnson9000000007
H. Boyes9000105107.1
O. Banks9000300106.3
Alfie Shane McNally9000000006.1
R. Fallowfield8200000306.9
A. Hunt7201102107.6
J. Grey72002014Y6.5
O. Pearce72102102Y7.5
J. Felix5500100206.4
J. Hunt3500000006.2
J. Malcolm24000000R5.7
F. Maguire1800100006.3
A. Newby1800000006.3
A. Read1800000006.7
A. Palmer800000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newport County v York — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Newport CountyDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 0.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
YorkDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Newport County#14 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
York#7 pos20 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Newport County scored1.43
York scored1.71
Newport County conceded1.21
York conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Newport County v York?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v York was Home saves under 4.5.
What is the recent form of Newport County and York?
Recent form — Newport County 2W 3D 0L; York 2W 2D 1L.

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